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Storms and Convective Discussion - 25th June 2019 onwards


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4 minutes ago, Alderc said:

Yep! Sunbathing on the beach currently, Bournemouth at its best, tis a waiting game now and probably won’t look at model data in any great depth now. Having dinner at Hot Rocks with a friend by the pier so well placed for later. Just need to resist the beer urge and keep an eye on radar from about 5/6pm onwards and hope things start popping about 20miles SSE of Portland! 

Jealous   Much!.  Sunbathing on a beach.      im 80 mies from the nearest one   just going to melt here in my office. 

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You wait a lifetime for a funnel cloud and then two come at once!

A few from last night, just South of Salisbury. Mostly intracloud stuff, but an impressive light show none the less.  

Well that was a pretty awesome night. Although I cant help but feel slightly disappointed for not getting any SLR shots. And now I'm left wanting more and more ?. Anyway a very impressive light show w

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1 minute ago, weirpig said:

Jealous   Much!.  Sunbathing on a beach.      im 80 mies from the nearest one   just going to melt here in my office. 

It’s actually really quite humid down here, another thing with the beach here it’s sand isn’t white so gets absolutely roasting!!!! Struggling to resist the urge from the bar 30metres away.....??

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FWIW the bbc app has temps of 25 degrees at midnight in manchester with thunderstorms breaking out around 1-2am - thats a bit late when you are up for work at 5am!!

The temps look VERY high for midnight tho, wonder if that in itself might be a record?

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8 minutes ago, tomp456 said:

Just because you are not in the zones doesn't mean you won't get a storm/get a nice lightning show. 

Almost anywhere is primed for some action! 

Anything can happen! I'm sure we all remember the stormagedon a few weeks ago that didn't exactly follow the model forecast, taking a sharp turn east.

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8 minutes ago, Rapodo said:

I'll be right by kimmerage bay too up at the top car park by wolbarrow bay. Perfect spot to watch! Watch the big flag pole though! 

Excellent stuff Rapodo, might see you down there!

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I’ve just driven my unairconditioned car home from my unairconditioned office. My skin is on fire and we’re not allowed to wear shorts so my legs are a write-off.

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 This is a really nice TAF from Liverpool Airport. 

The report was made 23 minutes ago, at 11:26UTC

Forecast valid from 23 at 12 UTC to 24 at 12 UTC

Wind 8 kt from the South/Southeast

Visibility 10 km or more

Few clouds at a height of 4500 ft

Temporary
from 23 at 20 UTC to 24 at 03 UTC

Visibility: 4000 m

heavy rain showers, thunderstorm, rain

Probability 30% :

Temporary
from 23 at 20 UTC to 24 at 03 UTC

Wind 15 kt from the South with gusts up to 30kt

thunderstorm, (heavy) hail

Probability 40%
from 24 at 04 UTC to 24 at 08 UTC

Visibility: 7000 m

Broken clouds at a height of 700 ft

Becoming
from 24 at 09 UTC to 24 at 12 UTC

Wind 10 kt from the West/Southwest

 

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1 hour ago, Azazel said:

In the purple zone....just! About time we had a decent storm round here. I'd Better go easy on the mojitos this afternoon: I don't drive ( lucky hubby likes a chase too) but I don't want to fall asleep and miss out! Currently 31°C, and still rising. I am melting.

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25 minutes ago, Azazel said:

I’ve just driven my unairconditioned car home from my unairconditioned office. My skin is on fire and we’re not allowed to wear shorts so my legs are a write-off.

I've to go and sit in the unairconditioned cab of a bus for 8 hours, I feel your pain. 

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45 minutes ago, Stabilo19 said:

Anything can happen! I'm sure we all remember the stormagedon a few weeks ago that didn't exactly follow the model forecast, taking a sharp turn east.

Yeah, lets hope this stuff forecast shifts east to east of the IOW, then we'll get a nice lightning show at the very least 

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1 minute ago, Harry said:

Some models are indicating some potential east of IoW. 

F560BD60-4F72-46CE-85A1-FFE30563ED5D.png

Not exactly surprised imo the potential was always there but the worst of it was always going to be further West. Good luck tonight everyone hoping i break my storm draught tonight ?

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Just checking SAT 24, the latest Radar shows existing cloud developing further, looking like the very beginning! 

This in the Plymouth area, I wonder if we'll get a repeat.. or indeed a reverse of what happened in 2017.. (where by there a few lightning strikes but once in the North there are 1000s) 

Edited by ancientsolar
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1 hour ago, Chris.R said:

Tonight looks like 20th July 2016.

 

It was still 25°C at 6 AM on that occasion. 

Hope so Chris that was the morning the BT tower in Brum was struck......

Edit;ooopps.  a couple of years out.....its all the excitment

 

and our skyline atm.... looks like conductive heaven with all the cranes

sat.thumb.jpg.fbd4bc7432f40baebd7fae73934b5062.jpg

Edited by Arnie Pie
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A couple of things I will point out while doing some comparisons.. the Arome is already at the back of the race regarding developments. The showery activity coming out of France is a lot further West than what the UKV shows. Answers on a postcode!

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