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March 2019 C.E.T. and E.W.P. forecast contests

Roger J Smith

By Roger J Smith
in Spring Weather Discussion

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feb1991blizzard Maestro

feb1991blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Posted

Couldn't really find anything decent that no one had had - anyway

6.6c and 106mm of rainfall please.

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seaside 60 Community Regular

seaside 60

Posted
  • Location: Shoeburyness, SE Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Cool clear sunny weather all year.
  • Location: Shoeburyness, SE Essex
Posted

Well the temp guesses were somewhat out this month lol...

Still think it will be a more typical month for some reason.

7c

78mm

 

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted (edited)
On 19/02/2019 at 21:28, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

suppose 6.7C, mostly westerly

and 154mm

Edited by I remember Atlantic 252
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CheesepuffScott Accomplished

CheesepuffScott

Posted
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
  • Weather Preferences: Cold snowy winters, warm springs, hot summers, warm then stormy autumn
  • Location: Redlynch, Wiltshire / 110m asl
Posted

Still going for 7.5C but can I bump ppn up to 87mm please

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sundog Seasoned

sundog

Posted
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Cold weather - frost or snow
  • Location: Ashbourne,County Meath,about 6 miles northwest of dublin airport. 74m ASL
Posted

7.3c for me please 

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Godber 1 Contributor

Godber 1

Posted
  • Location: binley, 83 metres asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Extremes, especially heavy snow.
  • Location: binley, 83 metres asl.
Posted

6.3c and 110mm please.

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Thundery wintry showers Accomplished

Thundery wintry showers

Posted
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
  • Weather Preferences: Sunshine, convective precipitation, snow, thunderstorms, "episodic" months.
  • Location: Lincoln, Lincolnshire
Posted (edited)

I'll go for a relatively average 6.7C and 79mm.

Edited by Thundery wintry showers
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Roger J Smith Maestro

Roger J Smith

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Author
Posted (edited)

Summary of forecasts for March 2019 CET and EWP

12.0 _ 200 ___ Lettucing Gutted (7) ____ ___ 6.8 _ 95.0 ___ Mulzy (42) ___________ ___ 

 9.9 _ 30.0 ___ Relativistic (21) ________ ___6.8 _ ----- ___ Summer Sun (46) ______ ___

 8.9 _ 55.0 ___ Timmytour (24) ________ ___6.8 _ 64.3 __ mean 1989-2018

 8.4 _ ----- ___ Coldest Winter (1) ______ ___ 6.7 _154.0__ IRememberAtlantic252 (6*)

 8.0 _ 90.0 ___ Reef (29) _____________ ___6.7 _ 79.0 ___ Thundery Wintry Showers (60) 

 7.9 _ ----- ___ Jonathan F. (8)  ________ ___ 6.6 _106.0 ___ Feb1991Blizzard (45)

 7.8 _ 60.0 ___ weather-history (3) _____ ___ 6.6 _ 71.5 __ mean 1981-2010

 7.8 _ 55.0 ___ Blast from the Past (13) _ ___ 6.5 _ 75.0 ___ Dr(S)No (5)

 7.8 _ 70.0 ___ The Pit (26) ___________ ___ 6.5 _ 78.0 ___ Bobd29 (31)

 7.7 _ 66.0 ___ Ed Stone (16) _________ ___ 6.5 _ 81.0 ___ Norrance (33)

 7.7 _ ----- ___ Quicksilver1989 (52) ____ ___ 6.5 _ ----- ___ Katrine Basso (36)

 7.6 _ ----- ___ Summer Blizzard (14) ___ ___ 6.5 _135.0 ___ Don (53) ___

 7.5 _ 87.0 ___ CheesepuffScott (10*) __ ___ 6.4 _ 62.0 ___ emmett garland (39)

 7.5 _ 97.0 ___ Stationary Front (44) ___ ___ 6.4 _ 78.0 ___ Midlands Ice Age (41)

 7.5 _ ----- ___ Evening Star (L3) ______ ___ 

 7.4 _ 50.0 ___ snow dayz (4) _________ ___6.3 _ 70.0 ___ Jeff C. (12) 

 7.4 _ ----- ___ dancerwithwings (30) ___ ___ 6.3 _110.0 ___Godber.1 (58) 

 7.3 _ 62.0 ___ Let It Snow! (2) ________ ___6.2 _ 77.4 ___Kirkcaldy Weather (17) 

 7.3 _ ----- ___ sundog (54) ___________ ___6.2 _ ----- ___ nn2013 (35)

