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Summer 2019 - Moans, Ramps, Chat etc


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Posted
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm springs, hot summers, warm then stormy autumn
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
23 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Quoted from MOD thread

For a lot of the population yes they’d prefer less intense heat of course but then again this forum isn’t most of the population but a forum for weather enthusiasts.  I think a large percentage here, me included, want to see the extremes out of pure interest in what it ends up like. 

Not that sunny and warm with low humidity is a bad option but of course but for me it’s ‘bring on the heat!’ Thunderstorms welcome too.

I might say different after a few days of heat and high humidity of course ?

I also love it blazing hot, but I also don’t mind a few ‘cooler’ days in low-mid 20s. Just like in winter when I prefer it to be freezing with blizzards, but I wouldn’t mind some cool crisp sunny days either.. not that we really get either of them in the first place.

Edited by CheesepuffScott
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Posted
  • Location: Wakefield, West Yorkshire
  • Location: Wakefield, West Yorkshire
31 minutes ago, matt111 said:

Quoted from MOD thread

For a lot of the population yes they’d prefer less intense heat of course but then again this forum isn’t most of the population but a forum for weather enthusiasts.  I think a large percentage here, me included, want to see the extremes out of pure interest in what it ends up like. 

Not that sunny and warm with low humidity is a bad option but of course but for me it’s ‘bring on the heat!’ Thunderstorms welcome too.

I might say different after a few days of heat and high humidity of course ?

That is a fair point. I am a weather enthusiast but high humidity doesn’t appeal. 

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Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
3 minutes ago, Paul_1978 said:

That is a fair point. I am a weather enthusiast but high humidity doesn’t appeal. 

The main reason I want it to happen is I like extremes but I don’t think I’d want it to hang around too long. However last years heat with low humidity I’d happily see hang around. 

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Posted
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet
  • Location: Leeds/Bradford border, 185 metres above sea level, around 600 feet

 

15 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

Usual caveats apply but its interesting that all the gfs ens drop the temps back down to average for the start of July.

One of the reasons for this warm spell is that a westerly wind burst entered the western Pacific  around June 10th however easterlies are once again forecast to take over from about the 25th.

Allowing for a 10 day lag that does suggest 20th June-5th July.

 

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Posted
  • Location: Home Kettering. Work Somerset.
  • Location: Home Kettering. Work Somerset.
1 hour ago, Ed Stone said:

Who's said anything is 'nailed on', Rammie? And, surely, if the word 'should' can be applied to the weather, it 'should', if anything, be average?:oldgrin:

Yes, it should, if anything, be average, and it probably will be :). 

Can't remember who said nailed on, but it was definitely used in the mod thread yesterday, more than once I think. 

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Posted
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
  • Location: Near Romford Essex.
25 minutes ago, summer blizzard said:

 

One of the reasons for this warm spell is that a westerly wind burst entered the western Pacific  around June 10th however easterlies are once again forecast to take over from about the 25th.

Allowing for a 10 day lag that does suggest 20th June-5th July.

 

Thanks for that sb, will keep a check on the ENS over the coming days.

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Posted
  • Location: Torrington, Devon
  • Weather Preferences: storms - of the severe kind
  • Location: Torrington, Devon

i am jaffa cakesed, happens every friggin time. Now, it's storm downgrades. South-west only has a yellow warning left for Tuesday, but when you read the text, it's basically: elevated storms from France overnight, if you're lucky.. later during the day, only a small chance of further storms developing but most places will miss them.

if no risk of storms, i don't want the heat. I will jaffa cakes off to some place with A/C until this crap is over

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Posted
  • Location: Sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and dry, thunderstorms, mild temps (13-22°C).
  • Location: Sheffield

Found some cheap flights to Amsterdam from Doncaster Sheffield Airport, wondering if I might go "heat chasing" on the continent next week. But then I realise I would have to find somewhere to stay, which would be expensive, so thought against it. Real shame though, would be nice to experience some real heat.

In South Yorkshire it looks like a very ordinary warm blip/spell with temps up to 25 degrees so nothing unusual and nowhere near as above average as the cold crap last week was below average (high of 10 here). 

Edited by Thundershine
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Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
24 minutes ago, Thundershine said:

Found some cheap flights to Amsterdam from Doncaster Sheffield Airport, wondering if I might go "heat chasing" on the continent next week. But then I realise I would have to find somewhere to stay, which would be expensive, so thought against it. Real shame though, would be nice to experience some real heat.

In South Yorkshire it looks like a very ordinary warm blip/spell with temps up to 25 degrees so nothing unusual and nowhere near as above average as the cold crap last week was below average (high of 10 here). 

