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27 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

I did it last year. Not as expensive as some people think. £800 for a unit in living room and bedroom, cheap to run as well, about 10p an hour with both on turbo mode keeping the rooms at 16c. 

Well, given the amount of sunshine the models are currently predicting, a/c units could run on solar power?:oldgrin:

image.thumb.png.fbd9e796c01ef96b9bb4e1c94e3ec889.pngimage.thumb.png.fcf7e9dfabf13208d3187869da6d8af2.png :oldgood:

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Posted (edited)

Amazing ain't it folks, during winter we see all the models firm up on a cold snap 1 day, and the next, slowly but surely we see them back track again!!! Not with this warm spell we don't.... Here is the 6z supplying the goods later next week.... Its looking good summer lovers.. 👍

On a more negative note.. I reckon the Spanish residents maybe taking more naps than usual... Just look at those uppers approaching the South!! 

Out to day 10 and good chunk of England still in warm air, not overly bad up North tbh. This looks like a reload pattern could be setting up soon as well. 

gfs-0-96.png

gfs-0-120 (1).png

gfs-0-150 (1).png

gfs-0-168 (1).png

gfs-1-168 (1).png

gfs-1-216 (1).png

Edited by Mattwolves
Adding chart

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That'll do nicely! image.thumb.png.1986ffd12a58ba0403cd4d2ab1067e4e.pngimage.thumb.png.368b06a27f61b44876c23f94f85633a2.png:yahoo: 

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Long way off folks so caution required.... But the 6z ending is just fabulous!! I said I hope my Northern neighbours can get a little of the action... And here it is... +12 uppers in the far North.... In the words of Bernard Matthews.... .. Bootiful..... 

gfs-0-300.png

gfs-0-324.png

gfs-0-360.png

gfs-0-384.png

gfs-1-360.png

gfs-1-384.png

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Yes an interesting evolution on GFS...period between 144 and 168 seems to be pivatol... room for upgrades on EC in this timeframe.

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The FV3 (great model!) ends with some scorching potential down over Spain, Portugal and France! It does, however, take an altogether more phlegmatic approach to things, when compared to its older sibling?:oldgood:

image.thumb.png.936d543879183d7f6fc83252e1acaec0.pngimage.thumb.png.9326081ebca6b2a3729563c59b84363a.png 

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Good persisting signs of "summer warmth from south"  don't want to jinx it by using the plume word just yet.

 

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Les 06Z ensembles: image.thumb.png.88eebb80c46ba23f0c8038433d161585.pngimage.thumb.png.84f19bed3dacbb68cfff1d4c0a8d5dcc.png

     Et le precipitation: image.thumb.png.3ddf79a03625cac3285bfd9e23616bd9.png 

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1 hour ago, Ed Stone said:

Les 06Z ensembles: image.thumb.png.88eebb80c46ba23f0c8038433d161585.pngimage.thumb.png.84f19bed3dacbb68cfff1d4c0a8d5dcc.png

     Et le precipitation: image.thumb.png.3ddf79a03625cac3285bfd9e23616bd9.png 

I'm encouraged by the ppn. spikes after the 7th - indications of a plume, perchance?

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So to the 12s then, and the settled picture over most of the UK seems nailed on at T108 now, here on GFS, GEM and the (delayed) ICON:

image.thumb.jpg.ba3961c02607b188a081f347a16fb710.jpg

image.thumb.jpg.ee00f4bdac1edefb22acac1015048660.jpg

image.thumb.jpg.316cfc5a75192d34e988f97309ad61eb.jpg

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Looking good at T+201.image.thumb.png.fd8394a1c5b9290bebd519192b843c24.pngimage.thumb.png.9ae8b0d1a6845ede40ca290a8ae74d53.png

But: image.thumb.png.29f64fcbfc7711706ac0833ef09587f7.png

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Posted (edited)

Let's catch up with those three models again at T156:

image.thumb.jpg.c53512deec409adf303d6178b4ffb7a8.jpg

image.thumb.jpg.8f49a87155ded431874bcd3a64cbfae7.jpg

image.thumb.jpg.c4885ea95a50d0487a3396f44b81c6a8.jpg

GFS and GEM are of the high pressure dominance then less settled maybe thundery intermission before the settled spells take hold once again, ICON is the 2018 redux, starting a bit earlier.  Enjoy! 

