March 2019 C.E.T. and E.W.P. forecast contests

[feb1991blizzard]

Couldn't really find anything decent that no one had had - anyway

6.6c and 106mm of rainfall please.

[Summer Sun]

6.8c for me please

[seaside 60]

Well the temp guesses were somewhat out this month lol...

Still think it will be a more typical month for some reason.

7c

78mm

 

[DAVID SNOW]

7.2

77mm.

[Daniel*]

6.2c, 112mm see it being quite a wet month chilly too.

[brmbrmcar]

7.0c and 109mm please.

[Duncan McAlister]

5.7°C for me, please.

[I remember Atlantic 252]

On 19/02/2019 at 21:28, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

suppose 6.7C, mostly westerly

and 154mm

Edited February 28, 2019 by I remember Atlantic 252

[CheesepuffScott]

Still going for 7.5C but can I bump ppn up to 87mm please

[Derecho]

I'll go for a CET estimate of 7.7C  

[Don]

6.5C and 135mm please.

[sundog]

7.3c for me please 

[J10]

7.0c and 100mm

Edited February 28, 2019 by J10

[davehsug]

6.9C & 73mm please

[Kentish Man]

5.9C please

[Godber 1]

6.3c and 110mm please.

[BornFromTheVoid]

7.0C and 84mm thanks.

[Thundery wintry showers]

I'll go for a relatively average 6.7C and 79mm.

Edited March 1, 2019 by Thundery wintry showers

[Roger J Smith]

Summary of forecasts for March 2019 CET and EWP

12.0 _ 200 ___ Lettucing Gutted (7) ____ ___ 6.8 _ 95.0 ___ Mulzy (42) ___________ ___ 

 9.9 _ 30.0 ___ Relativistic (21) ________ ___6.8 _ ----- ___ Summer Sun (46) ______ ___

 8.9 _ 55.0 ___ Timmytour (24) ________ ___6.8 _ 64.3 __ mean 1989-2018

 8.4 _ ----- ___ Coldest Winter (1) ______ ___ 6.7 _154.0__ IRememberAtlantic252 (6*)

 8.0 _ 90.0 ___ Reef (29) _____________ ___6.7 _ 79.0 ___ Thundery Wintry Showers (60) 

 7.9 _ ----- ___ Jonathan F. (8)  ________ ___ 6.6 _106.0 ___ Feb1991Blizzard (45)

 7.8 _ 60.0 ___ weather-history (3) _____ ___ 6.6 _ 71.5 __ mean 1981-2010

 7.8 _ 55.0 ___ Blast from the Past (13) _ ___ 6.5 _ 75.0 ___ Dr(S)No (5)

 7.8 _ 70.0 ___ The Pit (26) ___________ ___ 6.5 _ 78.0 ___ Bobd29 (31)

 7.7 _ 66.0 ___ Ed Stone (16) _________ ___ 6.5 _ 81.0 ___ Norrance (33)

 7.7 _ ----- ___ Quicksilver1989 (52) ____ ___ 6.5 _ ----- ___ Katrine Basso (36)

 7.6 _ ----- ___ Summer Blizzard (14) ___ ___ 6.5 _135.0 ___ Don (53) ___

 7.5 _ 87.0 ___ CheesepuffScott (10*) __ ___ 6.4 _ 62.0 ___ emmett garland (39)

 7.5 _ 97.0 ___ Stationary Front (44) ___ ___ 6.4 _ 78.0 ___ Midlands Ice Age (41)

 7.5 _ ----- ___ Evening Star (L3) ______ ___ 

 7.4 _ 50.0 ___ snow dayz (4) _________ ___6.3 _ 70.0 ___ Jeff C. (12) 

 7.4 _ ----- ___ dancerwithwings (30) ___ ___ 6.3 _110.0 ___Godber.1 (58) 

 7.3 _ 62.0 ___ Let It Snow! (2) ________ ___6.2 _ 77.4 ___Kirkcaldy Weather (17) 

 7.3 _ ----- ___ sundog (54) ___________ ___6.2 _ ----- ___ nn2013 (35)

 7.3 _ 83.0 ___ Ultima Thule (L2)

 7.2 _ 74.0 ___ stargazer (9) __________ ___6.2 _112.0 ___ daniel* (49)

 7.2 _ ----- ___ Mark Bayley (22) _______ ___6.0 _ ----- ___ snowray (19)

 7.2 _ ----- ___ Damianslaw (37) _______ ___5.9 _ ----- ___ Kentish Man (57)

 7.2 _ 77.0 ___ DAVID SNOW (48) _____ ___5.7 _ ----- ___ Duncan McAlister (51)

 7.1 _ 89.0 ___ Steve B (43) __________ ___5.6 _116.0___ weather26 (15) 