Just wait and see...you might be pleasantly surprised, never over read models or people on that thread.

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Posted
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in summer, thunderstorms, snow, fog, frost, squall lines
  • Location: Nymburk, Czech Republic and Staines, UK
47 minutes ago, Thundershine said:

Found some cheap flights to Amsterdam from Doncaster Sheffield Airport, wondering if I might go "heat chasing" on the continent next week. But then I realise I would have to find somewhere to stay, which would be expensive, so thought against it. Real shame though, would be nice to experience some real heat.

In South Yorkshire it looks like a very ordinary warm blip/spell with temps up to 25 degrees so nothing unusual and nowhere near as above average as the cold crap last week was below average (high of 10 here). 

Wouldn’t go to Amsterdam for heat. London or Paris should be good!

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Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: Basically intresting weather,cold,windy you name it
  • Location: sheffield

Looking like a really good summers week coming up in my area,not to hot,dry,bit of sun,can't fault it at all. Much better than the awful weather that was showing a couple of days ago,that heat has gone and a good proper UK summers week is here at last! 

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Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
1 minute ago, Leo97t said:

If that's what is expected on Wednesday I think the UK record is achievable albeit still a long shot on Friday/Saturday

Considering the models don’t have the really hot uppers arriving until Thursday, one would think so! Several other factors will also come into play though.

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Posted
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
  • Location: Scouthead Oldham 295mASL
10 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Met Office temperatures for Monday to Wednesday.

9318ACC2-4014-4F82-840F-D9F028F185BC.jpeg

645CCD5F-6486-4A51-B36E-820B43C132ED.jpeg

 

00D862B3-092B-4755-AAE9-9AC77D9F695F.jpeg

WOWZERS!!! 

31 in manchester !! Got to be close to records for June?

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Posted
  • Location: Exeter
  • Weather Preferences: Warm and sunny!
  • Location: Exeter
18 hours ago, matty007 said:

I would say it's pretty much impossible for 38.5c to be beaten in late June. We are talking the all time record here, not a month record. July 1st was indeed a very potent plume, but still 'only' managed 36.7c. That is almost 2 degrees off the all time record. Doesn't sound much, but when you're talking about the UK, that extra 2 degrees is very hard to obtain. Would 38.5c have been beaten in July 2015 if the airmass had stayed for another few days...possible, but difficult in early July. 

To get close to, or breach, 40c in the UK you need an absolute perfect setup, and I mean perfect. Perfect wind direction, highest uppers possible, warm ground temps. Late July/early August is when the surface is at it's hottest, and you 100% need that at full strength to threaten 40c. 

 

To achieve 36.7°C in such a brief period of time was extraordinary.  In a warming climate it's only a matter of time before the first 40°C is recorded.  I imagine reaching the mid 30s will become commonplace in the coming decades.

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Posted
  • Location: Worthing
  • Location: Worthing

I do not believe that is right what the meto say temperature wise,to high temps Monday to wed, those temps will be more like that Thursday to Saturday, current models show hottest Thursday to sat so if meto temps are right I would presume the record would go by Saturday 

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Posted
  • Location: Sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and dry, thunderstorms, mild temps (13-22°C).
  • Location: Sheffield

We have 850hpa temps of 5°C today and I made a tmax of 22°C. In that case, next week could see highs of 32°C or higher if that same logic applies.

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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
22 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

And 34 in London!!

Thats mid 90s f..

Wonder what night temps will be like??

Warmer than the day temps at the top of Scotland I expect?!

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Posted
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, high teens to low 20's,sunny and convective
  • Location: Taunton, Somerset.

Met office have a different temperatures range for early next week

image.png.49ca89ae84544ec196427a2fcee1a615.png

image.png.3e3353d2a98c6c323c75254108c04051.png

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Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Location: Manchester
26 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

WOWZERS!!! 

31 in manchester !! Got to be close to records for June?

It was 31C last June (26th I think). It's worth remembering that Manchester does pretty well if the flow is from the SE, as hot as places a lot further south (except the SE of course).

Edited by Scorcher
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Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset

Here's the NetWx temps for next week. Only as a comparison, plenty to resolve still.

 viewimage.thumb.png.ec77e3c96d621ff903c1c139e29a1fd5.png 222651286_viewimage(1).thumb.png.ef68ce4d3a00e4f32d76d4f351fa4d03.png 1988419640_viewimage(2).thumb.png.dfbd32362513c396011be5a316e1f135.png 17956172_viewimage(3).thumb.png.804de6a2f0ec95c1c5b8f1eeaf16dbf9.png 1245285893_viewimage(4).thumb.png.9221895d561122727abeb6d85f5cd8a7.png

Edited by Mapantz
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