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Storms and Convective Discussion - 20th April 2019 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
  • Location: West/East/Sussex Surrey border
    5 minutes ago, Andy Pepler said:

    best thing about eastbourne is the road out of it lolol

    much prefer Eastbourne over Brighton in the summer, much quieter and nicer

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    Caught some lovely structure last night. Just South of Hailsham, E Sussex, looking toward the coast.

    This courtesy of one of my closest friend’s Dad in Eastbourne...crank the sound right up!! Amazing! 3EC4CEA2-31E0-4E40-B801-02CA5200BA65.MP4

    In my storm watching spot for the night at Caterham view point on the southern edge of M25?

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
    1 minute ago, Christchurch storm nut said:

    Is it possible that the main cluster giving the most lighting is surface based? 

    As it looks to me the  band that is on a more northerly course, might me the main event,

    it just looks more like what was modelled

    As it looks like the storm that is going bonkers will end up clipping Kent.

    So is it worth staying up for ? ?

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Anything unusual
  • Location: Worthing, West Sussex

    I’m guessing West Sussex is out of the firing line, and everything will be east and north of here?

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level

    Very, very slowly lightning activity is edging into the channel now

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    Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
    Just now, tomp456 said:

    I’m guessing West Sussex is out of the firing line, and everything will be east and north of here?

    It will (read: should) expand and the track of that huge electric blob of madness will correct to a more northerly path.

    I would worry more about being directly under it ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire
  • Location: Emsworth, Hampshire

    Interesting radar for south of the IOW, on my path too. Will report what I get when It arrives!

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    Posted
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
  • Location: South east England, broadstairs
    Just now, Met4Cast said:

    Very, very slowly lightning activity is edging into the channel now

    What do you think met4cast, worth me staying up in Broadstairs or no?

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Christchurch, Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme weather what else!
  • Location: Christchurch, Dorset
    3 minutes ago, Mitch perrott said:

    So is it worth staying up for ? ?

     

    I honestly don't know

    But If I'm honest with myself, it's probably more hope than what will end up happening, but who knows? Anyone ? ?

    Edited by Christchurch storm nut
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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
    1 minute ago, Mitch perrott said:

    What do you think met4cast, worth me staying up in Broadstairs or no?

     

    Ehhhhh I don't know.. It's very much a radar watching situation and until there's significant movement across the channel it's anyones guess where they'll end up

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    Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: RACY, Extratropical Storm, Barocyclonic Leaf
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District

    With this heat and humidity I can't sleep well anyway, and there's a SpaceX Falcon9 Heavy launch around 4am that i'm staying up for. Latest Met Office forecast looks good for some multicells across the Midlands/NW by the morning hours.

     

    Edited by SNOW_JOKE
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    Posted
  • Location: Horndean, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms followed by snow (preferably on the same day!)
  • Location: Horndean, Hampshire
    2 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

    It will (read: should) expand and the track of that huge electric blob of madness will correct to a more northerly path.

    I would worry more about being directly under it ?

    Really hoping to see something as mum and I are waiting patiently on Worthing seafront! We have a cool box with supplies so we are fed and watered lol. Rain easing slightly now too

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)

    The Rennes cells should be on a trajectory path of what the models/forecast's show as these developed west of the La mans cells of which i think will miss the SE 

    also the latest radar grabs show that the Rennes cells have backed west slightly

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    Posted
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, storms and other extremes
  • Location: Crewe, Cheshire
    1 minute ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

    With this heat and humidity I can't sleep well anyway, and there's a SpaceX Falcon9 Heavy launch around 4am that i'm staying up for anyway. Latest Met Office forecast looks good for some multicells across the Midlands/NW by the morning hours.

     

    We're under a heavy rain warning here, not a thunderstorm one. However, I don't even see where this heavy rain is going to emerge from up here?

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    Posted
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate
  • Weather Preferences: Wake me up when the storms arrive
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate

    I'm beginning to burn out here. I'm hearing a lot of promises, but not a lot is happening. And I don't see any indication of unstable air masses injecting into something over wherever to revitalise the UK wash out.

    I'll persist a bit longer, but we really need that Rennes mass to start blowing up. Apart from that, there is a suspicious divergence beginning to happen that appears to go west and east of Barry's Hatch, but not actually into it.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level

    We could have watched the entire Lord of the Rings trilogy in the time this storm is taking to cross the channel. Sods law it'll speed up and blast through the second it touches the UK. 

    1674332981_Screenshot2019-06-25at00_52_13.thumb.png.4c56283c491ccafb9f9fd2777d06ad10.png

    Definite northwards progress now though.

    Edited by Met4Cast
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    Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming
    Just now, StormLoser said:

    I'm beginning to burn out here. I'm hearing a lot of promises, but not a lot is happening. And I don't see any indication of unstable air masses injecting into something over wherever to revitalise the UK wash out.

    I'll persist a bit longer, but we really need that Rennes mass to start blowing up. Apart from that, there is a suspicious divergence beginning to happen that appears to go west and east of Barry's Hatch, but not actually into it.

     

    Give it another 45 mins and you’ll start to see the plume destabilising over the channel

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    Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: RACY, Extratropical Storm, Barocyclonic Leaf
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
    1 minute ago, CreweCold said:

    We're under a heavy rain warning here, not a thunderstorm one. However, I don't even see where this heavy rain is going to emerge from up here?

    Could be outflow from the MCS in the SE causing some local convergence zones towards the Midlands, with enough lifting to trigger something off.

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    3 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

    We're under a heavy rain warning here, not a thunderstorm one. However, I don't even see where this heavy rain is going to emerge from up here?

    Ooooh what are they sending up in the Heavy this time?

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    Posted
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate
  • Weather Preferences: Wake me up when the storms arrive
  • Location: South East UK, Reigate
    4 minutes ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

    Give it another 45 mins and you’ll start to see the plume destabilising over the channel

    I can manage that! I see the storm NW of Rouen is hugging the coast. The radar track suggests rotation in it, but it might be my rheumy old eyes...

    The spawning zone at Rennes has also left the town, and is drifting north.

    Edited by StormLoser
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    Posted
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft
  • Weather Preferences: Storms, NLC
  • Location: Glasnevin Latitude: 53°22′49″ N Longitude: 6°15′51″ W Elevation above sea level: 40 m = 131 ft

    Will the jet stream help to push the storms across the channel? If that's the case..well the jet stream won't be strong enough until 2am+ (I'm not expert)

    Edited by Raindrops
    typo
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    Posted
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms,
  • Location: Strood, Kent, 19 feet above sea level

    Right.

    I've got pro-plus for anybody who's refusing to give up.

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