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Roger J Smith

March 2019 C.E.T. and E.W.P. forecast contests

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Sunny Sheffield at 7.5C +1.4C above normal. Rainfall unchanged.

7.5C is the likely ending point.

Edited by The PIT

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7.9 to the 29th

2.3c above the 61 to 90 average
1.4c above the 81 to 10 average

_________________________________________

Current high this month 8.9 to the 3rd

Current low this month 7.1 to the 13th

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Them low night time temps have certainly kept a lit on the CET, we could have been into the 8's  by now easily. Not a month of any outstanding warmth but more to the point, no colder outbreaks and winteriness either, just generally on the mild side of things.

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7.9 to the 30th

2.3c above the 61 to 90 average
1.4c above the 81 to 10 average

_________________________________________

Current high this month 8.9 to the 3rd

Current low this month 7.1 to the 13th

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1 hour ago, Summer Sun said:

7.9 to the 30th

2.3c above the 61 to 90 average
1.4c above the 81 to 10 average

_________________________________________

Current high this month 8.9 to the 3rd

Current low this month 7.1 to the 13th

At least it's not going to be a record breaking warm month, although still significantly above average.

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7 minutes ago, Froze were the Days said:

Strange how the CET didn't go up after yesterday!...a warm day here followed by a relatively mild night, another mild month to add to the many.

Perhaps there will be an upward adjustment for the final figure?

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5 hours ago, Froze were the Days said:

Strange how the CET didn't go up after yesterday!...a warm day here followed by a relatively mild night, another mild month to add to the many.

Yesterday was around 8C in the CET zone, so no rise.

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6 hours ago, Froze were the Days said:

Strange how the CET didn't go up after yesterday!...a warm day here followed by a relatively mild night, another mild month to add to the many.

Longer the month goes the harder it is to get a change.

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So did we manage to squeeze an 8c after adjustments in the end I wonder?🤔

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At the moment, they have posted revised figures for 1st to 30th and those average 7.8 C. There is no provisional or final number for the 31st, I think it will be around 7 C and the 7.8 C should therefore stand (if they don't revise them again). 

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On ‎20‎/‎03‎/‎2019 at 22:47, DAVID SNOW said:

Final number 7.8 perhaps?

Happy with this call,

 

 

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Finished 7.2c here, 1.4c above the 1981-2010 mean.

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At 7.8C this comfortably qualifies in the top 10% warmest March months. (currently any March greater of equal to 7.3C)

However the conversion rates of such a warm March into Aprils, Mays and Junes which make the their respective top 10% warmest are relatively low.   13% for April and June and 18% for May.

 

   

 

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At 7.8c the only other March 2019 shares the exact same mean CET with is 1822.

Edited by Walsall Wood Snow

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Hadley EWP tracker is updated to end of month (94 mm) and shows that from 1st to 17th, rainfall was on a record high pace, from 18th to 31st almost nothing added.

I have the preliminary scoring based on 95.8 mm (which I had set earlier), close enough to keep that in play until we have the final number on or about the 5th. (edit _ 94.8 mm)

So for the time being (now confirmed), the high scores in March will be 10.0 for syed2878 (95 mm), 9.9 for Mulzy (also 95 mm, 2nd entry), and 9.6 for Stationary Front (97 mm). Top five rounds out with Reef (90 mm) and J10 (100 mm) who exchanged positions as the final value was less than 95.0 mm. 

The annual scoring as well as rest of monthly scoring was in an attached excel file. The top three in the annual race are Mulzy, Reef and Thundery Wintry Showers. A slightly revised version will be posted later in the thread now that 94.8 mm is the confirmed value. 

 

Edited by Roger J Smith

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Sunny Sheffield finished at 7.5C +1.2C above average. Rainfall 110mm 172.7% of average.

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The usual forecast graphs but with the final values for the month.

image.thumb.png.c47cd7c54c9ea3c7644f75c86776c28e.pngimage.thumb.png.2c1fae5d43c550a0849f5c5b23bb2489.png   

Considering how mild the month was, the lack of any days reaching into their respective top 10 values is odd.
Overall, we had 23 days above average and 8 days below. The largest +ve anomaly was +4.6C on the 2nd, with the largest -ve being -1.7C on the 17th.

