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Roger J Smith

June 2019 CET & EWP forecast contests

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This past June ranks in terms of range of CET means from low (10.2 on 11th) to high (21.7 on 29th). -- 11.5 deg.

Only these Junes had larger ranges since 1772:

1936 __ 13.6

1941 __ 13.1

1817 __ 13.0

1947 __ 12.6

1986 __ 12.5

1820. 1914 __ 12.4

2011 __ 12.0

1773, 1903, 1953, 1989, 2001 __ 11.9

1772, 1878, 1975 __ 11.8

1844, 1850 __ 11.7

2009 __ 11.6

1795, 2019 __ 11.5 (tied 20th)

========================================================================

 

 

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The provisional value for June EWP is 115 mm. This is the scoring that will likely be maintained after any adjustments are made to that figure. Reef continues to lead the annual contest, Godber1 was almost right on the money for June and may end up even closer when they release a final value on the 5th. I will adjust this scoring table then (might just do it by editing this post, so check the link if you don't see a new post later). 

 

EWP20182019H.xlsx

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5 hours ago, Roger J Smith said:

The provisional value for June EWP is 115 mm. This is the scoring that will likely be maintained after any adjustments are made to that figure. Reef continues to lead the annual contest, Godber1 was almost right on the money for June and may end up even closer when they release a final value on the 5th. I will adjust this scoring table then (might just do it by editing this post, so check the link if you don't see a new post later). 

 

EWP20182019H.xlsx 99.57 kB · 3 downloads

116mm would be nice.

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Posted (edited)

Seasonal

This follows the June monthly result so Stationery Front leads from Thundershine and nn2013.

image.thumb.png.24d6da269445e93bb043bd4f8f83afd3.png

Overall

Quicksilver rises from 3rd to lead, BornFromtheVoid falls from 1st to 2nd with Stationery Front up to 3rd from 10th after winning this month.

image.thumb.png.46ed58bb1256247e5b162178c3bba1e0.png

June 19 CET.xlsx

Edited by J10

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Posted (edited)

The June EWP has been confirmed at 115.0 mm so nothing to change in the scoring excel file posted on 2nd. 

The annual contest leaders then are

Reef ________________ 55.4

Born from the Void _____ 51.7

seaside60 ____________48.9

weather-history ________46.5

Feb1991blizzard _______46.4

daniel* _______________45.0

Blast From the Past _____42.9

Mulzy ________________42.1

CheesePuffScott _______ 41.8

J10 _________________ 41.6

DAVID SNOW _________41.3

Stargazer ____________ 41.1

Ed Stone ____________ 40.0

Godber1 _____________39.3

Norrance ____________ 38.1

Don _________________37.1

DiagonalRedLine ______ 37.0

The PIT ______________36.1

DR(S)NO ____________ 35.4

(the full excel file is here, I did fix up one minor error, that being the total score is out of 70, not 60 as the other file said) ... also I have added in some later July forecasts that were not in the version posted earlier. 

 

 

EWP20182019June.xlsx

Edited by Roger J Smith

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Thought i would go right down that EWP list, the only explanation that i can think of is because most of the others in the top 3rd in the annual also didn't see that one coming and also because there was only (i would estimate) around 20 forecasts above my 67.7mm

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On 02/07/2019 at 14:21, Godber 1 said:

116mm would be nice.

I am rain believer, can't believe I went too low, 110mm I went for

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On 05/07/2019 at 08:11, Roger J Smith said:

The June EWP has been confirmed at 115.0 mm so nothing to change in the scoring excel file posted on 2nd. 

The annual contest leaders then are

Reef ________________ 55.4

Born from the Void _____ 51.7

seaside60 ____________48.9

weather-history ________46.5

Feb1991blizzard _______46.4

daniel* _______________45.0

Blast From the Past _____42.9

Mulzy ________________42.1

CheesePuffScott _______ 41.8

J10 _________________ 41.6

DAVID SNOW _________41.3

Stargazer ____________ 41.1

Ed Stone ____________ 40.0

Godber1 _____________39.3

Norrance ____________ 38.1

Don _________________37.1

DiagonalRedLine ______ 37.0

The PIT ______________36.1

DR(S)NO ____________ 35.4

(the full excel file is here, I did fix up one minor error, that being the total score is out of 70, not 60 as the other file said) ... also I have added in some later July forecasts that were not in the version posted earlier. 

 

 

EWP20182019June.xlsx 99.59 kB · 5 downloads

Hmm, doing somewhat better with EWP than CET this year, where I’ve had a pretty poor run!

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58 minutes ago, Don said:

Hmm, doing somewhat better with EWP than CET this year, where I’ve had a pretty poor run!

Same here - February was the crippler for me.

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27 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Same here - February was the crippler for me.

Yes, after a good start, that month turned into a horror story!

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