glasto Glastonbury festival 2023

[J10]

Thanks Jo for that, it does make me more convinced that the GFS temps forecasts are very much on the light side.

Providing Glastonbury escapes from the heavy rain tomorrow, conditions are looking excellent for the festival, but be sure to take sunscreen and keep hydrated in the very warm to hot sunshine which is Likely at times Thursday to Saturday. Looking that much fresher for Sunday which be then may be a relief.

GFS Ensembles

Some patchy rain Tuesday, but thereafter largely or completely dry for the festival duration. As good as yesterday's excellent run.

Turning much warmer into next week, with most ensembles going for some very high 850HPa around 20c.

Pressure around 1020mb at the start of the festival and dropping quickly towards 1010mb into Saturday before slowly rising again into the following week.

Synpotic Charts - GFS 12Hz 24 June

Wednesday and Thursday

ECM Wednesday 26 June - ECM Wednesday 26 June - High Pressure over the UK, with Pressure of 1026mb and Easterly winds for South Western UK, Looking mostly dry with 850HPAs 13c midday. and rising.

ECM Thursday 27 June - ECM Thursday 27 June - High Pressure over the UK, with Pressure of 1026mb and winds veering South Easterly for South Western UK, Looking mostly dry with 850HPAs 19c midday and rising.

GFS Wednesday 26 June – With High Pressure covering the UK (1028mb for Glastonbury), a dry day expected with some hazy sunny intervals, moreso towards evening. Winds Easterly with Temperatures 20-21c (850HPA 14c)

GFS Thursday 27 June – With High Pressure covering the UK (1024-1026mb for Glastonbury), another dry day expected with a mostly sunny day likely, Winds veering Southeasterly with Temperatures 21c (850HPA 20c) (Other runs today mostly dry, similar temperatures).

Friday

ECM Friday 28 June - High Pressure very slowly edging away to the North East, with Pressure of 1022mb and South Easterly winds for South Western UK, Looking mostly dry with 850HPAs touching 22c midday.

GFS Friday 28 June –Pressure for South Western parts of the UK is set to drop on Friday (1018mb for Glastonbury in the evening), however looking mostly dry with long sunny spells. Staying warm with expected max Temperatures around 24c. (850HPA 22c)

Weekend

ECM Weekend - 29/30 June Low Pressure edging in over Northern areas, pressure remaining over 1015mb over Southern areas, High Pressure ridging in from the South West on Sunday. 850HPa temps dropping from 20c on Saturday to under 10c on Sunday.

GFS Weekend - 29/30 June Pressure slowly dropping over the weekend with winds veering NW by Sunday. Still looking mostly dry over the weekend. Temperatures 20-22c on Saturday (850HPA 18c), high teens on Sunday.

Summary

Some rain is possible Tuesday, Wednesday to Friday look mostly dry with sunny spells or unbroken sunshine, with some very warm to hot weather expected.

Remaining mostly dry over the weekend, but turning noticeably cooler on the Sunday.

Edited June 24, 2019 by J10

[Zippy]

Is anyone on site already and can give an update as to the rainfall overnight and currently, and whether the trek from car to campsite in the morning is likely to require wellies? Thanks in advance. 

[PompeyFC]

@Zippy - plenty of info on E-Festivals forum - it did rain overnight and the ground is abit wet at present but I do not think any more rain is forecast and the site dries up very quickly these days, I will not be going in with wellies on tomorrow. 

[J10]

If someone could pass over some on site photos/videos is would be very much appreciated.

[PompeyFC]

Jack - thanks again for your model outputs - the 06z ensembles for somerset regarding rain were amazing lol 

 

 

[J10]

2 hours ago, PompeyFC said:

Jack - thanks again for your model outputs - the 06z ensembles for somerset regarding rain were amazing lol 

 

 

Cheers for those. The Ensemble do look pretty good.

 

[J10]

Overall

The final blog for this years festival, and a dry very warm festival is expected, perhaps hot at times Friday and maybe Saturday. Remember to stay hydrated, and apply plenty of sun cream, UV levels are close to peak levels in the UK and are forecast to be Level 7.

The temperatures quoted below are a hybrid of GFS and ECM, they may still understate the temperatures especially for Friday and Saturday.

Ensembles

Looking Dry for the festival duration, High Pressure steady this week, only slowly dropping this weekent. 850HPa rising to over 20c, slowly dropping back on Saturday and Sunday.

Synpotic Charts - GFS 12Hz 24 June

Wednesday and Thursday

Wednesday 26 June – With High Pressure covering the UK (1028mb for Glastonbury), Winds Easterly with Temperatures 20-22c (850HPA 12-14c). A dry day expected with a largely cloudy morning with more sunny intervals as the day progresses.

Thursday 27 June – With High Pressure covering the UK (1028mb for Glastonbury), Another dry day expected with a mostly sunny day likely, Winds veering Southeasterly with Temperatures 21-24c (850HPA 18-19c).

Friday

GFS Friday 28 June –Pressure for South Western parts of the UK is set to drop on Friday (1018mb for Glastonbury in the evening), however looking mostly dry with long sunny spells. Staying warm with expected max Temperatures around 22-26c. (850HPA 22c)

Weekend

Weekend - 29/30 June Pressure slowly dropping over the weekend with winds veering NW by Sunday. Probably sunny to start Saturday, more cloud later but remining dry. Mixed cloud for the Sunday with perhaps the odd light shower. Temperatures 23-27c on Saturday (850HPA 15c), high teens on Sunday.