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Only two previous Marches had a higher value for the minimum daily CET (5.4), those being 1938 (6.2) and 1933 (5.6). This March ties with 1997 for third highest minimum.

The range from minimum to maximum daily (10.5) was only 5.1, a value which is fourth lowest in 248 years. 1933 holds first place in this dubious distinction (a range of only 3.4), followed by 1794 and 1982 both at 5.0.

Edited by Roger J Smith

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 The top scoring temperature (CET) forecasts for March according to the table of entries, to be confirmed by J10 ... ties are broken by order of entry.

Rank _ Fcst _ Forecaster (order of entry)

_01 __ 7.8 __ weather-history (3)

_02 __ 7.8 __ Blast from the Past (13)

_03 __ 7.8 __ The Pit (26)

_04 __ 7.9 __ Jonathan F. (8)

_05 __ 7.7 __ Ed Stone (16) 

_06 __ 7.7 __ Quicksilver1989 (52)

_07 __ 7.6 __ Summer Blizzard (14)

_08 __ 8.0 __ Reef (29)  

_09 __ 7.5 __ CheesepuffScott (10)

_10 __ 7.5 __ Stationary Front (44) 

(11) __ 7.5 __ Evening Star (Late 3d)  

________________________________________________________________________

 

UPDATE on the THREE ROBOTIC FORECASTERS

 

Dec 2018 __________________________________ Jan 2019 __________________________ Feb 2019 _______________

____FORECAST _ error __ rank __ points ________ FCST __ error __ rank __ points ________ FCST __ error __ rank __ points

Consensus_ 5.0 __ -1.9 _ 32 to 32 _ 52.3 _________3.5 ___ -0.5 ___16 to 18 _ 75.7 to 78.6 ___ 4.0 ___ -2.7 _ 33 to 37 _ 48.3 to 54.1

1989-2018*_4.9 __ -2.0 _ 33 to 33 _ 50.8 _________4.7 ___ +0.7 ___21 to 23 _ 68.6 to 71.4 ___ 4.9 ___ -1.8 _ 14 to 14 _ 81.3

1981-2010__4.6 __ -2.3 _ 42 to 44 _ 33.8 to 36.9 ___4.4 ___ +0.4 ___14 to 15 _ 80.0 to 81.4 ___ 4.4 ___ -2.3 _ 17 to 19 _ 74.2 to 77.0

 

March 2019 __________________________________ Average (4 months)

____FORECAST _ error __ rank __ points __________abs error __ rank __ points 

 consensus _ 6.9 __ --0.9 _ 29 to 33 _ 48.4 to 54.8 ____ 1.5 _____ 28 to 30 __ 56.2 to 60.0

1989-2018 _ 6.8 __ --1.0 _ 34 to 35 _ 46.2 to 47.8 _____1.4 _____ 25 to 26 __ 61.5 to 62.6

1981-2010 _ 6.6 __ --1.2 _ 39 to 39 _ 39.7 ___________1.6 _____ 28 to 29 __ 56.9 to 59.0

__________________________________________________________________________________________

Our consensus improved slightly over the two normals in March, and the current four-month average for our consensus is basically similar to both the normals, doing slightly worse than the most recent 30 years (1989-2018 since Jan) and indistinguishable from the 1981-2010 normals overall. Our average forecast error (not absolute) is --1.5, so we have been below the actual value all four times so far. Normals were above in January and below the other three months, so their absolute average errors are larger than their bias errors of -1.1 (most recent) and -1.35 (1981-2010). 

 

 

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Monthly / Seasonal

Three got it spot on this month.  Weather-history, BLAST FROM THE PAST and The PIT.

image.thumb.png.e4d8dee43c6903e098fac89aef2770bb.png

image.thumb.png.02c2beffe607cc82b80570f1f3505a29.png

Overall

image.thumb.png.6c0c0727e3d9a885ad29db3eaa3fdb1e.png

Mostly all change at the top with

1st Weather-history (from 10th)
2nd reef (from 7th)
3rd Froze were the Days (from 1st)

Mar 19 CET.xlsx

Edited by J10

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Hadley EWP posted now at 94.8 mm. Excel file of scoring has been slightly adjusted as a result, a few people moved one or two spots up or down with the slight changes in March scoring. The top five for March and the top three annually remain the same as earlier posted. I will cross-check against the CET rankings and let you know who has the lowest combined ranking (low being good in this case). 

