August 2019 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests

[Summer Sun]

17.5 to the 27th

1.6c above the 61 to 90 average

0.9c above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 18.8 to the 4th

Current low this month 16.9 to the 20th, 21st & 22nd

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield up to 17.4C +1.0C above normal. Rainfall 67.6mm 102.3% of the monthly average.

[Roger J Smith]

EWP continued at 80 mm to 26th, projection is still in the 85-90 range. 

[Froze were the Days]

9 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

17.5 to the 27th

1.6c above the 61 to 90 average

0.9c above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 18.8 to the 4th

Current low this month 16.9 to the 20th, 21st & 22nd

Only gone up by 0.1c from yesterday with many southern and south eastern areas in the high 20's and low 30's?...seems strange.

[matty007]

I think my 17.2 is looking quite handsome 

[Summer Sun]

17.5 to the 28th

1.6c above the 61 to 90 average

1.0c above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 18.8 to the 4th

Current low this month 16.9 to the 20th, 21st & 22nd

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield down to 17.3C +0.9C above normal Rainfall at 70.3mm 106.4% of the monthly normal rainfall.

[The PIT]

18 hours ago, Froze were the Days said:

Only gone up by 0.1c from yesterday with many southern and south eastern areas in the high 20's and low 30's?...seems strange.

Not really getting towards the end of the month so it needs larger highs and lows to make a massive change unlike at the beginning of the month.

[Roger J Smith]

EWP had reached 82 mm after 27 days and added perhaps 2 mm from rain in southwest England on 28th, dry elsewhere. GFS estimates grid average of 5 mm more, mostly in progress on Saturday 31st as month ends. That gives us an estimate of 89 mm. 

[feb1991blizzard]

19 hours ago, matty007 said:

I think my 17.2 is looking quite handsome 

Yes, and if it did, you would beat me on order of entry i would have thought, im going to move down on the EWP i am afraid, going to be 20+ out, poor showing.

[Froze were the Days]

3 hours ago, The PIT said:

Not really getting towards the end of the month so it needs larger highs and lows to make a massive change unlike at the beginning of the month.

Well that's what I thought we had...a majority of southern and south eastern areas on Tuesday must have been 8-10c above the daily maximum temperature (which is near 21c/70f) at the back end of August and for the CET to go up just by 0.1c, maybe offset somewhat by cooler conditions to the north west maybe?

[JeffC]

20 hours ago, matty007 said:

I think my 17.2 is looking quite handsome 

My 17.5 may be a tad of an overshoot, but I'd be happy to be within 0.5 as it's been a hard month to read!

[emmett garland]

my 17.3 could be a bullseye but 82mm of rain just out of the inner circle.

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield down to 17.2C +0.9C above normal Rainfall unchanged,

[Summer Sun]

17.4 to the 29th

1.6c above the 61 to 90 average

0.9c above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 18.8 to the 4th

Current low this month 16.9 to the 20th, 21st & 22nd

[feb1991blizzard]

15 hours ago, emmett garland said:

my 17.3 could be a bullseye but 82mm of rain just out of the inner circle.

my 60odd  mm isn't even on the dartboard although my 17.2 has a sniff off a chance.

Edited August 30, 2019 by feb1991blizzard

[Dancerwithwings]

17 hours ago, emmett garland said:

my 17.3 could be a bullseye but 82mm of rain just out of the inner circle.

There could be seven us in contention for the top spot then, I’m guessing who ever submitted their guess first will be the overall winner though

[Scorcher]

4 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

17.4 to the 29th

1.6c above the 61 to 90 average

0.9c above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 18.8 to the 4th

Current low this month 16.9 to the 20th, 21st & 22nd

How has it dropped after yesterday? Very surprising. Perhaps 17.0C+ after adjustments isn't 100% nailed on after all...

[feb1991blizzard]

9 minutes ago, Scorcher said:

How has it dropped after yesterday? Very surprising. Perhaps 17.0C+ after adjustments isn't 100% nailed on after all...

Yes - 100% a huge downward correction will deprive me again, it always does, i have never won one in my life - i even factor in a 0.5 downward correction in now when issuing my forecast.

[Froze were the Days]

1 hour ago, Scorcher said:

How has it dropped after yesterday? Very surprising. Perhaps 17.0C+ after adjustments isn't 100% nailed on after all...

As I mentioned the other day how did the CET only go up by 0.1c on Tuesday with that heat and fairly warm night (8-10c above normal by day), largely effecting the south and east...some eyebrow raising of the ongoing CET from day to day me thinks!

[summer blizzard]

6 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:

As I mentioned the other day how did the CET only go up by 0.1c on Tuesday with that heat and fairly warm night (8-10c above normal by day), largely effecting the south and east...some eyebrow raising of the ongoing CET from day to day me thinks!

Tuesday had a front across the Midlands and Yorkshire (high teens maxima) and the CET zone stretches to Manchester which even behind the front was cooler than average most likely. 

1 hour ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Yes - 100% a huge downward correction will deprive me again, it always does, i have never won one in my life - i even factor in a 0.5 downward correction in now when issuing my forecast.

Correction is normally 0.2-0.4C so my 16.9C is the outer bound. 

[Summer Sun]

17.4 to the 30th

1.6c above the 61 to 90 average

0.9c above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 18.8 to the 4th

Current low this month 16.9 to the 20th, 21st & 22nd

Edited August 31, 2019 by Summer Sun

[feb1991blizzard]

3 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

17.4 to the 2930th

1.6c above the 61 to 90 average

0.9c above the 81 to 10 average

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Current high this month 18.8 to the 4th

Current low this month 16.9 to the 20th, 21st & 22nd

Been a long August this year 

[Summer Sun]

1 minute ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Been a long August this year 

Bloody keyboard

[DAVID SNOW]

On ‎20‎/‎08‎/‎2019 at 19:01, DAVID SNOW said:

All depends if the warmth hangs on right till end of month, latest GFS ends it on the 29th FWIW.

Stick on 17.5.

This from 11 days ago and it didn't quite stick on 17.5, now its correction time...... to please or irritate.