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Storms and Convective Discussion - 20th April 2019 onwards

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4 minutes ago, tomp456 said:

I see lightning on the detector but not with eyes, why? 

 

15608894568351521839639743096266.thumb.jpg.b6142f489765815a8944db73d2a9fb8a.jpg

It’s probably all IC

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Looking like an eastward track,  Rouen,  then up to Calais - Dover clipper

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I really hope there will be some good thunderstorms for all of SE England, Arpege seemed to favour MCS.

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2 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

It seems as though timings are an issue now. Shortwave slowed... The 18Z UKV now shows the main interest in the SE tomorrow morning, circa 6am and onwards.

Makes sense, I was expecting much more general destabilisation in the channel now. 

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New cells firing up west of that Caen storm.

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3 minutes ago, Mapantz said:

It seems as though timings are an issue now. Shortwave slowed... The 18Z UKV now shows the main interest in the SE tomorrow morning, circa 6am and onwards.

Any hope for our area in your opinion?

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Just now, Alderc said:

Makes sense, I was expecting much more general destabilisation in the channel now. 

Yeah I was thinking that the main action would have happened by now. Hopefully the strength of the thunderstorms will not be affected!

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It might just be me, but does anyone else see a more northward movement in the last 10 minutes?

 

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Webcams at the ready 🌩️🌩️🌩️

Bognor Regis Webcam - Live Streaming Cam with sound    https://www.bognorregisbeach.co.uk/live

Watch Great Yarmouth Live Seafront webcams    https://www.great-yarmouth.co.uk/visitor-info/webcam.aspx

Eastbourne Webcam   http://www.itsfine.org/weather/wx_webcam_quick.php

Hastings Pier Webcam   http://www.itsfine.org/weather/wx_webcam_hastings.php

Brighton City Shoreham Airport with sound   http://flybrighton.com/live-information/webcam/

Brighton Webcams   https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-kingdom/england/brighton/brighton-pier.html

Brighton Webcams https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-kingdom/england/brighton/brighton.html

Deal - Kent live cam https://www.skylinewebcams.com/en/webcam/united-kingdom/england/deal/deal.html

Isle of Wight - Shanklin Coast Webcam http://www.camsecure.co.uk/shanklin-coast-webcam.html

Portsmouth Harbour Webcam http://www.hmswarrior.org/webcam

Updated with these added below

Webcam Le Havre (lots of lightning now showing on here.....hopefully it makes it across the channel)  https://www.lehavretourisme.com/en/live-webcam

Moving Live Web Camera looking across ‘The Solent’ from Ryde to Portsmouth   https://isleofwightwebcams.co.uk/solent-webcam/

Moving Live Web Cam overlooks Ryde’s Appley Beach   https://isleofwightwebcams.co.uk/appley-beach/

Moving Live Web Cam Looking over the Solent near Cowes https://isleofwightwebcams.co.uk/cowes-yachting/

Isle of Wight Pearl Brightstone SW Facing though   https://www.iowpearl.com/live-webcam/

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2 minutes ago, Luke Best said:

Any hope for our area in your opinion?

I can't see it, Luke. Mainly showery bursts of rain. I shall keep watching for the time being. 🙂

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turns his radio kitt off and disconnects antennas and grounds the shack .... what your seeing here is lightning discharges on the low hf band ...

lighting-detection-5.jpg

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1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

I can't see it, Luke. Mainly showery bursts of rain. I shall keep watching for the time being. 🙂

Agreed, I just wonder whether there a tiny opportunity in gap up through Brest when the shortwave will swing through but a generally think the phasing is going to be out of kilter. 

Mall no idea why there are so many false Sferics returns around the CI currently when there’s absolutely nowt there...

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Posted (edited)

 I am keeping eye to see where that cells coming in two France from Bay of Biscay what direction it gose

Edited by tomdewey

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I'm no storm expert (I'm gradually learning largely through the excellent content in this thread) but I really can't see how this event is going to happen, apart from maybe in the very SE, AROME 12z develops little or no MUCAPE at all:

anim_bcj2.gif

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2 minutes ago, Andy Pepler said:

turns his radio kitt off and disconnects antennas and grounds the shack .... what your seeing here is lightning discharges on the low hf band ...

lighting-detection-5.jpg

I wish I had an AM radio, Andy.

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Raining. No lightning visible, plenty on detector. 

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Maybe, I think I can potentially see some but I don't know if it is just new cells developing to the North?

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1 minute ago, tomdewey said:

 I am keeping eye to see where that cells coming in from Bay of Biscay what direction it gose

They are way too far out and will not affect the UK unfortunately.

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