EWP scoring: 

 

EWP20182019d.xlsx

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After four months (one third of the contest year), these are the combined ranks of CET and EWP forecasters. There are 68 ranked CET forecasters (you need to enter 2 of the 4 to qualify there). I show where each of these ranks in the EWP for both points and average error (since average error allows up to 2 missed months which makes the ranking a bit more similar to CET rankings, anyone not ranked for average error is scored by only their points rank). This table is re-ordered so that the average of (CET) and (EWP-points + EWP-error)/2 determines the order. If you're only in the CET contest, you'll be shown where that ranking fits. (tied ranks are not shown as tied in this table). 

 

FORECASTER ___ CET rank ___ EWP points rank __ EWP error rank _____ rank average (CET + 2EWP/2)

 

Reef _______________2 ____________ 2 ____________ 2 ________________ 2.0

Froze were the days___3 ____________ -- ____________ -- ________________3.0

weather-history ______ 1 ____________ 7 ____________ 7 ________________ 4.0

Born from the Void ____6 ____________ 4 ____________ 6 ________________ 5.5

Jonathan F. _________ 7 ____________ -- ___________ -- _________________7.0

Quicksilver1989 ______8 ____________ -- ___________ -- _________________8.0

CheesePuffScott _____ 4 ____________10 ___________20 ________________ 9.5

Blast from the Past ___15 ____________ 6 ____________ 7 _______________ 10.75

Thundery W Showers _23 ____________ 3 ____________ 3 _______________13.0

vizzy2004 __________ 9 ____________ 26 ___________ 9 _______________ 13.25

Norrance __________ 11 ____________ 16 __________ 15 _______________13.25

Man with Beard _____ 14 ____________ --- ___________ -- _______________ 14.0

Stationary Front _____ 12 ___________ 19 ___________ 23 _______________ 16.5

Stargazer __________ 18 ___________ 14 ___________ 19 _______________17.25

Don _______________19 ___________ 15 ___________ 16 ______________ 17.25

Ed Stone __________ 10 ___________  24 ___________ 26 ______________ 17.5

Feb1991Blizzard ____ 25 ____________ 9 ____________11 ______________ 17.5

Ultima Thule ________24 ___________ 18 ____________ 5 _______________17.75

seaside60 _________ 32 _____________5 ____________ 4 _______________18.25

Steve B ___________ 13 ____________ 12 ___________36 _______________18.5

The PIT ____________ 5 ____________32 ___________ 34 _______________19.0

Mulzy _____________39 ____________ 1 ____________ 1 ________________20.0

DAVID SNOW ______ 26 ____________19 ___________ 14 ______________ 21.25

Summer Sun _______ 22 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________22.0

Roger J Smith ______ 28 ____________17 ___________ 17 _______________22.5

syed2878 __________17 ____________29 ___________ 35 _______________24.5

J10 ______________ 36 ____________ 10 ___________ 24 _______________26.5

damianslaw ________ 27 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________27.0

davehsug __________30 ____________27 ___________ 21 ______________ 27.0

virtualsphere ________20 ___________ 40 ___________ 31 ______________ 27.75

pegg24 ____________29 ____________23 ___________ 30 ______________ 27.75

Midlands Ice Age ____49 ____________ 8 ____________ 10 ______________ 29.0

Timmytour _________ 15 ____________ 48 ___________45 ______________ 30.75

DR(S)NO __________ 43 ____________ 25 __________ 27 _______________34.5

summer blizzard ____ 35 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 35.0

IRemAtl252 ________ 21 ___________ 52 ___________ 47 _______________ 35.25

SLEETY ___________42 ___________ 37 ___________ 22 _______________ 35.75

weather26 _________ 34 ___________ 38 ___________ 40 _______________ 36.5

DiagonalRedLine____ 46 ___________ 30 ___________ 25 _______________ 36.75

dancerwithwings ____ 37 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 37.0

Polar Gael _________ 33 ___________ 41 ___________ 44 _______________ 37.75

Duncan McAlister ___ 38 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 38.0

