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Storms and Convective Discussion - 20th April 2019 onwards

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Live Boltek 350. On my roof. Will post some more as the evening progresses. 

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Wow. That storm just BLEW UP.

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Posted (edited)
8 minutes ago, Harry said:

NetWx NMM not in agreement with MetO model at all...which will win out??

2DDFC83C-20D3-4704-BD91-8CFC75529E34.png

We shall see! Happy to be proved wrong. I think the far SE is looking good and I think the storm over Caen will head that way.

Whether it will be more widespread then that is difficult today. Maybe more storms tomorrow though. 

Edited by Quicksilver1989

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Just shows how quick things can develop. There was nothing on the radar near there 15 minutes ago. 

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First tracked thunderstorm of the evening now for me. 

 

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2 minutes ago, zmstorm said:

Wow. That storm just BLEW UP.

Goes to show that storms can happen at anytime without notice 

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An area of interest to me to watch now onwards is over Brest to the Channel Islands....I think elevated storms will fire in that area over the next few hours....There are subtle hints on radar showing a sharp increase in localised ppn near the channel islands currently

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I think there's an issue with the radar;

712934473_Annotation2019-06-18184227.thumb.jpg.e9881c340c19ecb59f64996f06776a44.jpg 1848589483_Annotation2019-06-18184242.thumb.jpg.2a3afa04040ef7823be796a8bcf8ea0c.jpg

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South of Colchester looks interesting...

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13 minutes ago, Dami said:

Only a bust if i wake up tomorrow and no one has had any thunder. 

I have seen clear radars blow up in minutes.

patience grasshopper.  

Same. Look at the radar over my area now. That intensifying band of rain came out of next to nothing. I know cos am in it and watched it develop. Interesting thing is I noticed just before the rain that the clouds were moving SW straight into the incoming  wind. And hello,we are convection a go go here.  Just rain, but elsewhere could get some juicier action

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Are some of lightning dots fuse one or real ones 

Screenshot_20190618-184354.png

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We've had heavy rain here close to Buxton for the past 10 minutes

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14 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

I'm pretty sure end of May 2 years ago there was an unexpected storm which wasn't in the forecast that took people by surprise and suddenly blew up over parts of the South and Wales where there was 500 strikes a minute according to Real Time Lightning 

Yes indeed, it was a crazy night!

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The Caen cells look like Kent clippers at the mo, but steering flow, I believe will back to a more SSW-NNE flow as the night progresses as opposed to the current WSW-ENE flow

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South of Colchester could see lightning soon.

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Absolutely amazing cloud structures over me right now.

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There’s  now a breeze here 

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The 12Z UKV has the precip between me and IoW spot on, and shows the storms over Normandy. However, later on, it doesn't look too good if you're West of the IoW up to the Wash.

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A Lightning dot pop up near Jersey on lighting maps 

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evening all, after a manic few days in France for the Le Mans 24hr motor race, its nice to be back and be in with a chance of some overnight storms, not sure if the rain we have had over the last few hours has scuppered any chance for here but it sure feels muggy.

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1 minute ago, Mapantz said:

The 12Z UKV has the precip between me and IoW spot on, and shows the storms over Normandy. However, later on, it doesn't look too good if you're West of the IoW up to the Wash.

Possible screenshot is that not allowed??

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5 minutes ago, zmstorm said:

South of Colchester looks interesting...

I noticed some rising accas over that way a short while ago from the garden.

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