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DiagonalRedLine

Model Output Discussion - May and Early Summer!

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Massive difference this morning at day 10:

ECM
image.thumb.png.0bf6feb2884571039ae807bb519c5a71.png

GFS
image.thumb.png.90942981585bc71ccbcfb1b8d00eed07.png

Wouldn't want to be forecasting anything past day 6 or 7 at the moment with differences that big!

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The GFS has been a lot more more consistent with what it’s showing post 7 days whereas the ECM has been flip flopping around.

 

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6 minutes ago, Djdazzle said:

The GFS has been a lot more more consistent with what it’s showing post 7 days whereas the ECM has been flip flopping around.

That's true, as far as the op goes; but, look what happens to the T850s, post the June 9th bottleneck?:shok:image.thumb.png.e2eeaa0646224705963a5073fafc9ac1.png 

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12 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

That's true, as far as the op goes; but, look what happens to the T850s, post the June 9th bottleneck?:shok:image.thumb.png.e2eeaa0646224705963a5073fafc9ac1.png 

Quite - on the 13th you've got anything from cool and slightly below average to temperatures in the 80's F. All depends on which side of the various pressure systems we end up on....don't think a settled anticyclonic spell will appear though. Best bet would be bog standard summer weather - the odd nice day, the odd rubbish day, temperatures not too far from average either way. 

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Posted (edited)

Time for a rest from model watching 🙂

Edited by StormChaseUK

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Locking this now, new thread up in a minute.

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8 minutes ago, StormChaseUK said:

Time for a rest from model watching 🙂

Feeling exactly the same to be honest! 

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New thread open here:

 

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