Tour 3 Chase Day 1 - MOD risk KS/NE/MO

[nsrobins]

I believe it’s the first day for T3 so welcome to the Plains and buckle up. I’ll start today’s thread with a challenging target forecast.

We’re in McCook, NE after insane chasing of a monster supercell around Imperial and Holyoke yesterday (along with the hordes). Today is tricky - boundary low on meso W KS will drift east today and interact with the WF and ?OFB in far E KS - CAMs suggest convection initiates around 20Z. I might go against SPC and target the area just north of the triple point for max kinematics - initial target Hebron, NE then monitor real time.

Edit - MOD risk 15% hatched. SPC obviously reading this forum lol 

Edited May 28, 2019 by nsrobins

[Kirkcaldy Weather]

Moderate risk 

Tornado % - 

[matty40s]

* LOCATIONS... Northern Missouri West-central Illinois Far southern Iowa Northeast Kansas * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force A few intense tornadoes Widespread large hail, some baseball size

 

Imagine having a baseball sized rock hurled at you at 90 mph!!!!!

 

[matty40s]

1 death and many injured in Celina, EF3 tornadoes reported in Beaver.

[nsrobins]

Sitting close to Clay Center KS watching potential convection on an OFB just to our west. Challenging forecasting today!

edit : position 

Edited May 28, 2019 by nsrobins

[samadamsuk]

Paul Knightly still just N of Salina KS

[samadamsuk]

Looks like a triple point storm over Hays KS - tor warned now ..

[matty40s]

55 minutes ago, nsrobins said:

Sitting close to Clay Center KS watching potential convection on an OFB just to our west. Challenging forecasting today!

edit : position 

You weren't far wrong with that one!!

[samadamsuk]

Watch out Kansas city!