 7.3 _ 83.0 ___ Ultima Thule (L2)

 7.2 _ 74.0 ___ stargazer (9) __________ ___6.2 _112.0 ___ daniel* (49)

 7.2 _ ----- ___ Mark Bayley (22) _______ ___6.0 _ ----- ___ snowray (19)

 7.2 _ ----- ___ Damianslaw (37) _______ ___5.9 _ ----- ___ Kentish Man (57)

 7.2 _ 77.0 ___ DAVID SNOW (48) _____ ___5.7 _ ----- ___ Duncan McAlister (51)

 7.1 _ 89.0 ___ Steve B (43) __________ ___5.6 _116.0___ weather26 (15) 

 7.0 _ 70.5 ___ Roger J Smith (18) _____ ___5.6 _ 95.0 ___ syed2878 (20)

 7.0 _ ----- ___ Leo97t (25) ___________ ___5.6 _ ----- ___ Walsall Wood Snow (28)

 7.0 _ 78.0 ___ seaside60 (47) ________ ___5.5 _ ----- ___ Virtualsphere (11) 

 7.0 _109.0 ___ brmbrmcar (50) _______ ___5.4 _ 65.0 ___ Jonboy (32)

 7.0 _100.0 ___ J10 (55) _____________ ___5.3 _ 125.0 ___ SLEETY (23)

 7.0 _ 84.0 ___ Born From the Void (59) _ ___4.7 _ 79.0 ___ Diagonal Red Line (27)

 6.9 _ ----- ___ Man with Beard (34) also consensus CET

 6.9 _ 82.0 ___ Polar Gael (38) _______ ___

 6.9 _150.0 ___ stewfox (40) _________ ___

 6.9 _ 73.0 ___ davehsug (56) ________ ___

 6.9 _ 88.0 ___ pegg24 (L1-1) ________ ___ 

 ____________________________________________________________

* entry 6 later added EWP only, at entry position 49+1

* entry 10 later changed EWP only, at entry position 49+2

_____________________________________________________________

EWP forecasts in order

200.0 LG, 154.0 IRA252, 150.0 stew, 135.0 Don, 125.0 SLE, 116.0 wx26, 112.0 dan*, 110.0 Godb, 109.0 brm,

106.0 Feb91, 100.0 J10, 97.0 SF, 95.0 syed, Mulzy, 90.0 Reef, 89.0 SteveB, 88.0 Pegg, 87.0 CPScott, 84.0 BFTV,

 83.0 UT, 82.0 PG, 81.0 Norr, 79.0 DRLine, TWS, con .. 78.0 Bobd, MIA, sea60, 77.4 Kirkwx, 77.0 DS, 75.0 Dr(S)No,

 74.0 star, 73.0 dave, 70.5 RJS, 70.0 JeffC, The Pit,  66.0 EdS, 65.0 jon, 62.0 LIS!, emg, 60.0 wx-hist,

55.0 BFTP, tim, 50.0 sdayz, 30.0 Rel 

______________________________________________________________

63 CET forecasts, consensus 6.9

43 EWP forecasts, consensus 79.0 mm. 

 

Edited by Roger J Smith
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pegg24 Enthusiast

pegg24

Posted
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Corby 130 meters above sea level
Posted

6.9 c please 88 mm

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Roger J Smith Maestro

Roger J Smith

Posted
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Location: Rossland BC Canada
  • Author
Posted (edited)

March CET 1981-2010 averages and 1772-2018 extremes

 

DATE ___ MAX ____________ MIN ________ CET date, cum ___ Running CET extreme values

01 Mar ... 10.7 (1878) ... ... -3.8 (2018.)... ... ... ... 5.0 ... ... 5.0 ... ... ... 10.7 (1878.) ... ... -3.8 (2018.)
02 Mar ... 11.1 (1777) ... ... -3.2 (1965) ... ... ... ... 4.8 ... ... 4.9 ... ... ... 10.2 (1878,1999).-3.0 (2018.) 
03 Mar ... 11.0 (1777) ... ... -3.9 (1965) ... ... ... ... 4.9 ... ... 4.9 ... ... ... 10.3 (1801) ... ... -2.1 (1965)
04 Mar ... 12.3 (1859) ... ... -2.9 (1909) ... ... ... ... 4.7 ... ... 4.8 ... ... ... 10.1 (1859) ... ... -1.9 (1965)
05 Mar ... 10.9 (1834) ... ... -2.8 (1786&1909) .... 5.4 ... ... 5.0 ... ... ... 10.0 (1834) ... ... -1.6 (1909)

