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DiagonalRedLine

Model Output Discussion - May and Early Summer!

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3 minutes ago, Frosty. said:

For most of june the cfs 0z is absolutely vile💩 but it then improves in early july!!!!👍😜

Vile?? How dare you resort to using doom merchant swear words. I'm sure you can sniff out some glimmer of hope in the cfs 0z to cheer us up.

 

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4 minutes ago, 38.5*C said:

 I'm sure you can sniff out some glimmer of hope in the cfs 0z to cheer us up.

 

I can.. in early July👍😉🌞

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2 minutes ago, Frosty. said:

I can.. in early July👍😉🌞

One extremely hot Julie...coming up!:yahoo:

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Just now, Ed Stone said:

One extremely hot Julie...coming up!:yahoo:

You mean juillet😉

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Posted (edited)
33 minutes ago, 38.5*C said:

I'm sure you can sniff out some glimmer of hope in the cfs 0z to cheer us up.

 

Late September looks encouraging from last nights Cfs 18z 👍😜

cfs-0-2994.png

cfs-0-3024.png

cfs-2-3030.png

Edited by Frosty.

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I have a feeling we are going to be looking at charts hoping a plume comes ....  in November 😕

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11 minutes ago, StormChaseUK said:

I have a feeling we are going to be looking at charts hoping a plume comes ....  in November 😕

Or new years day 2020..think I posted those yesterday!👍

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Here is a snapshot from the end of last May... Gorgeous wouldn't you say!!!! 

ECM0-240 (1).gif

ECM1-240 (2).gif

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Thursday still looks like being a bit of a spiffer!:oldgood:

image.thumb.png.462a036198280c7ae67b3925bfebd2fb.pngimage.thumb.png.81692471851c2b936708aa6bddbe9662.png 

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1 minute ago, Ed Stone said:

Thursday still looks like being a bit of a spiffer!:oldgood:

image.thumb.png.462a036198280c7ae67b3925bfebd2fb.pngimage.thumb.png.81692471851c2b936708aa6bddbe9662.png 

Indeed, pressure at 1016 mb..Boom!!👍:yahoo:

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Posted (edited)

The ukmo 12h doesn't look particularly unsettled at all, indeed it looks predominantly fine and warm further south with azores ridge influence, it becomes changeable and cooler much further north but there's nothing that sets any smoke alarms ringing in the woodshed!👍 😉

UW72-21.gif

UW96-21.gif

UW96-7.gif

UW120-21.gif

UW120-7.gif

UW144-21.gif

UW144-7.gif

Edited by Frosty.

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Sunday might be a wee bit warm...If you're a certain squirrel and live in Cornwall...Just!:oldgrin:

image.thumb.png.ae37f71d3be616e731c8e41cf8739ac5.pngimage.thumb.png.7b7071607ae862e3badbf0bd2dcb3ef6.png                                                                                                             image.thumb.png.cfe5cb68d6496b724ddf85f886ebf794.png

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At least it looks as if (touch MDF!) that dastardly NLB'ing-threat has faded? I'd rather see an Icelandic low than a Greenland high.:oldgrin:

image.thumb.png.155c9e1cbefd1f35e0ce2aab5946f31c.pngimage.thumb.png.4805ac56701d538f9785f3eb2fdb35b9.png 

 

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Posted (edited)

Here is a few snippets of the 12z,some fine conditions around up until Sunday, especially in the southern half, looks a tad more unsettled early next week before high pressure kind of tries to settle things down again... Tbh further down the line is looking mainly settled to the SW and South. Further North is gonna be prone to a bit of crap at times, and that's me sugar coating it!! 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

gfs-0-120 (1).png

gfs-0-144.png

gfs-0-168.png

gfs-0-192.png

gfs-0-216.png

gfs-0-240.png

gfs-0-276.png

gfs-0-348.png

gfs-0-384.png

Edited by Mattwolves

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Excuse me folks I've posted the wrong charts,,, bare with 👍

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3 minutes ago, Mattwolves said:

Excuse me folks I've posted the wrong charts,,, bare with 👍

It's a weather forum, Matt -- not a nudist colony!🤣

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I've lost the plot Pete, I was about to post charts from 2012...blumin good job I didn't.... 😜

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End of the FV3: image.thumb.png.b430ed59d7db71508935df0639397ea9.png image.thumb.png.05a6f905b3be37ff5c81ef77b64533cc.png

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8 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

End of the FV3: image.thumb.png.b430ed59d7db71508935df0639397ea9.png image.thumb.png.05a6f905b3be37ff5c81ef77b64533cc.png

Wish it was the end for the FV3😜💩

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Posted (edited)

The GEFS 12z mean is, for the most part nae bad, there is a brief intrusion of cooler and more unsettled weather from the north but before that and more especially afterwards indicates the azores high becoming more influential which would mean a better chance of fine and warmer conditions into early June!!👍 

GFSAVGEU12_120_1.png

GFSAVGEU12_144_1.png

GFSAVGEU12_216_1.png

GFSAVGEU12_240_1.png

GFSAVGEU12_264_1.png

GFSAVGEU12_312_1.png

GFSAVGEU12_336_1.png

GFSAVGEU12_360_1.png

GFSAVGEU12_366_2.png

GFSAVGEU12_384_1.png

Edited by Frosty.

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The GEFS ensemble graphs are okay, too. But I guess they would be!:oldgrin:

image.thumb.png.f7d6c919458c204a46ad124d1806c5c4.pngimage.thumb.png.8332cc75e6c215b401a6d61a9c41cbd5.png 

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3 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

The GEFS ensemble graphs are okay, too. But I guess they would be!:oldgrin:

image.thumb.png.f7d6c919458c204a46ad124d1806c5c4.pngimage.thumb.png.8332cc75e6c215b401a6d61a9c41cbd5.png 

There's some stonking and stinking potential in early June according to the 12z perturbations.👍😜💩

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12 minutes ago, Frosty. said:

There's some stonking and stinking potential in early June according to the 12z perturbations.👍😜💩

That's okay -- I don't feel in the least bit perturbed!:help:

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Everytime warm air tries to build that F%%^&ing B&^&%^$d Cold pool comes down from the North

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ECM looking good for the next week, plenty of settled spring like conditions... Then it goes manic Street preachers with a big cold blast.... Oh well... Should be brief... 

ECM1-96.gif

ECM1-120.gif

ECM1-144.gif

ECM1-168.gif

ECM1-192.gif

tenor.gif

3843583F-AFF3-4E24-8600-46B08F7A510C.thumb.gif.874639288d74cc852342ae838631a243.gif

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