May 2019 C.E.T. and EWP forecast contests

[Sunny76]

Scorcher, yes I have witnessed poor months. I’m in my early 40s for Christ sake.

August 2010, 2006

July 2004 was a stinker.

Summers 2011 and 12 were hideous.

Summers of 92, 93, 96 and 98 were all mediocre to poor. 

1986 was a stinker of a year.

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield up to 11.2 -0.2C below normal. Rainfall 35.3mm 61.2% of normal.

[Scorcher]

11 hours ago, Sunny76 said:

Yes I do remember 1996 very well, but I’m not comparing May 2019 to that. It’s been a disappointing, on the back of 2018 and 17(both of those were sunny), but I’ve also noticed more cloudy and unsettled chilly weather. 

This year is quite close to how bad it was in 2016, but not as rotten as 2013 or 96, I’ll concede. 

2018 was one of the best ever so any comparison with this year is rather pointless I think. You will be calling nearly every May poor if expect a repeat of that.

[Froze were the Days]

Summer 2011 wasn't 'hideous'...I remember that summer well as I was laid off from work and had a few months spare, the beginning of each month strangely from June to October started either very warm or hot (including October)...daily weather was mixed and consisted mainly of sunny spells and showery activity with temperatures near normal, hardly hideous. Probably going off thread here...

[Summer Sun]

11.3c to the 27th

0.3 above the 61 to 90 average

0.2 below the 80 to 10 average

__________________________________

Current high this month 11.9 to the 1st

Current low this month 8.8c to the 6th & 7th

[damianslaw]

11 hours ago, Summer Sun said:

11.3c to the 27th

0.3 above the 61 to 90 average

0.2 below the 80 to 10 average

__________________________________

Current high this month 11.9 to the 1st

Current low this month 8.8c to the 6th & 7th

Finishing figure probably 11.5 degrees now, southern part of the CET will maintain fairly warm values, so the chance of a below average month compared to 61-90 average now looks preety slim unless there is a significant downward correction, but could end up very close..

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield unchanged at 11.2C -0.3C below normal. Rainfall unchanged at 35.3mm 61.2% of the monthly average

[Summer Sun]

11.3c to the 28th

0.3 above the 61 to 90 average

0.2 below the 80 to 10 average

__________________________________

Current high this month 11.9 to the 1st

Current low this month 8.8c to the 6th & 7th

[BornFromTheVoid]

Pretty certain that we'll finish on 11.5C or 11.6C before corrections. Close to, but slightly below the 81-10 average is very likely.

[Don]

1 hour ago, BornFromTheVoid said:

Pretty certain that we'll finish on 11.5C or 11.6C before corrections. Close to, but slightly below the 81-10 average is very likely.

Not such a cool month after all.

[reef]

3 hours ago, Don said:

Not such a cool month after all.

I imagine it'll be an east-west split month. We're still 1.2C below the 1981-2010 average here.

[DAVID SNOW]

February 3c above average.

March 2.1 above.

April 1.2 above.

And May will finish close to or even very slightly below average.

A cooling trend perhaps?

The next three months will be interesting...

[feb1991blizzard]

16 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

February 3c above average.

March 2.1 above.

April 1.2 above.

And May will finish close to or even very slightly below average.

A cooling trend perhaps?

The next three months will be interesting...

I cant see June finishing significantly below average, would be nice to continue that cooling trend right the way through to Dec from now, losing a degrees worth of negative anomaly every month, we would end up with a Dec colder than 2010!

[DAVID SNOW]

44 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

I cant see June finishing significantly below average, would be nice to continue that cooling trend right the way through to Dec from now, losing a degrees worth of negative anomaly every month, we would end up with a Dec colder than 2010!

I agree, its just an interesting series of decreasing numbers that caught my eye, June (imho) could go either way. Time will tell.

Edit: thank you Blessed Weather. Unfortunately I am not allowed to 'thank' any posts.

[Don]

1 hour ago, DAVID SNOW said:

February 3c above average.

March 2.1 above.

April 1.2 above.

And May will finish close to or even very slightly below average.

A cooling trend perhaps?

The next three months will be interesting...

I don’t think we will see a cooling trend during the next few months.  May probably just a one off.

[Summer Sun]

11.3c to the 29th

0.2 above the 61 to 90 average

0.3 below the 80 to 10 average

__________________________________

Current high this month 11.9 to the 1st

Current low this month 8.8c to the 6th & 7th

[BornFromTheVoid]

11.6C the firm favourite now before corrections, with just a small chance of going 0.1C either side

[Sunny76]

15 hours ago, DAVID SNOW said:

February 3c above average.

March 2.1 above.

April 1.2 above.

And May will finish close to or even very slightly below average.

A cooling trend perhaps?

The next three months will be interesting...

It’s possible, and this could very well be the start of one. 

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield unchanged at 11.2C -0.4C below normal. Rainfall 36.1mm 62.6% of normal rainfall. So the here month is going to be on just below average temperature wise unless we hit something like 30C on the last day. The rainfall well below.

It look like spring here believe it or not is only going to come in at 9.3C +0.5C above normal or less. The average here is 8.8C

Rainfall if no more measurable rain falls before the months end that bring spring to 189.8mm just above normal rainfall. The average here is 184.6mm

What it does show that some of the cold spells albeit short have been quite potent.

[DAVID SNOW]

Must be close to 17c in the zone today.

[snowray]

11 minutes ago, DAVID SNOW said:

Must be close to 17c in the zone today.

Indeed, i think you are spot on there with 17c, tomorrow could be close to that too.

 

So 11.6/11.7c before corrections looking likely.

Edited May 30, 2019 by snowray

[Don]

5 hours ago, BornFromTheVoid said:

11.6C the firm favourite now before corrections, with just a small chance of going 0.1C either side

For the first time in a while, I went too high with my CET guess!

[JeffC]

3 hours ago, Don said:

For the first time in a while, I went too high with my CET guess!

Me too!!

[JeffC]

8 hours ago, Sunny76 said:

It’s possible, and this could very well be the start of one. 

We can but hope!

[The PIT]

Sunny Sheffield at 11.3C -0.4C below normal. Rainfall 36.1mm 62.6% of the monthly average.