Add to that the UKMO, also late, but this time did appear to come out in order, with the T144 last:

image.thumb.jpg.a3cac72a763ed179559f13d721798128.jpg

Going with the ICON solution I think there.

Edited by Mike Poole

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GFS looks very warm next through next weekend and early next week with 24/25/26 deg for manchester area and the potential for some heavy thundery showers..

image.thumb.png.4ef7bcbd6e9413b1d528d8b3ea3dd1e0.png

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The honourable member for the south seems excited at T198 on GFS 12z:

image.thumb.jpg.7f5e6676778c91b6064ec3815015aef6.jpg 

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A nice and toasty end too:image.thumb.png.3839a1b5df61859e7bfb91fcfc2fcd5a.pngimage.thumb.png.bff3907032379f60c948280fa7a271b0.png

We've got off snot-free!:yahoo:

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Posted (edited)
9 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

A nice and toasty end too:image.thumb.png.3839a1b5df61859e7bfb91fcfc2fcd5a.pngimage.thumb.png.bff3907032379f60c948280fa7a271b0.png

We've got off snot-free!:yahoo:

And a smiley and a wink from the jet stream too,,,I'm in a seeing pictures in things mood today!....portends well, to use a phrase, Hello summer...

image.thumb.jpg.66b47ef520b9610577dac84acfbe442d.jpg

Edited by Mike Poole

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Oh dear, the FV3 at T+276 is, shall we say, a tad disappointing...Though it is a crap model!:oldgrin:

image.thumb.png.79beff947472a1e32f74d02eda9b6181.pngimage.thumb.png.f069f8e919b96da05b0477edd0525690.png 

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Quite a strong signal tonight from the GEFS, here at T192 and T312:

image.thumb.jpg.0a59ab8953fcdbddbb6f47a1260c129d.jpgimage.thumb.jpg.c05130d4faf6e867dec5d9c6450efd79.jpg

First for a suggestion of a break after the first time the high pressure takes hold over the UK later next week, and later the strong suggestion that a train of high pressures affecting at least the south might be the form horse.  it's my form horse 🦄

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I'm not going to pay too much attention to the way the FV3 ends...I just hope it hasn't latched-on to a new trend!:shok:

image.thumb.png.8f161c9a3a94eddc054f3cb908f10960.pngimage.thumb.png.ea93020180cbcc3ac35357ead7f7b3fd.png

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The 12Z ensembles have duly arrived: image.thumb.png.c18a469c10f81a54062b8455a0ebb675.png

      image.thumb.png.029593714ed57bd128b40f133c077556.pngimage.thumb.png.45a9383de1a35468d670bc5be1e1bc18.png Some rain?:yahoo:

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Another good day for upgrades folks, just having a look at the CFS 6z run deeper into June, and again it's an absolute blinder... Here are some highlights.. 

cfs-0-264.png

cfs-0-300.png

cfs-0-324.png

cfs-0-348 (1).png

cfs-2-384.png

cfs-2-414.png

cfs-2-432.png

cfs-0-438.png

cfs-0-480.png

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Posted (edited)

Promising start from ECM out to day 5. 

ECM1-96 (1).gif

ECM1-120 (1).gif

ECM0-120.gif

ECM1-144 (1).gif

ECM0-144 (1).gif

Edited by Mattwolves

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Posted (edited)

Good agreement out to 144h, happy days!

Edited by TomW

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Posted (edited)

144 - 168 now coming into view on EC-

Could go either way at 168 ...

image.thumb.png.49dfea254651cd5253ea1ec1c26644b0.png

edit, ouch.

image.thumb.png.59d876417d6403e481044ed7162030f7.png

Edited by northwestsnow

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