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Storms and Convective Discussion - 20th April 2019 onwards


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Posted
  • Location: Wendover, Buckinghamshire
  • Weather Preferences: Cold Snowy Winters, Hot Thundery Summers
  • Location: Wendover, Buckinghamshire

    Here is Monday night at this early stage...
    image.thumb.png.361ff5292a24e772e9871ec13f25852e.pngimage.thumb.png.ede77adde19529135b16e9d7763da4d1.png 

    Worthing does look very well placed. How far east/west will this very thundery little feature be?

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    Caught some lovely structure last night. Just South of Hailsham, E Sussex, looking toward the coast.

    This courtesy of one of my closest friend’s Dad in Eastbourne...crank the sound right up!! Amazing! 3EC4CEA2-31E0-4E40-B801-02CA5200BA65.MP4

    In my storm watching spot for the night at Caterham view point on the southern edge of M25?

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    Posted
  • Location: Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, freezes, bitterly cold and icy. Thunderstorms and heatwaves!
  • Location: Lincolnshire

    Convective Weathers thoughts for tomorrow and tomorrow night!

    Screenshot_20190623-215929_Samsung Internet.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: RACY, Extratropical Storm, Barocyclonic Leaf
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District

    ConvectiveWeather update for the NW...

    A second area of interest would then be Wales, perhaps the W Midlands, moving NW-wards across the Irish Sea towards eastern Ireland - perhaps expanding across to NW England later in the night. Given the magnitude of CAPE/shear, lightning will tend to be very frequent with any thunderstorms that do develop, accompanied by the threat of hail, gusty winds and locally very heavy rain.

    Given the large uncertainty about storm placement at present, it is difficult to highlight specific areas for a MDT. We have issued one where there is better multi-model consensus, but it is acknowledged that scattered thunderstorms will develop elsewhere as well. It may well be that two main clusters evolve within the MDT, with a relative minima lightning activity in the middle. We will continue to monitor trends throughout the day, and may issue further updates if necessary.

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    Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and winter storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)

    Yes!!!! I'm in Convective wx's MDT zone!! Always a great sign!

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    Posted
  • Location: oxford, uk
  • Location: oxford, uk
    1 minute ago, Flash bang flash bang etc said:

    That seems a little too Far East for initiation ? 

    i think so too, but it shows there's instability now moving northwards 

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
    Just now, LightningLover said:

    Yes!!!! I'm in Convective wx's MDT zone!! Always a great sign!

    I was today but it's been cancelled ?

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    Posted
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: RACY, Extratropical Storm, Barocyclonic Leaf
  • Location: Whaley Bridge - Peak District

    Just to add that ConvectiveWeather hasn't downgraded the MDT zone for tonight, they're just withholding issuing it on the updated forecast until there's a better idea of where the likeliest impact/s is going to be. 

    Edited by SNOW_JOKE
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    Posted
  • Location: Rugby
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, high teens to low 20's,sunny and convective
  • Location: Rugby
    2 minutes ago, TJS1998Tom said:

    Noticeable cells now popping up North of Northampton... might not be a bust just yet?

    just had some spots of rain here in rugby

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)

    I have a banging headache all of a sudden.

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    Posted
  • Location: Godalming
  • Weather Preferences: Plumes and streamers
  • Location: Godalming

    I like to think that the ‘Bordeaux Ascent’ is a meeting of trollied French meteorologists trying to climb the steps leading up to the office to review the latest data

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    Posted
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, Snow, Storms, Snow Thunder, Supercells, all weather extremes
  • Location: Darlington 63 m or 206ft above sea level
    2 minutes ago, Allseasons-si said:

    I have a banging headache all of a sudden.

    Good sign 

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    Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, (29M ASL)
    11 minutes ago, SNOW_JOKE said:

    ConvectiveWeather update for the NW...

    A second area of interest would then be Wales, perhaps the W Midlands, moving NW-wards across the Irish Sea towards eastern Ireland - perhaps expanding across to NW England later in the night. Given the magnitude of CAPE/shear, lightning will tend to be very frequent with any thunderstorms that do develop, accompanied by the threat of hail, gusty winds and locally very heavy rain.

    Given the large uncertainty about storm placement at present, it is difficult to highlight specific areas for a MDT. We have issued one where there is better multi-model consensus, but it is acknowledged that scattered thunderstorms will develop elsewhere as well. It may well be that two main clusters evolve within the MDT, with a relative minima lightning activity in the middle. We will continue to monitor trends throughout the day, and may issue further updates if necessary.

     Is this still valid though? I hope so .

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    Posted
  • Location: Rugby
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, high teens to low 20's,sunny and convective
  • Location: Rugby

    deffo raining here now

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
    2 minutes ago, Boro Snow said:

    Good sign 

    Doesn't feel as cold as it did earlier, unless it's just me lol

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    Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, snow, and winter storms
  • Location: Bexhill-on-sea, East Sussex (11.8M ASL)

    Sferics!

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    Posted
  • Location: Ludlow, Shropshire
  • Weather Preferences: thunder
  • Location: Ludlow, Shropshire

    Could be the dribs and drabs of the leftovers of the rain band moving North. I'd be looking to bristol or Cardiff somewhere to pop off the odd sharp red/purple echo.

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    Posted
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
  • Weather Preferences: severe storms,snow wind and ice
  • Location: Hoyland,barnsley,south yorkshire(100m asl)
    1 minute ago, LightningLover said:

    Sferics!

    NW Wales,not where we want them.

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