Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
Supacell

Storms and Convective Discussion - 25th June 2019 onwards

Recommended Posts

3 minutes ago, Lu. said:

What are you looking at? Rain radar has nothing in the area. The wind has most definitely picked up. 

Thinking you might get the stuff from France, or at least see it distant - if the sky is clear enough

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

my live stream is in perfect position for the potential cell just hitting Cardiff

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I fancy the Nottingham cell to spark first

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

looks further east than forecast....as always. At least it won’t be a Kent clipper this time though! 

380C0E59-D5EA-464B-BF79-0DD3711A08FE.jpeg

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Joey.G said:

Cell over Wales, score one for West 😂

Where in Wales? 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Latest UKV looks crazy for those that live further North - around 1 - 2am.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looks like initiation in Wales. That went off fast, 2 radar scans!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Rain radar seems to show tiny 'cells' beginning to pop up in an area of the Channel NW of the channel Islands? Could be a go soon?

Edited by Chris K

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, SarahWxm said:

Where in Wales? 

South of Aberystwyth

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Thinking you might get the stuff from France, or at least see it distant - if the sky is clear enough

Alright. Well I’ll give it an hour to see the deal. If not I’ll head home if that lot reaches 🙄

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, SarahWxm said:

Where in Wales? 

one approaching Snowdon, looks very heavy precip, - not Snowdon, heading NE towards Chester. but currently near Aberystwyth
one just hitting Cardiff, currently light-mod rain shower, developing quickly
and another one coming over from the main rain from Cornwall-Devon .. possible hitting Swansea soon

Edited by ancientsolar

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Just now, ancientsolar said:

one approaching Snowdon, looks very heavy precip,
one just hitting Cardiff, currently light-mod rain shower, developing quickly
and another one coming over from the main rain from Cornwall-Devon .. possible hitting Swansea soon

Come on to north east wales!!!! Haha 😂 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, SarahWxm said:

Come on to north east wales!!!! Haha 😂 

2 cells heading toward North East Wales.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
3 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

France stuff losing intensity

Looks like cloud tops are rising with decent lightning rate to me

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I note that ConvectiveWeather mention initiation mid/late afternoon over France in their forecast but this hasn’t happened as expected - how does this impact the evolution of the forecast from here? 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Another cell just north of Brecon. UKV has cells exploding across Wales in the next hour.

Some large drops of rain just started here on what is a really humid evening. My fingers are crossed for later.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

pokey little number just gone up near Barnstaple/Bideford.......discrete cells over northern france drifting NNE, and now strikes detected west of the channel islands.......lights, action, camera!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Looking at the hi-res models, AROME did well initiating the first cells over the Cherbourg area. A few hours later the model has cells exploding to life over SW'ern UK before becoming much more widespread across England and Wales by midnight.

image.thumb.png.ff0e39ae15e6184a0912307bf78ab0a4.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
16 minutes ago, Harsh Climate said:

Those cherbourg cells are tiny, and ties in with perhaps a few isolated storms towards the south east othernight. The main event is where that precipitation pushing into the sothwest, when that lights up it will be on a much bigger scale than what the south east may get

Whilst the charts would support that - I’m inclined to think those small cells have a chance of becoming beasts as they had north. Not only that, the more  isolated convection away from the main band may well pose the more severe threat with large hail etc, so not yet worth writing those off 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

My feeling is, if any storms pop off, it will be somewhere around Poole or just off the coast.

The wind is coming from the south east but the few clouds I can see are heading north east, wether that means anything, I have no idea

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
Sign in to follow this  

×
×
  • Create New...