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Storms and Convective Discussion - 20th April 2019 onwards

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Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Met4Cast said:

As do a majority of other models.. 

Hirlam is going for the west route as posted earlier, going to be fascinating watching this one pan out.  

image.thumb.png.ef402ff982bf18f36f58bbde1856a4aa.png

Edited by Ice Day

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I just watch BBC points west weather forecast with Ian Ferguson and he said East Wiltshire like Amesbury and Salisbury might get at thunderstorm. 

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Bear in mind that Tuesdays storms weren't so large in area when leaving France but after hitting Eastbourne they broadened quite a bit, to the point where a decent area of SE England got hit.

These storms already look a bit broader and should definitely have an impact over a decent area when it hits our shores. 

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4 minutes ago, snowwonder said:

Heading straight for Luton/Bedford up the M1. Please. 

yes please. I now have the headache.

Going to bid the net adieu and good luck to all especially us in bedfordshire 🌩️

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1 minute ago, Ice Day said:

Hirlam is going for the west route as posted earlier, going to be fascinating watching this one pan out.  

image.thumb.png.ef402ff982bf18f36f58bbde1856a4aa.png

What are you doing Hirlam I wasn't going to set my alarm:(

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50 minutes ago, Ice Day said:

Hirlam is going for the west route as posted earlier, going to be fascinating watching this one pan out.  

image.thumb.png.ef402ff982bf18f36f58bbde1856a4aa.png

Thats the 12Z Old hat. Things have changed mate.

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Posted (edited)

Almost looks like an MCS forming

Edit: Almost 130 strikes a minute just for a second there

Edited by TJS1998Tom

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My parents are in Vire and it has started expanding westwards. Lots of flashes and gunshot thunder

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Just now, Biggin said:

Thats the 12Z Old hat. Things have changed mate.

Not on their current trajectory @Biggin

Look at this for a drool fest - goooorgeous!!

CE81A888-0F0D-4F5B-BC42-957690B3A6E4.png

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That storm in N France is exploding:

capture_043_24062019_210938 crop.jpg

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7 minutes ago, Nick123 said:

Looking at that clump of storms im not sure if id be overly excited tonight. Unless they gain intensity over the channel, doesnt look anything out of the ordinary

 

What ya talking about? They are striking 100/min?

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12 minutes ago, DiagonalRedLine said:

Those showery pieces, including that intense looking stormy area to the West of Caen over Northern France, do certainly seem to be moving quickly. Quite surprised. In fact, looks as though the Northern tip of that storm is about to enter the channel.

313A65BF-5CB8-4FEE-8E18-0D886B682184.thumb.jpeg.74c4c3b5fae15c64236e2b8c3a0a01bd.jpeg

Looks like WAA rash to me, cells not established yet 

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Posted (edited)

Shrewsbury cell died as it reached our storm shield....new cell over the Black Country just exploaded in to life on last radar run

1810066927_satnot020.thumb.jpg.846da754827b666cf13c43bf75789fd4.jpg

Edited by Arnie Pie

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Hi everyone 

Can i please please just ask if anyone thinks that the Aylesbury area will get any action overnight or are we too far west?

I really need to prep my little one who has learning difficulties. 

Thank you so much for any help. 

Good luck to anyone looking forward to it and chasing. 

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At 60-100 strikes per minute, a big overshooting top and what could be a hook echo on radar, I strongly suspect a supercell over Normandy on its way to you lucky sods in the South...

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Looking at the latest lightning output, it appears this storm may be on the split, one portion is heading left, whilst the other is heading straight due N, maybe the tiniest bit of E shift in there. I think this has got London’s name on it! 

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37 minutes ago, A.J said:

Reading's nott a bad shout Sam.....I'm thinking somewhere west of London looks good

Hope so AJ! I'm tempted to get to the south coast for a swim and a good view, but I'll cut off my options if I do .. 

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Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, Sun & Tanned said:

Hi everyone 

Can i please please just ask if anyone thinks that the Aylesbury area will get any action overnight or are we too far west?

I really need to prep my little one who has learning difficulties. 

Thank you so much for any help. 

Good luck to anyone looking forward to it and chasing. 

I think you are a little west for the main action... Would certainly keep an eye on proceedings, though! I hope you and your son are doing well. I hope this helps!

Edited by LightningLover

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1 minute ago, East_England_Stormchaser91 said:

Looking at the latest lightning output, it appears this storm may be on the split, one portion is heading left, whilst the other is heading straight due N, maybe the tiniest bit of E shift in there. I think this has got London’s name on it! 

Agreed, it does seem to be turning east ever so slightly.

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Can Supercells multi cluster into an MCS or is this most likely in the ITCZ?

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