Let It Snow! ________ 51 ___________ 34 ___________ 18 _______________ 38.5

Daniel* ____________ 65 ___________13 ____________13 _______________39.0

Godber.1 __________ 60 ____________ 28 ___________ 12 ______________ 40.0

Bobd29 ____________56 ____________21 ___________ 29 ______________ 40.5

Mark Bayley ________ 41 ____________ -- ____________ -- ______________ 41.0

stewfox ____________45 ____________ 36 ___________ 42 ______________ 42.0

Snow Dayz ________ 39 ____________ 51 ___________ 41 _______________42.5

jonboy ____________ 62 ____________ 22 ___________ 27 ______________ 43.25

Evening Star _______ 31 ____________ 57 ___________ --- _______________44.0

Walsall Wood Snow __44 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 44.0

Kirkcaldy Weather ___ 51 ___________ 39 ___________ 39 _______________ 45.0

brmbrmcar _________ 59 ___________ 31 ___________ 32 _______________ 45.25

sundog ____________ 47 ___________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 47.0

AWD ______________53 ___________ 46 ___________ 38 _______________ 47.5

Kentish Man _______ 48 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 48.0

Jeff C _____________ 63 ____________35 ____________33 ______________ 48.5

Radiating Dendrite ___64 ____________33 ____________ 36 ______________49.25

Leo97t ____________ 54 ___________ 45 ____________ -- _______________ 49.5

nn2013 ___________ 50 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 50.0

dami ______________58 ___________ 47 ____________43 _______________52.5

coldest winter _______55 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________55.0

Optimus Prime ______ 57 ____________ -- ____________ -- ______________ 57.0

Relativistic _________ 66 ____________52 ___________ 46 ______________ 57.5

Lettucing Gutted _____67 ____________ 61 ___________ 48 ______________60.75

snowray ___________ 61 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________61.0

Prolonged snow lover _68____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 68.0

_______________________________________________________________

Congrats to Reef, weather-history and Born from the Void for being top ten in both contests. Blast from the Past and CheesepuffScott also doing very well in both contests. When comparing your ranks, keep in mind that EWP ranks range from 1 to 48 for average error, and 1 to 61 for points, some who have entered only one CET contest have a ranking (mostly 40th or higher) in EWP points so those spots are missing from the table. Your EWP ranks should be lower numbers (higher ranks) than your CET because of non-EWP entrants taking random numbers of CET rankings. For example, by 40th CET you should be around 30th EWP if you enter both. 

Significant differences appear for some forecasters after taking that into consideration. There are more cases of doing much better at EWP than CET, than the other way round, so I assume the bulk of the compared forecasters are doing a little better at CET than EWP, offset by the number who do a lot better at EWP than CET. These are the entrants whose rankings are not similar in both contests (in order of their CET ranks, and with the average of the two EWP ranks used to determine the differential, one but not the other could be >20 ranks different for some not shown):

(a) CET ranks better than EWP by 20+

The PIT ____________ 5 ____________32 ___________ 34 _______________19.0

Timmytour _________ 15 ____________ 48 ___________45 ______________ 30.75

IRemAtl252 ________ 21 ____________ 52 ___________ 47 ______________35.25

 

(b) EWP ranks better than CET by 20+

Thundery W Showers _23 ____________ 3 ____________ 3 _______________13.0

seaside60 _________ 32 _____________5 ____________ 4 _______________18.25

Mulzy _____________39 ____________ 1 ____________ 1 ________________20.0

Midlands Ice Age ____49 ____________ 8 ____________ 10 ______________ 29.0

Let It Snow! ________ 51 ___________ 34 ___________ 18 _______________ 38.5

Bobd29 ____________56 ____________21 ___________ 29 ______________ 40.5

brmbrmcar _________59 ____________ 31 ___________ 32 ______________ 45.25

Godber.1 __________ 60 ____________ 28 ___________ 12 ______________ 40.0

jonboy ____________ 62 ____________ 22 ___________ 27 ______________ 43.25

Jeff C _____________63 ____________35 ____________33 ______________ 48.5

Radiating Dendrite ___64 ____________33 ____________ 36 ______________49.25

Daniel* ____________ 65 ___________13 ____________13 _______________39.0

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Edited by Roger J Smith

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19 hours ago, Roger J Smith said:

After four months (one third of the contest year), these are the combined ranks of CET and EWP forecasters. There are 68 ranked CET forecasters (you need to enter 2 of the 4 to qualify there). I show where each of these ranks in the EWP for both points and average error (since average error allows up to 2 missed months which makes the ranking a bit more similar to CET rankings, anyone not ranked for average error is scored by only their points rank). This table is re-ordered so that the average of (CET) and (EWP-points + EWP-error)/2 determines the order. If you're only in the CET contest, you'll be shown where that ranking fits. (tied ranks are not shown as tied in this table). 

