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Supacell

Storms and Convective Discussion - 25th June 2019 onwards

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Tweet of the hail from someone in Wrexham looks like a reasonable size. 

Screenshot_20190725_154600_com.twitter.android.jpg

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Though I've only got the shape of rainfall radar to go by, it does look like there's a very decent 'hook' on the cell coming to our shores from Le Harve/Dieppe.. complete hail core  (but weakening slightly over the channel). ..

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2 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

Think that might be it for the day with regards to chances for NE Wales/Cheshire. Things kicking off later will be further E IMO

Ah well will take it was a decent little storm feels like a bonus now after Tuesday night so I'm happy. Will try and photograph the structure as it moves away. 

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Posted (edited)

Am watching a Seafront Web cam from Eastbourne ❤️ 

Really changed over the years 😞 

Hoping to catch the storm before it dies.

ah the Brighton one looks better.

Edited by Dami

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7 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

Think that might be it for the day with regards to chances for NE Wales/Cheshire. Things kicking off later will be further E IMO

A good chance to really put the UKV to test, as it shows diddly squat on the latest update. 

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1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

A good chance to really put the UKV to test, as it shows diddly squat on the latest update. 

Diddly squat everywhere Mapantz?

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Cloud really building now. Felt a few spots of rain as well. Hoping the main event is when it's dark 

DSC_0121.JPG

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Posted (edited)

Latest sounding from Larkhill shows the cap in place but with massive CAPE just waiting to be tapped into. Expecting destabilisation later this evening as the trough approaches from the west, but time will tell. 

 

sounding.jpg

Edited by convector
correction

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2 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

A good chance to really put the UKV to test, as it shows diddly squat on the latest update. 

Really was hoping for a more expansive destabilisation. This type of heat doesn't happen often.

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One has to sit for a while to let it sink in.. Xcweather: Cambridge @ 15.20 pm 38C!

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The radar is very uninspiring 

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2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Diddly squat everywhere Mapantz?

Yep.

626327928_viewimage(7).thumb.png.bfd99c4c42d3ed78de4ac7758ca1b40f.png

It got the peppering of showers spot on for this morning. I also posted a chart on Monday which shows those showers creeping in to the Southeast today.

However, I am dubious of it considering what is on offer.

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Think the NW and Cheshire area is done now for today, everything else good will go southeast northwards

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2 minutes ago, Boro Snow said:

The radar is very uninspiring 

The SE corner of England is being compensated for the storms they missed Tuesday. Quite a lively couple of cells about to hit the shores in that area.

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Hi, my first post here so I'm not sure when this reply will be approved, but just had the storm cell move across us here in Merseyside. The lightning map looks crazy, but in actual fact it seemed quite disappointing; from what I saw (hardly anything) it was all IC lightning and the thunder wasn't too loud. Oh well, I'm taking it as a bonus after our light show on Tuesday. Incredibly hot still and humid here.

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8 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Yep.

626327928_viewimage(7).thumb.png.bfd99c4c42d3ed78de4ac7758ca1b40f.png

It got the peppering of showers spot on for this morning. I also posted a chart on Monday which shows those showers creeping in to the Southeast today.

However, I am dubious of it considering what is on offer.

Netwx-SR a bit more keen, but we'll see - tricky day to call. 

sr-stortms.png

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I’m wondering if that central band of cloud stretching up from France directly across CS England will kick off once the front out west moves in and erodes the cap

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Just now, Paul said:

Netwx-SR a bit more keen, but we'll see - tricky day to call. 

sr-stortms.png

Wow that sucks for north midlands, north and north west england, I do hope it's wrong! About 75% of forcasts/maps go for the areas I just mentioned at highest risk of severe storms.

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Sferic on the Cherbourg peninsula. Go on my son!

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Just now, Paul said:

Netwx-SR a bit more keen, but we'll see - tricky day to call

sr-stortms.png

Yep, definitely. I certainly don't begrudge any of the warning maps that have been posted, because if it does come together then it will certainly cause disruption.

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Just now, Harsh Climate said:

Wow that sucks for north midlands, north and north west england, I do hope it's wrong! About 75% of forcasts/maps go for the areas I just mentioned at highest risk of severe storms.

The model actually takes that lot north later in the night - for instance:

later.png

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Heavy intense shower just formed over chester, could become electrified

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Just now, Paul said:

The model actually takes that lot north later in the night - for instance:

later.png

That's better 🙂

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Can someone give me an idea as to when the severe thunderstorms are going to start developing over the Midlands, N.England and S.Scotland? All the storm forecasts refer to this, but insofar, nothing.  Cloud is building up here though and 30*.  Immense heat(Glasgow)

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