Model Output Discussion - What does April have in store?

[MATTWOLVES 3]

Looks largely settled to me chaps out beyond a week! 

Edited April 10, 2019 by Mattwolves

[Frosty.]

I really shouldn't have told my family there's a very cold snap on the way with snow..all that panic buying at the store for nothing..I blame anyweather!!

[MATTWOLVES 3]

1 minute ago, Frosty. said:

I really shouldn't have told my family there's a very cold snap on the way with snow..all that panic buying at the store for nothing..I blame anyweather!!

Biggest sin ever Karl. Has soon has you notify the family..... Its always a dead deal!

[Methuselah]

2 minutes ago, Frosty. said:

I really shouldn't have told my family there's a very cold snap on the way with snow..all that panic buying at the store for nothing..I blame anyweather!!

I might actually be able to see that, from here!

This's much more like it:  

[I remember Atlantic 252]

3 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

I might actually be able to see that, from here!

This's much more like it:  

dunno ed, not sure I like the look of that, for my location anyway

[Frosty.]

5 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

I might actually be able to see that, from here!

This's much more like it:  

There could be a bit of snizzle on sunday but it looks very patchy and temps creeping up to 10c..don't think there will be any significant accumulations.

Edited April 10, 2019 by Frosty.

[Methuselah]

1 minute ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

dunno ed, not sure I like the look of that, for my location anyway

Remember what they always say: get the heat in first, the storms will follow...Baby steps...?

[feb1991blizzard]

The GFS 12z is a snoozefest right the way through - garbage.,

EDIT : Except right at the end, looking exciting there.

Edited April 10, 2019 by feb1991blizzard

[MATTWOLVES 3]

I'm all for a bit of heat and fine summer weather, but I only hope we don't end up with those hot sticky nights that we get, when it comes up from the South, I still aint got over the last time! 

[Methuselah]

Are we about (in 16 days' time) about to have a change?

 

I do hope so, as I am sick-and-tired of cold easterly winds!

[MATTWOLVES 3]

Just now, Ed Stone said:

Are we about (in 16 days' time) about to have a change? 

I do hope so, as I am sick-and-tired of cold easterly winds!

Hey Pete, been a keen Estly all day here, and it's been glorious in the sun.... Them Estly winds can keep going till August has far has I'm Concerned!! Not to warm... Not to cold is perfect summer weather.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

4 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Are we about (in 16 days' time) about to have a change?

 

I do hope so, as I am sick-and-tired of cold easterly winds!

Aye so am I, but April to June, it's the most common wind direction, Easterlies seem rare in July, even rarer in August, better chance Sept to Nov

[MATTWOLVES 3]

Wow, let the battle commence, cold v warm, bring on a snowstorm!!!

[Frosty.]

The 12z parallel is very reluctant to warm up next week, it has to be dragged kicking and screaming before it does eventually warm up.

[Tim Bland]

4 minutes ago, Mattwolves said:

Wow, let the battle commence, cold v warm, bring on a snowstorm!!!

In Iceland perhaps

[Frosty.]

7 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

In Iceland perhaps

Well at least it's not a toothless easterly like this week, it's a toothless northwesterly instead

[MATTWOLVES 3]

9 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

In Iceland perhaps

Be great though Tim, end of April snowstorm, one for the record books! I've noticed how GFS keeps flagging up this potential late arctic surge, I'm still awaiting a proper Nthly.... Would love a real potent blast, even just for 2 or 3 days.

[MATTWOLVES 3]

2 minutes ago, Frosty. said:

Well at least it's not a toothless easterly like this week, it's a toothless northwesterly instead

I dont think west county storm agress with that Karl. But I still think there is some potent cold bottled up, the problem is relieving the top.... I think we gonna need plyers to relieve that top!

[Frosty.]

The GEFS 12z mean shows more of a SE'ly flow next week so becoming gradually milder..as for easter, there looks to be a slack pressure field which probably means more chance of a ridge or high pressure filling the void rather than anything particularly unsettled but confidence is currently low regarding the easter weather.

Edited April 10, 2019 by Frosty.

[Norrance]

Hi guys. There is a contact the team section if you wish to discuss the reporting or like/ dislike posts system and how it’s being used. Let’s keep this area for model discussion please! 

[Methuselah]

Scrag end of the FV3 looks pretty boring, to me: Gimme a southerly!

 

 

[Frosty.]

The Ecm 12z shows the bitter cold siberian air digging in bringing frequent heavy snow showers, severe drifting and penetrating persistent frosts.... I wish

Edited April 10, 2019 by Frosty.

[Frosty.]

And then the thaw comes..next week shows brisk SSE'ly winds and gradually becomes much milder / warmer with air sourced from southern europe with mid to potentially upper teens celsius, it looks changeable but with warm spells of sunshine likely and rapidly diminishing frist..I mean frost risk.

Edited April 10, 2019 by Frosty.

[Methuselah]

Anywho, on Friday all will be revealed, and two of the Universe's greatest conundrums will be finally resolved: the weather outlook and another...Unless, of course, a certain Israeli twit with a bent spoon intervenes...?

[Frosty.]

Tonight's Ecm 12z ensemble mean shows our weather becoming much milder next week following the cooler blip.