 

FORECASTER ___ CET rank ___ EWP points rank __ EWP error rank _____ rank average (CET + 2EWP/2)

 

Reef _______________2 ____________ 2 ____________ 2 ________________ 2.0

Froze were the days___3 ____________ -- ____________ -- ________________3.0

weather-history ______ 1 ____________ 7 ____________ 7 ________________ 4.0

Born from the Void ____6 ____________ 4 ____________ 6 ________________ 5.5

Jonathan F. _________ 7 ____________ -- ___________ -- _________________7.0

Quicksilver1989 ______8 ____________ -- ___________ -- _________________8.0

CheesePuffScott _____ 4 ____________10 ___________20 ________________ 9.5

Blast from the Past ___15 ____________ 6 ____________ 7 _______________ 10.75

Thundery W Showers _23 ____________ 3 ____________ 3 _______________13.0

vizzy2004 __________ 9 ____________ 26 ___________ 9 _______________ 13.25

Norrance __________ 11 ____________ 16 __________ 15 _______________13.25

Man with Beard _____ 14 ____________ --- ___________ -- _______________ 14.0

Stationary Front _____ 12 ___________ 19 ___________ 23 _______________ 16.5

Stargazer __________ 18 ___________ 14 ___________ 19 _______________17.25

Don _______________19 ___________ 15 ___________ 16 ______________ 17.25

Ed Stone __________ 10 ___________  24 ___________ 26 ______________ 17.5

Feb1991Blizzard ____ 25 ____________ 9 ____________11 ______________ 17.5

Ultima Thule ________24 ___________ 18 ____________ 5 _______________17.75

seaside60 _________ 32 _____________5 ____________ 4 _______________18.25

Steve B ___________ 13 ____________ 12 ___________36 _______________18.5

The PIT ____________ 5 ____________32 ___________ 34 _______________19.0

Mulzy _____________39 ____________ 1 ____________ 1 ________________20.0

DAVID SNOW ______ 26 ____________19 ___________ 14 ______________ 21.25

Summer Sun _______ 22 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________22.0

Roger J Smith ______ 28 ____________17 ___________ 17 _______________22.5

syed2878 __________17 ____________29 ___________ 35 _______________24.5

J10 ______________ 36 ____________ 10 ___________ 24 _______________26.5

damianslaw ________ 27 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________27.0

davehsug __________30 ____________27 ___________ 21 ______________ 27.0

virtualsphere ________20 ___________ 40 ___________ 31 ______________ 27.75

pegg24 ____________29 ____________23 ___________ 30 ______________ 27.75

Midlands Ice Age ____49 ____________ 8 ____________ 10 ______________ 29.0

Timmytour _________ 15 ____________ 48 ___________45 ______________ 30.75

DR(S)NO __________ 43 ____________ 25 __________ 27 _______________34.5

summer blizzard ____ 35 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 35.0

IRemAtl252 ________ 21 ___________ 52 ___________ 47 _______________ 35.25

SLEETY ___________42 ___________ 37 ___________ 22 _______________ 35.75

weather26 _________ 34 ___________ 38 ___________ 40 _______________ 36.5

DiagonalRedLine____ 46 ___________ 30 ___________ 25 _______________ 36.75

dancerwithwings ____ 37 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 37.0

Polar Gael _________ 33 ___________ 41 ___________ 44 _______________ 37.75

Duncan McAlister ___ 38 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 38.0

