Storms and Convective Discussion - 25th June 2019 onwards

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

4 minutes ago, Lu. said:

Something came up and only just got my stuff together to leave. Plus traffic, we all know how bad it can be down there

 

still perfect blue sky’s here tho 

Drove into the murk near Marlborough

Temp feels like it’s plummeted.... 30° Still

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

hm well my prediction about the storm away from the main MCS seems to be growing more confident... one of the clusters is still heading to the safe east, what do you all think..

[Guest]

It’s a bit odd seeing everyone eat outside and people still in an outside pool at 19:30 in the UK. 

[Gordon Webb]

18 minutes ago, Sun & Tanned said:

Still showing thunder for us on BBC And Netweather forecast but I thought we are too far east for anything?

Would anyone like to have a stab if I am likely to see anything here? 

Thank you for your help 

I'd be very surprised if anything happened there 

[Frosty hollows]

Mid level cloud reaching here and humidity finally starting to rise

[Met4Cast]

Just now, Mitch perrott said:

hm well my prediction about the storm away from the main MCS seems to be growing more confident... one of the clusters is still heading to the safe east, what do you all think..

Have you got a link to that sat picture?

[Thunder and Lightning]

Hopefully not a Kent clipper, or a bust!

[summer blizzard]

19 minutes ago, markw2680 said:

Some pretty rapid developments here atm don’t expect much until after dark though 

Location?

..

Still clear and blue hete in Leeds however tonight looks like our best chance for Storms since Eurovision last year. The rest of summer had a habit of giving angry clouds that produced nothing.

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

Just now, Met4Cast said:

Have you got a link to that sat picture?

https://www.metcheck.com/SEASONAL/thunderstorm_satellite.asp , sure do bud!

[Thunder and Lightning]

Just now, Met4Cast said:

Have you got a link to that sat picture?

On metcheck storm satellite.

[Gordon Webb]

1 minute ago, Mitch perrott said:

hm well my prediction about the storm away from the main MCS seems to be growing more confident... one of the clusters is still heading to the safe east, what do you all think..

try keeping some straws back for later on

[MikeUpjohn]

Looking good still, here in Manchester. Baking hot and a little humid.

Quick question about capturing a few photos of lightning here. Is it best to catch the lightning looking South as the storm rolls in or as it moves away to the North? I've got a North facing vantage point to keep my camera on a tripod dry, should we get something.

 

Mike.

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

Just now, Gordon Webb said:

try keeping some straws back for later on

huh what do you mean? i dont understand that saying, sorry

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

4 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

hm well my prediction about the storm away from the main MCS seems to be growing more confident... one of the clusters is still heading to the safe east, what do you all think..

The problem here is that the air profile over eastern areas doesn’t particularly support the sustained storm parameters that you find in the west, so you might get small pulse storms, storms dying off on approach or just downgrading to light rain.

A storm approaching an area from afar isn’t a guarantee of it’s arrival. This is where detailed model guidance can help avoid disappointment - can’t guarentee it but the east is expected to remain generally storm-free

Edited July 23, 2019 by Flash bang flash bang etc

[Jed Bickerdike]

3 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

hm well my prediction about the storm away from the main MCS seems to be growing more confident... one of the clusters is still heading to the safe east, what do you all think..

Keep dreaming. All electrical activity has died from that and cloud looks more rugged on sat 24 like it's dieing 

[TJS1998Tom]

Is the area with heavy rain near Brest where storms will develop later or is it a bit early yet? 

[Met4Cast]

2 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

https://www.metcheck.com/SEASONAL/thunderstorm_satellite.asp , sure do bud!

 

2 minutes ago, MetWeather said:

On metcheck storm satellite.

Thank you!

[Mitch the motorbike storm]

Just now, Jed Bickerdike said:

Keep dreaming. All electrical activity has died from that and cloud looks more rugged on sat 24 like it's dieing 

i like to have hope ;-;

[Gordon Webb]

1 minute ago, Mitch perrott said:

huh what do you mean? i dont understand that saying, sorry

meant as bit of humour as in clutching at straws

clutch at straws

1. To make a desperate attempt to salvage a bad situation

no offense intended

[Lu.]

8 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Drove into the murk near Marlborough

Temp feels like it’s plummeted.... 30° Still

Car states it’s 31 here. It’s crazy for this time of night. 

[Gordon Webb]

2 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

Is the area with heavy rain near Brest where storms will develop later or is it a bit early yet? 

yes that's appears to be the area of focus acording to  PJB from UKWW

[Flash bang flash bang etc]

Everyone needs to stop for an hour and have a cup of tea

[SarahWxm]

Still 32c here and humidity unbearable. Can’t hardly breath it’s so bad! 

Is Wrexham NE Wales in the firing line for definite tonight? If so what time is it due to hit?

[SalopWatcher]

Drop or two of rain here.... now horribly humid. Almost totally clouded over and dark to the east. Feels primed. 

[DanDorsetUK]

Anyone a bit concerned by the lack of action so far? Thought would have had more signs of activity by now and no signs of any instability in Dorset now. Very odd.