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nsrobins

Tour 3 Chase Day 1 - MOD risk KS/NE/MO

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Posted (edited)

I believe it’s the first day for T3 so welcome to the Plains and buckle up. I’ll start today’s thread with a challenging target forecast.

We’re in McCook, NE after insane chasing of a monster supercell around Imperial and Holyoke yesterday (along with the hordes). Today is tricky - boundary low on meso W KS will drift east today and interact with the WF and ?OFB in far E KS - CAMs suggest convection initiates around 20Z. I might go against SPC and target the area just north of the triple point for max kinematics - initial target Hebron, NE then monitor real time.

Edit - MOD risk 15% hatched. SPC obviously reading this forum lol 

Edited by nsrobins

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* LOCATIONS... Northern Missouri West-central Illinois Far southern Iowa Northeast Kansas * HAZARDS... Widespread damaging winds, some hurricane force A few intense tornadoes Widespread large hail, some baseball size

 

Imagine having a baseball sized rock hurled at you at 90 mph!!!!!

 

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1 death and many injured in Celina, EF3 tornadoes reported in Beaver.

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Posted (edited)

Sitting close to Clay Center KS watching potential convection on an OFB just to our west. Challenging forecasting today!

edit : position 

Edited by nsrobins

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Looks like a triple point storm over Hays KS - tor warned now ..

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55 minutes ago, nsrobins said:

Sitting close to Clay Center KS watching potential convection on an OFB just to our west. Challenging forecasting today!

edit : position 

You weren't far wrong with that one!!

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