 7.0 _ 70.5 ___ Roger J Smith (18) _____ ___5.6 _ 95.0 ___ syed2878 (20)

 7.0 _ ----- ___ Leo97t (25) ___________ ___5.6 _ ----- ___ Walsall Wood Snow (28)

 7.0 _ 78.0 ___ seaside60 (47) ________ ___5.5 _ ----- ___ Virtualsphere (11) 

 7.0 _109.0 ___ brmbrmcar (50) _______ ___5.4 _ 65.0 ___ Jonboy (32)

 7.0 _100.0 ___ J10 (55) _____________ ___5.3 _ 125.0 ___ SLEETY (23)

 7.0 _ 84.0 ___ Born From the Void (59) _ ___4.7 _ 79.0 ___ Diagonal Red Line (27)

 6.9 _ ----- ___ Man with Beard (34) also consensus CET

 6.9 _ 82.0 ___ Polar Gael (38) _______ ___

 6.9 _150.0 ___ stewfox (40) _________ ___

 6.9 _ 73.0 ___ davehsug (56) ________ ___

 6.9 _ 88.0 ___ pegg24 (L1-1) ________ ___ 

 ____________________________________________________________

* entry 6 later added EWP only, at entry position 49+1

* entry 10 later changed EWP only, at entry position 49+2

_____________________________________________________________

EWP forecasts in order

200.0 LG, 154.0 IRA252, 150.0 stew, 135.0 Don, 125.0 SLE, 116.0 wx26, 112.0 dan*, 110.0 Godb, 109.0 brm,

106.0 Feb91, 100.0 J10, 97.0 SF, 95.0 syed, Mulzy, 90.0 Reef, 89.0 SteveB, 88.0 Pegg, 87.0 CPScott, 84.0 BFTV,

 83.0 UT, 82.0 PG, 81.0 Norr, 79.0 DRLine, TWS, con .. 78.0 Bobd, MIA, sea60, 77.4 Kirkwx, 77.0 DS, 75.0 Dr(S)No,

 74.0 star, 73.0 dave, 70.5 RJS, 70.0 JeffC, The Pit,  66.0 EdS, 65.0 jon, 62.0 LIS!, emg, 60.0 wx-hist,

55.0 BFTP, tim, 50.0 sdayz, 30.0 Rel 

______________________________________________________________

63 CET forecasts, consensus 6.9

43 EWP forecasts, consensus 79.0 mm. 

 

Edited March 4, 2019 by Roger J Smith

[pegg24]

6.9 c please 88 mm

[Roger J Smith]

March CET 1981-2010 averages and 1772-2018 extremes

 

DATE ___ MAX ____________ MIN ________ CET date, cum ___ Running CET extreme values

01 Mar ... 10.7 (1878) ... ... -3.8 (2018.)... ... ... ... 5.0 ... ... 5.0 ... ... ... 10.7 (1878.) ... ... -3.8 (2018.)
02 Mar ... 11.1 (1777) ... ... -3.2 (1965) ... ... ... ... 4.8 ... ... 4.9 ... ... ... 10.2 (1878,1999).-3.0 (2018.) 
03 Mar ... 11.0 (1777) ... ... -3.9 (1965) ... ... ... ... 4.9 ... ... 4.9 ... ... ... 10.3 (1801) ... ... -2.1 (1965)
04 Mar ... 12.3 (1859) ... ... -2.9 (1909) ... ... ... ... 4.7 ... ... 4.8 ... ... ... 10.1 (1859) ... ... -1.9 (1965)
05 Mar ... 10.9 (1834) ... ... -2.8 (1786&1909) .... 5.4 ... ... 5.0 ... ... ... 10.0 (1834) ... ... -1.6 (1909)

06 Mar ... 12.0 (1989) ... ... -4.7 (1786) ... ... ... ... 6.4 ... ... 5.2 ... ... .... 9.9 (1859) ... ... -1.7 (1786)
07 Mar ... 10.9 (1875) ... ... -3.3 (1947) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... 5.4 ... ... .... 9.7 (1834) ... ... -1.7 (1786, 1947)
08 Mar ... 12.2 (2000) ... ... -3.1 (1786) ... ... ... ... 6.5 ... ... 5.5 ... ... .... 9.7 (1834) ... ... -1.9 (1786)
09 Mar ... 12.4 (1948) ... ... -3.0 (1917) ... ... ... ... 6.2 ... ... 5.6 ... ... .... 9.8 (1834) ... ... -1.8 (1786)
10 Mar ... 11.6 (1957) ... ... -2.4 (1883) ... ... ... ... 6.9 ... ... 5.7 ... ... .... 9.7 (1834) ... ... -1.6 (1786)