Let It Snow! ________ 51 ___________ 34 ___________ 18 _______________ 38.5

Daniel* ____________ 65 ___________13 ____________13 _______________39.0

Godber.1 __________ 60 ____________ 28 ___________ 12 ______________ 40.0

Bobd29 ____________56 ____________21 ___________ 29 ______________ 40.5

Mark Bayley ________ 41 ____________ -- ____________ -- ______________ 41.0

stewfox ____________45 ____________ 36 ___________ 42 ______________ 42.0

Snow Dayz ________ 39 ____________ 51 ___________ 41 _______________42.5

jonboy ____________ 62 ____________ 22 ___________ 27 ______________ 43.25

Evening Star _______ 31 ____________ 57 ___________ --- _______________44.0

Walsall Wood Snow __44 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 44.0

Kirkcaldy Weather ___ 51 ___________ 39 ___________ 39 _______________ 45.0

brmbrmcar _________ 59 ___________ 31 ___________ 32 _______________ 45.25

sundog ____________ 47 ___________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 47.0

AWD ______________53 ___________ 46 ___________ 38 _______________ 47.5

Kentish Man _______ 48 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 48.0

Jeff C _____________ 63 ____________35 ____________33 ______________ 48.5

Radiating Dendrite ___64 ____________33 ____________ 36 ______________49.25

Leo97t ____________ 54 ___________ 45 ____________ -- _______________ 49.5

nn2013 ___________ 50 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 50.0

dami ______________58 ___________ 47 ____________43 _______________52.5

coldest winter _______55 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________55.0

Optimus Prime ______ 57 ____________ -- ____________ -- ______________ 57.0

Relativistic _________ 66 ____________52 ___________ 46 ______________ 57.5

Lettucing Gutted _____67 ____________ 61 ___________ 48 ______________60.75

snowray ___________ 61 ____________ -- ____________ -- _______________61.0

Prolonged snow lover _68____________ -- ____________ -- _______________ 68.0

_______________________________________________________________

Congrats to Reef, weather-history and Born from the Void for being top ten in both contests. Blast from the Past and CheesepuffScott also doing very well in both contests. When comparing your ranks, keep in mind that EWP ranks range from 1 to 48 for average error, and 1 to 61 for points, some who have entered only one CET contest have a ranking (mostly 40th or higher) in EWP points so those spots are missing from the table. Your EWP ranks should be lower numbers (higher ranks) than your CET because of non-EWP entrants taking random numbers of CET rankings. For example, by 40th CET you should be around 30th EWP if you enter both. 

Significant differences appear for some forecasters after taking that into consideration. There are more cases of doing much better at EWP than CET, than the other way round, so I assume the bulk of the compared forecasters are doing a little better at CET than EWP, offset by the number who do a lot better at EWP than CET. These are the entrants whose rankings are not similar in both contests (in order of their CET ranks, and with the average of the two EWP ranks used to determine the differential, one but not the other could be >20 ranks different for some not shown):

(a) CET ranks better than EWP by 20+

The PIT ____________ 5 ____________32 ___________ 34 _______________19.0

Timmytour _________ 15 ____________ 48 ___________45 ______________ 30.75

IRemAtl252 ________ 21 ____________ 52 ___________ 47 ______________35.25

 

(b) EWP ranks better than CET by 20+

Thundery W Showers _23 ____________ 3 ____________ 3 _______________13.0

seaside60 _________ 32 _____________5 ____________ 4 _______________18.25

Mulzy _____________39 ____________ 1 ____________ 1 ________________20.0

Midlands Ice Age ____49 ____________ 8 ____________ 10 ______________ 29.0

Let It Snow! ________ 51 ___________ 34 ___________ 18 _______________ 38.5

Bobd29 ____________56 ____________21 ___________ 29 ______________ 40.5

brmbrmcar _________59 ____________ 31 ___________ 32 ______________ 45.25

Godber.1 __________ 60 ____________ 28 ___________ 12 ______________ 40.0

jonboy ____________ 62 ____________ 22 ___________ 27 ______________ 43.25

Jeff C _____________63 ____________35 ____________33 ______________ 48.5

Radiating Dendrite ___64 ____________33 ____________ 36 ______________49.25

Daniel* ____________ 65 ___________13 ____________13 _______________39.0

 


 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Maybe I do better with rain than I do with temperature because I'm more familiar with it than any kind of heat, due to my lifelong geographic advantage. I know rain!

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