How hot will it be? Temperature Competition

[MattStoke]

[matty007]

1 minute ago, Summer Sun said:

2pm

Heathrow and Northolt 33.0c

Just 2.8c needed in the next 2 hours. 

 

Achievable  

[feb1991blizzard]

1 minute ago, MattStoke said:

Why would we want that?

So i win the competition.

[Mapantz]

2 minutes ago, snowray said:

Those are for 1pm Mapantz, can you find the 2pm ones for us?

I can only post it when they update. There's always a lag time.

[mb018538]

How accurate are the metcheck reported temperatures? I don’t think they are all official stations are they?

there is a 34.5c showing at Epsom and 34c at Harrow currently.

[snowray]

Just now, Mapantz said:

I can only post it when they update. There's always a lag time.

Ok Thanks. 

[Mark wheeler]

8 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

Benson

 

Edited June 29, 2019 by Mark wheeler

[matty007]

Just now, mb018538 said:

How accurate are the metcheck reported temperatures? I don’t think they are all official stations are they?

there is a 34.5c showing at Epsom and 34c at Harrow currently.

Probably accurate and spot on. But they are not official so are not counted. 

[danm]

3 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:

When was the last time that consecutive years reached 35C?

If you want to round up to the nearest degree, then both 2017 and 2018 got to 35c. Heathrow reached 34.5c on 21st June 2017. Also got to 35.3c in Kent last year. 

[snowray]

Just now, matty007 said:

Probably accurate and spot on. But they are not official so are not counted. 

Yes, in fact a few of these locations around West London regularly hit higher temps than the usual Heathrow/Northolt locations, another one is Hampton water works.

[Katrine Basso]

Friday 29th June at 14:23 a meagre 25.5°C

[hillbilly]

Stifling here,a swealtering 21 deg !

[Djdazzle]

9 minutes ago, danm said:

If you want to round up to the nearest degree, then both 2017 and 2018 got to 35c. Heathrow reached 34.5c on 21st June 2017. Also got to 35.3c in Kent last year. 

Thanks, but what about official 35C? I can’t  see any instances of that.

[hillbilly]

3 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:

Thanks, but what about official 35C? I can’t  see any instances of that.

2002 32.6 Northolt (London) 29 July

2003 38.5 Brogdale, near Faversham (Kent) 10 August; with some debate, and 38.1C at Kew is more reliable

2004 31.5 Northolt (London) 8 August

2005 32.6 Heathrow 19 June

2006 36.5 Wisley (Surrey) 19 July

2007 30.1 Terrington St. Clement, Wisbech (Norfolk) 5 August

2008 30.2 Cambridge 28 July

2009 31.8 Wisley (Surrey) 30 June

2010 31.7 Gravesend 9 July

2011 33.1 Gravesend 27 June

2012 32.4 Cavendish (Suffolk) 18 August

2013 34.1 Heathrow 1 August

2014 32.3 Swancombe Marsh (Kent) 18 July

2015 36.7 Heathrow 1 July

2016 35.2 St Hellier, Jersey 19 July (34.4 Gravesend 13 September)

2017 34.5 Heathrow 21 June

2018 35.6 Felsham (Suffolk) 27 July

[Snowjokes92]

3 minutes ago, hillbilly said:

2002 32.6 Northolt (London) 29 July

2003 38.5 Brogdale, near Faversham (Kent) 10 August; with some debate, and 38.1C at Kew is more reliable

2004 31.5 Northolt (London) 8 August

2005 32.6 Heathrow 19 June

2006 36.5 Wisley (Surrey) 19 July

2007 30.1 Terrington St. Clement, Wisbech (Norfolk) 5 August

2008 30.2 Cambridge 28 July

2009 31.8 Wisley (Surrey) 30 June

2010 31.7 Gravesend 9 July

2011 33.1 Gravesend 27 June

2012 32.4 Cavendish (Suffolk) 18 August

2013 34.1 Heathrow 1 August

2014 32.3 Swancombe Marsh (Kent) 18 July

2015 36.7 Heathrow 1 July

2016 35.2 St Hellier, Jersey 19 July (34.4 Gravesend 13 September)

2017 34.5 Heathrow 21 June

2018 35.6 Felsham (Suffolk) 27 July

Wow that trends shows mid 30s is a regular occurance

[Guest]

The rate of increase at Heathrow is now dropping slowly.

11z 30.1c

12z 31.6c

13z 32.7c 

Probably a low 34c is where it’ll stop. 

[hillbilly]

2015 and 2016 is the only time two consecutive years have reached 35 deg

[Man With Beard]

Bearing in mind between the 80s and 90s I think 35C was only reached in one year in 1990 (I think 1995 just missed), it's been quite a jump in recent years. 

Reached 30C here now but the action is all to the north of me around London. 50/50 on 35C being reached I feel. 

[SLEETY]

i thought it wasn’t going to go above 30 c reading this forum a couple of days ago.Peole reading too much into what a computer says again lol

[Relativistic]

4 minutes ago, Alderc said:

The rate of increase at Heathrow is now dropping slowly.

11z 30.1c

12z 31.6c

13z 32.7c 

Probably a low 34c is where it’ll stop. 

Indeed, maybe I'll be proven wrong but I think people are overestimating the rate of heating throughout the afternoon; a linear temperature increase with time is pretty unrealistic.

[Djdazzle]

11 minutes ago, Relativistic said:

Indeed, maybe I'll be proven wrong but I think people are overestimating the rate of heating throughout the afternoon; a linear temperature increase with time is pretty unrealistic.

Conversely, this also means that temps can have sudden surges, even as late as 4.30 - 5.00.

[snowray]

On a day like this we wont hit max temps until around 17.00, the higher uppers are moving slowly towards the eastern side of London this afternoon so 35c still looking possible to me.

[snowray]

2 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:

Conversely, this also means that temps can have sudden surges, even as late as 4.30 - 5.00.

Yes, very likely.

[danm]

34c now at Northolt, 33.6c at Heathrow. 35c is beatable. 

[Relativistic]

5 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:

Conversely, this also means that temps can have sudden surges, even as late as 4.30 - 5.00.

That's true, normally due to a change of wind direction. My point was that as the ground heats up it emits radiation more rapidly, so solar heating has to battle harder in order to maintain (on average) linear temperature increases.