Storms and Convective discussion - 28th July 2019 onwards

[Lu.]

Drove down to Newhaven in the end. I was heading towards Eastbourne but the rain was that bad I had to stop. Clearing now, picture doesn’t give it justice - beautiful red!

[LightningLover]

6 minutes ago, MetWeather said:

Can you explain? I don't really know that much about the weather compared to other people here so what effect would nocturnal cooling have on the storms/rain?

I believe it would steepen lapse rates somewhat, and perhaps give any cells a second wind. 

[Thunder and Lightning]

Just now, LightningLover said:

I believe it would steepen lapse rates somewhat, and perhaps give any cells a second wind. 

Thanks!

[Dbarb]

Looks like lightning activity is increasing 

[James1979]

Careful.... risky business liking rain in here 

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

Just now, James1979 said:

Careful.... risky business liking rain in here 

[LightningLover]

Very, very faint rumble... Sounded almost fake somehow...?

Edited October 14, 2019 by LightningLover

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

2 minutes ago, LightningLover said:

Very, very faint rumble... Sounded almost fake somehow...?

A fumble?

[LightningLover]

2 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

A fumble?

Indeed

[Zak M]

21 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

yeah i know the rain is, but do you think we will get any thunder?

 

You should do. I will be very surprised if you don't.

[J-Me]

Just saw a (my first tonight) very big flash light up most of the sky to the south of me in Folkestone. I have yet to hear any Thunder despite having the window open a bit.

[biddie]

Storm just reaching dover now but the rest really is moving east. So the coast will see most of the action. Warmer outside than it felt earlier. Very close

[biddie]

2 minutes ago, Zak M said:

You should do. I will be very surprised if you don't.

I think it will not come that far north rain yes but the storms look further east

[dave reid]

Out fishing for the night  near Harlow. Gone very hazy here after so heavy rain. 

Think we need to keep a close eye on the line of showers currentlyover the IOW 

There track and timing is in line with the forecast main event over the London area??

[lottiekent]

1 minute ago, J-Me said:

Just saw a (my first tonight) very big flash light up most of the sky to the south of me in Folkestone. I have yet to hear any Thunder despite having the window open a bit.

I’m just up the road in Hawkinge so I’ll have a listen out now you’ve said that! 

[J-Me]

1 minute ago, lottiekent said:

I’m just up the road in Hawkinge so I’ll have a listen out now you’ve said that! 

Another flash and now thunder - I'd imagine you're close enough to have heard that 

[Atmogenic]

Just heard thunder and see a few flashes close to me but in the distance 

[lottiekent]

1 minute ago, J-Me said:

Another flash and now thunder - I'd imagine you're close enough to have heard that 

Ran upstairs to look out to the south after I last posted and saw the big flash and heard the rumble. Saw 3 flashes in a minute...rain is picking up!

[East_England_Stormchaser91]

31 minutes ago, MetWeather said:

Can you explain? I don't really know that much about the weather compared to other people here so what effect would nocturnal cooling have on the storms/rain?

Nocturnal cooling can fire up night time storms if there is a plume of hot upper air (typically a Spanish plume here) condensing as the surrounding air cools and the cap weakens. I doubt this will happen, as there is no real juicy air or widespread Mid level CAPE to fire things off. During the night of 3rd July 2015, there was around 2500-3000j/kg of it, and similar values earlier this year on the hottest day ever. Unfortunately the latter all exploded too far E aswell and only the SE and East Anglia saw the epicness of it. 

Edited October 14, 2019 by East_England_Stormchaser91

[dave reid]

Taken from the netweather storm forecast 

"Upper trough moving in from the west will engage frontal boundary "

 

Is that what we're seeing cause the line of shows near the IOW? 

[Zak M]

This looks interesting.

 

[Thunder and Lightning]

Yeah I was hoping that would come towards me!

[Thunder and Lightning]

To be honest I am quite surprised someone has not taken advantage of our love for weather and basically made a cult of it. 

[biddie]

12 minutes ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Nocturnal cooling can fire up night time storms if there is a plume of hot upper air (typically a Spanish plume here) condensing as the surrounding air cools and the cap weakens. I doubt this will happen, as there is no real juicy air or widespread Mid level CAPE to fire things off. During the night of 3rd July 2015, there was around 2500-3000j/kg of it, and similar values earlier this year on the hottest day ever. Unfortunately the latter all exploded too far E aswell and only the SE and East Anglia saw the epicness of it. 

And then only for about half hour!

[Zak M]

I will be surprised if those showers off of the south coast don't produce any lightning.