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We never talk about the south in here...

... but this one is lovely in so far as nobody seems quite sure where it's going to go. For a while there the models were split between Australia and New Zealand, but it looks like they've vaguely settled for Australia for now...

http://rammb.cira.colostate.edu/products/tc_realtime/storm.asp?storm_identifier=SH152019

Edited by crimsone
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It looks like Oma won't cross the Australia coast now. BoM has dropped its cyclone advice for Queensland. Predicted to steer north up the Queensland coast as a weak system, but well offshore. 

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Looks like it's forecast to do a really tight loop de loop, and head off back up towards Cairns or PNG.

2019SH15_DIAGPLOT_201902220000.png

That said, it's developed a decent trough stretching from just S.W of its center to a comparatively weak low center a bit NE of NZ's North Island, which is forecast to become fully occluded by 1am sunday (New Zealand Time), with a high building into the Tasman Sea... but with another nasty antarctic low trying to break through below it.

Perhaps it'll just fall apart out at sea instead?

surfacePressureImage?time=20190223-1200-

Edited by crimsone
wrong day

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