11 Mar ... 12.6 (1957) ... ... -1.9 (1847) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... 5.8 ... ... .... 9.5 (1834) ... ... -1.1 (1786)
12 Mar ... 13.4 (1957) ... ... -2.4 (1785) ... ... ... ... 6.0 ... ... 5.8 ... ... .... 9.4 (1834) ... ... -0.6 (1786, 1947)
13 Mar ... 12.8 (1991) ... ... -6.5 (1845) ... ... ... ... 6.3 ... ... 5.9 ... ... .... 9.2 (1957) ... ... -0.4 (1786, 1947)
14 Mar ... 11.5 (1805) ... ... -3.7 (1845) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... 5.9 ... ... .... 9.2 (1957) ... ... -0.4 (1845)
15 Mar ... 11.9 (1884) ... ... -1.6 (1867) ... ... ... ... 7.0 ... ... 6.0 ... ... .... 9.3 (1957) ... ... -0.5 (1845)

16 Mar ... 13.2 (2004) ... ... -3.0 (1845) ... ... ... ... 6.9 ... ... 6.1 ... ... .... 9.4 (1957) ... ... -0.6 (1845)
17 Mar ... 13.2 (2005) ... ... -2.2 (1845) ... ... ... ... 7.5 ... ... 6.1 ... ... .... 9.5 (1957) ... ... -0.7 (1845)
18 Mar ... 14.1 (1990) ... ... -1.3 (1853) ... ... ... ... 7.1 ... ... 6.2 ... ... .... 9.5 (1957) ... ... -0.6 (1845)
19 Mar ... 11.8 (1822) ... ... -0.9 (1814) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... 6.2 ... ... .... 9.5 (1957) ... ... -0.5 (1845)
20 Mar ... 12.3 (1779) ... ... -1.6 (1845) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... 6.2 ... ... .... 9.5 (1957) ... ... -0.6 (1845)

21 Mar ... 11.7 (1927,1931).-1.6 (1899) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... 6.2 ... ... .... 9.4 (1957) ... ... -0.4 (1845)
22 Mar ... 12.6 (1903) ... ... .-0.9 (1837) ... ... ... ... 6.9 ... ... 6.3 ... ... .... 9.4 (1957) ... ... -0.1 (1845)
23 Mar ... 12.1 (1852,1945).-0.8 (1837,1899) ...... 6.9 ... ... 6.3 ... ... .... 9.4 (1957) ... ... +0.2 (1845)
24 Mar ... 13.4 (1776) ... ... .-0.6 (1879) ... ... ... ... 7.4 ... ... 6.4 ... ... .... 9.4 (1957) ... ... +0.4 (1845)
25 Mar ... 13.9 (1777) ... ... .-1.3 (1853) ... ... ... ... 7.3 ... ... 6.4 ... ... .... 9.2 (1957) ... ... +0.7 (1845)
 

26 Mar ... 14.6 (1777) ... ... .-0.3 (1879,1901) ...... 7.2 ... ... 6.4 ... ... .... 9.3 (1957) ... ... +1.0 (1845)
27 Mar ... 14.8 (1777) ... ...  +0.1 (1901) ... ... ... ...7.1 ... ... 6.4 ... ... .... 9.2 (1957) ... ... +1.3 (1785, 1845)
28 Mar ... 12.6 (1822,1998).-0.3 (1785) ... ... ... ... 7.2 ... ... 6.5 ... ... .... 9.3 (1957) ... ... +1.3 (1785)
29 Mar ... 13.4 (1813) ... ...  -0.7 (1785) ... ... ... ... 7.2 ... ... 6.5 ... ... .... 9.3 (1957) ... ... +1.2 (1785)
30 Mar ... 15.1 (2017) ..... ... 0.0 (1799) ... ... ... ... 7.6 ... ... 6.5 ... ... .... 9.2 (1957) ... ... +1.2 (1785)
__ ___ ^^ record was 13.4 in 1920
31 Mar ... 13.8 (1815) ... ... .-0.8 (1799) ... ... ... ... 8.0 ... ... 6.6 ... ... .... 9.2 (1957) ... ... +1.2 (1785)**

________________________________________________________________________

** 1674 had a mean CET of 1.0 so was colder here and possibly on earlier dates in the month too. 

 

Edited March 2, 2019 by Roger J Smith

[Ultima Thule]

oops forgot  7.3  please and 83mm

Edited March 2, 2019 by Ultima Thule

[Summer Sun]

7.9 to the 1st

3.3c above the 61 to 90 average
2.9c above the 81 to 10 average

_________________________________________

 

Edited March 2, 2019 by Summer Sun

[Summer Sun]

8.7 to the 2nd

4.2c above the 61 to 90 average
3.8c above the 81 to 10 average

_________________________________________

Current high this month 8.7 to the 2nd

Current low this month 7.9 to the 1st

[feb1991blizzard]

I have already bust!!!