Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
Supacell

Storms and Convective Discussion - 25th June 2019 onwards

Recommended Posts

Tuesdays was about 5 miles to the west of me, tonight's is about the same to the east of me.

Seriously. Give me a break.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Weird how it missed the areas marked on all storm warnings lol. classic UK

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Wooo, just had about 30 secs worth of rain :D very small sized... warm rain... with a warm breeze....  urgh... 🤦‍♀️

Hopefully it's cooling the air down a bit as it evaporates on it's way down to allow something more substantial 😛

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Lynxus said:

Weird how it missed the areas marked on all storm warnings lol. classic UK

Indeed. This was my one 

1819537501_Screenshot2019-07-25at22_18_16.thumb.png.10bc205d248e52c6842345a144df6e09.png

Not terrible for the one further north but the one across the SE/EA was a tad further east but touched into the eastern side of the severe (black circle) zone I put down. 

Expected more development in-between those two areas 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Fingers crossed for the West Midlands tonight, my cameras are ready.  This was taken over the back of my garden early Wednesday morning from two angles:- 

 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The met office app for my area says storms from 3am to 5am. Guessing that's automated but I wonder if it's gonna kick off after hours again?

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
6 minutes ago, Lynxus said:

Weird how it missed the areas marked on all storm warnings lol. classic UK

Yeah I don’t know why it keeps going east too far and avoiding London so much as well. London has hardly seen anything this year but last may was spectacular

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
4 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:

Indeed. This was my one 

1819537501_Screenshot2019-07-25at22_18_16.thumb.png.10bc205d248e52c6842345a144df6e09.png

Not terrible for the one further north but the one across the SE/EA was a tad further east but touched into the eastern side of the severe (black circle) zone I put down. 

Expected more development in-between those two areas 

Not a bad shout though Dan better than Keithy Joe's effort anyway 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I am disappointed that it was not a full on active over head thunderstorm over me in Warminster 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
13 minutes ago, Climate_Eyes said:

If you're desperate there's always Posh Nosh in Shoreham 😉

Currently near Steyning, some lovely skyscapes out west right now.

Posh Nosh lost their late night license! First post. 😆

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Considering the heat and potential today I guess that’s quite a disappointing outcome so far. The meto seemed to have an idea that this would happen though as their forecast for this region was very tamed with only isolated risk of a storm but mainly dry - and so it’s proved, so fair play to them on this occasion, although further east to me I’m sure they got the opposite! 

Still chance of some storms later if the other precipitation band peps up... much later though. 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 minutes ago, Stelmer said:

The met office app for my area says storms from 3am to 5am. Guessing that's automated but I wonder if it's gonna kick off after hours again?

There look to be three chances for us.

1) The weak convergence line in the west is gradually moving east. If it survives the Pennines we have a chance though it looks weak.

2) The stuff over France moving north curves back west on its southern end and so a new wave should approach. Hard to tell if it stays as organised.

3) The front is pulling the stuff over Biscay north at a fair clip, this looks a good clump.

Options 4 and 5 are a random blowup or nothing.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Those are some storms clipping East Anglia.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
26 minutes ago, Supacell said:

The storms were meant to develop over NE England but instead ended up in East Anglia with frequent lightning and large hail. There was also a lone but intense storm that tracked through Stoke and then the Peak District which brought large hail. This one tracked not far from my home, but I was heading back down the A1 feeling gutted at the time.

I'm afraid there were no storms or even rain in Stoke today, at least not in my part!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Biblical rain and direct strikes now in great yarmouth...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

image.thumb.png.42e581d21bbccc79442d333de1759582.png
This has caught my eye, this area to the south east and int he west, the west showing sighs of development and more to the south east, whoever said about the tail end in france, well your prediction my good sir could be correct!

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The only hope for me is if the weak line of showers to the west suddenly explodes into life, perhaps due to some cooling of the upper troposphere or something.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Is it me or is this trying to move more inland to the West? I would have thought it would be well into the North Sea by now? Or am I just wishful hoping lol

 

image.png

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
26 minutes ago, TomW said:

They are very pulse like storms nothing compared to Tuesday night!

Actually Tuesday had a very compact series of popcorn storms, giving the impression of a very active MCS. At an acute detail level these were essentially pulse storms surrounding a few more organised cells from what I observed.

Quite a unique night really.

Hope tonight is a more typical plume scenario. Actually scrub that I hope it just kicks off and does whatever it can 😅

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
18 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:

Indeed. This was my one 

1819537501_Screenshot2019-07-25at22_18_16.thumb.png.10bc205d248e52c6842345a144df6e09.png

Not terrible for the one further north but the one across the SE/EA was a tad further east but touched into the eastern side of the severe (black circle) zone I put down. 

Expected more development in-between those two areas 

To be fair though you issued that at 530pm so it was a forecast of the movement of the current storms. Other forecasts were issued last night or this morning 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, TJS1998Tom said:

Is it me or is this trying to move more inland to the West? I would have thought it would be well into the North Sea by now? Or am I just wishful hoping lol

 

image.png

Definitely moving into the North Sea unfortunately... think tonight is a write off for our part of the world unless we suddenly see some backbuilding along the western side of the storms.

Though that appears unlikely and we may only get steady rain at best...

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Posted (edited)
1 minute ago, Quicksilver1989 said:

Definitely moving into the North Sea unfortunately... think tonight is a write off for our part of the world unless we suddenly see some backbuilding along the western side of the storms.

Though that appears unlikely and we may only get steady rain at best...

image.png.4a4a21a47e43294440f6ef1ea73a1429.png
im not an expert but i think the tail of the storm is developing 👀

Edited by Mitch perrott

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
1 minute ago, Quicksilver1989 said:

Definitely moving into the North Sea unfortunately... think tonight is a write off for our part of the world unless we suddenly see some backbuilding along the western side of the storms.

Though that appears unlikely and we may only get steady rain at best...

Shame it wasn't another 50 or so miles West, could have been in Lincolnshire by now otherwise

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

The steering winds do show an element of a NNW flow around the wash area, but show N to NNE beyond there, so I would expect them to steer back out in to the North Sea. I think the leading edge is expanding slightly, giving it the illusion that it's moving back inland.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
Sign in to follow this  

×
×
  • Create New...