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Storms and Convective Discussion - 25th June 2019 onwards

Supacell

By Supacell
in Storms & Severe Weather

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convector Contributor

convector

Posted
  • Location: oxford, uk
  • Location: oxford, uk
Posted
4 minutes ago, samadamsuk said:

Hey all - just about to take off from Bergamo Italy, into Bristol at 8.15pm. I stopped my trip 2 days early so I didn't miss a thundery UK heatwave, but hate flying at the best of times so please all pray that Bristol stays clear until after 8.15 PM- if it doesn't, startup a RIP about Sam page (purple swimming award, good to animals, moderately fast cyclist). 

 

Good luck all! 

funny that's where i expect storms to be popping off around that time today 

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Flash bang flash bang etc Veteran

Flash bang flash bang etc

Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
Posted

Choicely Services, on the M4. Stopped for a breather but heading as far as Swindon then having a mint tea or a pint and taking stock of Synoptics before deciding on the next move.

It is INCREDIBLY hot here. 32 maybe 33°?

Just being in the rays of the Sun is baking.

So the channel’s gone quiet but then again I was suspicious about things kicking off so early. Just shows how powerful and discrete some of these early storms could be tonight, also quite slow moving compared to what some of the forecasts are saying.

OK too hot. Gonna keep moving...

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Guest

Posted
Posted
Just now, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Choicely Services, on the M4. Stopped for a breather but heading as far as Swindon then having a mint tea or a pint and taking stock of Synoptics before deciding on the next move.

It is INCREDIBLY hot here. 32 maybe 33°?

Just being in the rays of the Sun is baking.

So the channel’s gone quiet but then again I was suspicious about things kicking off so early. Just shows how powerful and discrete some of these early storms could be tonight, also quite slow moving compared to what some of the forecasts are saying.

OK too hot. Gonna keep moving...

Yep, strong Cap in place, when they go they’ll go big time from bases of 6-8k feet to 45k feet in 15-20mins...boom! 

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FBR Contributor

FBR

Posted
  • Location: Coopers Edge, Gloucester
  • Location: Coopers Edge, Gloucester
Posted

Big spots of rain here in Gloucester, really hoping we get something of note later on!

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ChezWeather Experienced

ChezWeather

Posted
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
  • Location: Chesterfield, Derbyshire, 110m
Posted

Got a feeling I may need to head slightly West, thinking of finding a SW facing vantage point somewhere in the Peak District and waiting for whatever shows up. Good look everyone 

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convector Contributor

convector

Posted
  • Location: oxford, uk
  • Location: oxford, uk
Posted
4 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

Choicely Services, on the M4. Stopped for a breather but heading as far as Swindon then having a mint tea or a pint and taking stock of Synoptics before deciding on the next move.

It is INCREDIBLY hot here. 32 maybe 33°?

Just being in the rays of the Sun is baking.

So the channel’s gone quiet but then again I was suspicious about things kicking off so early. Just shows how powerful and discrete some of these early storms could be tonight, also quite slow moving compared to what some of the forecasts are saying.

OK too hot. Gonna keep moving...

looks like you're in a good spot. simulated IR from AROME has storms initiated just before midnight along the south cost heading north along the A34 and around convergence in the bristol channel.

 aromehd-54-10-0.thumb.png.6e639b39ae532d9b87c7968dee7945ab.png

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The PIT Maestro

The PIT

Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
Posted

Local forecast has put things back into the early morning which is more likely.

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Jeffers146 Apprentice

Jeffers146

Posted
  • Location: North Hykeham, Lincoln
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms and Heat
  • Location: North Hykeham, Lincoln
Posted

Is Lincoln looking good for tonight. Is it worth staying up?

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EllyTech Rising Star

EllyTech

Posted
  • Location: Cheltenham, Gloucs.
  • Location: Cheltenham, Gloucs.
Posted
6 minutes ago, FBR said:

Big spots of rain here in Gloucester, really hoping we get something of note later on!

Oh good, saves me watering, shunt it up here a bit lol. Registered 33C here during the last hour.

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Guest

Guest

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, ChezWeather said:

Got a feeling I may need to head slightly West, thinking of finding a SW facing vantage point somewhere in the Peak District and waiting for whatever shows up. Good look everyone 

That's what I'm doing. Got a nice W to SW facing road near High Bradfield just a short drive away after consulting Google Maps. Hoping for some proper nighttime lightning later! 

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Mitch the motorbike storm Community Regular

Mitch the motorbike storm

Posted
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
Posted
2 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

image.thumb.png.702c6e1c165fb7508013937a8b343350.png
Hmmm just been watching this, the circled area has interested me, anyone else?

id love to know your opinions on the system i have circled

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Guest

Posted
Posted
Just now, Mitch perrott said:

id love to know your opinions on the system i have circled

It's barely moving that system! Just growing and growing

I can't see it tracking due north though. It'll have too much of an eastward movement in my opinion.

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Mitch the motorbike storm Community Regular

Mitch the motorbike storm

Posted
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
Posted
Just now, Onding said:

It's barely moving that system! Just growing and growing

I can't see it tracking due north though. It'll have too much of an eastward movement in my opinion.

could be using the energy of the plume and trace along the same track as the plume, it was originally moving east but then as it got closer to the main MCS it started to turn west, i dont know, its a long shot but it may reach us,,, Only time will tell

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Methuselah Maestro

Methuselah

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
Posted

Everything is 20-20 when viewed with hindsight?:oldgrin:

 

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Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Author
Posted
Just now, Ed Stone said:

Everything is 20-20 when viewed with hindsight?:oldgrin:

 

Oh dear, that is funny. At least they must have high confidence in the storms.

Latest Euro4 creates a mass of thunderstorms which starts in the SW and then erupts into a countrywide system across the Midlands north. 

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Midlander Community Regular

Midlander

Posted
  • Location: Aldridge, West Midlands (180M)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Snow, Snow and Cold
  • Location: Aldridge, West Midlands (180M)
Posted
1 minute ago, Alderc said:

I hate this waiting game, the first couple of cells fire, die and then there’s a lull......

Still very early days... 

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TJS1998Tom Seasoned

TJS1998Tom

Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Posted
11 minutes ago, Jeffers146 said:

Is Lincoln looking good for tonight. Is it worth staying up?

I think we could be in for a shot, showing storms around 1am onwards, might see some elevated lightning from distant storms. Don't think we'll get the worst of it though

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Mitch the motorbike storm Community Regular

Mitch the motorbike storm

Posted
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
Posted
9 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

could be using the energy of the plume and trace along the same track as the plume, it was originally moving east but then as it got closer to the main MCS it started to turn west, i dont know, its a long shot but it may reach us,,, Only time will tell

does anyone else think the storm that i circled could head this way with enough strength from the main storm to pull it towards it>

 

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Guest

Guest

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

I'm very much liking the Met Office Tuesday evening forecast ;) 

Hmmm I’m really not, usually too far west, look like being piggy in the middle tonight and being too far west......

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Guest

Guest

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

does anyone else think the storm that i circled could head this way with enough strength from the main storm to pull it towards it>

 

No, the steering flow will take it north and north east.

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Mitch the motorbike storm Community Regular

Mitch the motorbike storm

Posted
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
Posted
1 minute ago, Alderc said:

No, the steering flow will take it north and north east.

even if i can hear one rumble of thunder or see distant flashes from it id be happy haha

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Guest

Guest

Posted
Posted
2 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

even if i can hear one rumble of thunder or see distant flashes from it id be happy haha

No chance......

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