Summary

A dry festival seems likely with increasing levels of sunshine during the week. Temperatures are set to rise each day peaking either on Friday or early Saturday, before cooling back a little on Sunday.

Edited June 25, 2019 by J10

[J10]

Final Blog now up this year

https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/9666-a-predominantly-dry-glastonbury-festival-this-year-turning-very-warm-or-even-hot-at-times-cooler-on-sunday

Hopefully the weather holds up as forecast, and everyone going has a good one.

[DevonStu]

Been on site since 6pm today. Rained a bit earlier but the ground is solid. Even been round site with me white trainers on

 

[Jo Farrow]

Met Office wind warning Thursday into Friday morning just into other end of Somerset. 

Edited June 26, 2019 by Jo Farrow
more detail

[Jo Farrow]

and a gem of a twitter reply to the wind warning "tricky skinning up conditions #Glastonbury2019"

not mentioned in the Further Details or What to expect section

[Jo Farrow]

Friday - Met Office "Very highest maxima may not to be too far away from the Glastonbury area - highest max in this area during the festival taken to be 31.2C at Rodney Stoke in 2017."

Just north of Glastonbury but tucked behind the Mendip Hills, bit of Fohn.

So 30C likely in Somerset inland, small chance of 31C Friday 28th

Met Office @RichardBetts is at Glastonbury to chat about Climate change. Climate Prof, University of Exeter, Met Office, IPCC. UK Climate Change Risk Assessment. "Anyone at #Glastonbury2019 want to talk to a climate scientist about how we know that humans are heating the Earth, and what this means for the future? Find me in the Green Fields with fellow @FestivalBugs environmental experts! "

[PompeyFC]

It's been flippin boiling. In the shade today. The breeze is a godsend

[J10]

For obvious reasons Glastonbury 2020 was cancelled.

it would have been held on 24-28 June 2020.

From the Met office website.

GFS goes for it turning a little bit more unsettled from around Friday.

 

[CheesepuffScott]

It's brilliant isn't it, no Glasto in 2018 (the weather was brilliant), Glasto last year was nice on the back of that June warm spell IIRC, and this year wouldn't have been too bad it seems. Washout next year?

[Akicif]

On 25/06/2019 at 19:50, J10 said:

Final Blog now up this year

https://www.netweather.tv/weather-forecasts/news/9666-a-predominantly-dry-glastonbury-festival-this-year-turning-very-warm-or-even-hot-at-times-cooler-on-sunday

Hopefully the weather holds up as forecast, and everyone going has a good one.

Hi, where would be the best place to look for similar information for this year, please?

[Paul]

We'll have a glasto forecast for this year running soon, it's a bit early just yet though  

[Akicif]

2 hours ago, Paul said:

We'll have a glasto forecast for this year running soon, it's a bit early just yet though  

Cheers!

[deadstillstanding]

On 25/05/2022 at 08:23, Paul said:

We'll have a glasto forecast for this year running soon, it's a bit early just yet though  

Ace, thank you. Two weeks out and getting very excited! The netweather forecast is the only one I trust ever since you nailed 2005 – will be very glad to see this year's.

[Typhoon John]

The first forecast must be due very soon

[Paul]

4 hours ago, Typhoon John said:

The first forecast must be due very soon

Yep, about now in fact

Glastonbury 2022 MudFest or SunFest Update1

WWW.NETWEATHER.TV

---

A week to go until Glastonbury 2022 opens its doors. The weather looks fair but not as hot as this coming Friday. Don't go expecting that heat.

@DanBailey79 - J10 isn't able to write his forecasts this year, but @Jo Farrow has stepped into the fold!

[Andymk]

16 hours ago, Paul said:

Yep, about now in fact

Glastonbury 2022 MudFest or SunFest Update1

WWW.NETWEATHER.TV

---

A week to go until Glastonbury 2022 opens its doors. The weather looks fair but not as hot as this coming Friday. Don't go expecting that heat.

@DanBailey79 - J10 isn't able to write his forecasts this year, but @Jo Farrow has stepped into the fold!

Fantastic, thank you. Though it's Worthy Farm, not Worthing Farm

[Paul]

On 15/06/2022 at 10:06, Andymk said:

Fantastic, thank you. Though it's Worthy Farm, not Worthing Farm

Oops, typo - I'll get that sorted in a second. Thanks for pointing it out!

[Nimbusman]

Thanks for the update Jo and Paul.
 

Constantly changing picture but as it stands a dry start and set up on wednesdy but signs that a trough scenario is more likely now as much of the live music kicks off on Friday. The Azores high getting squeezed out west and that’s three runs on the spin now from GFS albeit slightly outliers each time. ECM also going for this too.

Interesting that Met and the BBC we’re quite bullish on the AH pushing in yesterday but tentatively watching each run now

@Jo Farrow how often will you be updatIng the forecast? It much appreciated by the way as there’s hundreds of people on another forum hanging on every run now! 

[Paul]

On 16/06/2022 at 11:44, Nimbusman said:

@Jo Farrow how often will you be updatIng the forecast? It much appreciated by the way as there’s hundreds of people on another forum hanging on every run now! 

Yep, Jo is working on an update today