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Storms and Convective Discussion - 25th June 2019 onwards


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You wait a lifetime for a funnel cloud and then two come at once!

A few from last night, just South of Salisbury. Mostly intracloud stuff, but an impressive light show none the less.  

Well that was a pretty awesome night. Although I cant help but feel slightly disappointed for not getting any SLR shots. And now I'm left wanting more and more ?. Anyway a very impressive light show w

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2 minutes ago, Lu. said:

Oooo I was about to say you sure that’s not the lighthouse ? but I’ve just seen a flash

We need stuff firing central Poole bay towards Swanage.....

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5 minutes ago, Alderc said:

Can see the distant flashes of the storms over by Cherbourg - that lightning is about 100km away.

Keep an eye on the sky high above them, with lightning that intense there are bound to be some sprites going up ?

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is it doing the usual lightning on the eastern flank thing that sometimes the main event misses the southeast if its too far east?

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I’d just highlight that it’s not uncommon with this elevated stuff for strikes not to show on blitzortung all of the time. 

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Been so engrossed reading this thread that I've just eaten a whole bar of fruit n nut without even realising... 

 

Best of luck to us all tonight, reckon we deserve something good!

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8 minutes ago, Harry said:

Not really - a number of different models have shown developments across France heading towards the SE area - BUT all models have agreed that they will stay discrete and small in scale before petering our eventually. 

If that is indeed the nose of the high instability I’d expect initiation across the SW in the next hour or so, if not sooner. I note there is activity developing over Wales but not electrified last time I looked (yet).

The storm heading for the south east is now 60 strikes per minute and growing in size by the minute! Hardly descrete  or small scale!? 

EA1F53FD-54B9-48D5-A4C9-76C99299C646.jpeg

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2 minutes ago, Greeny said:

is it doing the usual lightning on the eastern flank thing that sometimes the main event misses the southeast if its too far east?

Having said that, its early days as of yet.

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3 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

The storm heading for the south east is now 60 strikes per minute and growing in size by the minute! Hardly descrete  or small scale!? 

EA1F53FD-54B9-48D5-A4C9-76C99299C646.jpeg

Yep this could be a bigun for the SE!

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3 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

The storm heading for the south east is now 60 strikes per minute and growing in size by the minute! Hardly descrete  or small scale!? 

EA1F53FD-54B9-48D5-A4C9-76C99299C646.jpeg

Indeed!! Couldn’t agree more mate - if they keep growing upscale it will definitely rebut (I think) every model I’ve seen. As I say however the latest Euro4 is the only one I’ve seen that wants to bring meaningful precip towards the SE. 

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The lot east off Cherbourg will now likely continue to expand and possibly become an MCS IMO and rob the energy from here. Given this until 11pm then hitting the sack......

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