06 Mar ... 12.0 (1989) ... ... -4.7 (1786) ... ... ... ... 6.4 ... ... 5.2 ... ... .... 9.9 (1859) ... ... -1.7 (1786)
07 Mar ... 10.9 (1875) ... ... -3.3 (1947) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... 5.4 ... ... .... 9.7 (1834) ... ... -1.7 (1786, 1947)
08 Mar ... 12.2 (2000) ... ... -3.1 (1786) ... ... ... ... 6.5 ... ... 5.5 ... ... .... 9.7 (1834) ... ... -1.9 (1786)
09 Mar ... 12.4 (1948) ... ... -3.0 (1917) ... ... ... ... 6.2 ... ... 5.6 ... ... .... 9.8 (1834) ... ... -1.8 (1786)
10 Mar ... 11.6 (1957) ... ... -2.4 (1883) ... ... ... ... 6.9 ... ... 5.7 ... ... .... 9.7 (1834) ... ... -1.6 (1786)

11 Mar ... 12.6 (1957) ... ... -1.9 (1847) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... 5.8 ... ... .... 9.5 (1834) ... ... -1.1 (1786)
12 Mar ... 13.4 (1957) ... ... -2.4 (1785) ... ... ... ... 6.0 ... ... 5.8 ... ... .... 9.4 (1834) ... ... -0.6 (1786, 1947)
13 Mar ... 12.8 (1991) ... ... -6.5 (1845) ... ... ... ... 6.3 ... ... 5.9 ... ... .... 9.2 (1957) ... ... -0.4 (1786, 1947)
14 Mar ... 11.5 (1805) ... ... -3.7 (1845) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... 5.9 ... ... .... 9.2 (1957) ... ... -0.4 (1845)
15 Mar ... 11.9 (1884) ... ... -1.6 (1867) ... ... ... ... 7.0 ... ... 6.0 ... ... .... 9.3 (1957) ... ... -0.5 (1845)

16 Mar ... 13.2 (2004) ... ... -3.0 (1845) ... ... ... ... 6.9 ... ... 6.1 ... ... .... 9.4 (1957) ... ... -0.6 (1845)
17 Mar ... 13.2 (2005) ... ... -2.2 (1845) ... ... ... ... 7.5 ... ... 6.1 ... ... .... 9.5 (1957) ... ... -0.7 (1845)
18 Mar ... 14.1 (1990) ... ... -1.3 (1853) ... ... ... ... 7.1 ... ... 6.2 ... ... .... 9.5 (1957) ... ... -0.6 (1845)
19 Mar ... 11.8 (1822) ... ... -0.9 (1814) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... 6.2 ... ... .... 9.5 (1957) ... ... -0.5 (1845)
20 Mar ... 12.3 (1779) ... ... -1.6 (1845) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... 6.2 ... ... .... 9.5 (1957) ... ... -0.6 (1845)

21 Mar ... 11.7 (1927,1931).-1.6 (1899) ... ... ... ... 6.6 ... ... 6.2 ... ... .... 9.4 (1957) ... ... -0.4 (1845)
22 Mar ... 12.6 (1903) ... ... .-0.9 (1837) ... ... ... ... 6.9 ... ... 6.3 ... ... .... 9.4 (1957) ... ... -0.1 (1845)
23 Mar ... 12.1 (1852,1945).-0.8 (1837,1899) ...... 6.9 ... ... 6.3 ... ... .... 9.4 (1957) ... ... +0.2 (1845)
24 Mar ... 13.4 (1776) ... ... .-0.6 (1879) ... ... ... ... 7.4 ... ... 6.4 ... ... .... 9.4 (1957) ... ... +0.4 (1845)
25 Mar ... 13.9 (1777) ... ... .-1.3 (1853) ... ... ... ... 7.3 ... ... 6.4 ... ... .... 9.2 (1957) ... ... +0.7 (1845)
 

26 Mar ... 14.6 (1777) ... ... .-0.3 (1879,1901) ...... 7.2 ... ... 6.4 ... ... .... 9.3 (1957) ... ... +1.0 (1845)
27 Mar ... 14.8 (1777) ... ...  +0.1 (1901) ... ... ... ...7.1 ... ... 6.4 ... ... .... 9.2 (1957) ... ... +1.3 (1785, 1845)
28 Mar ... 12.6 (1822,1998).-0.3 (1785) ... ... ... ... 7.2 ... ... 6.5 ... ... .... 9.3 (1957) ... ... +1.3 (1785)
29 Mar ... 13.4 (1813) ... ...  -0.7 (1785) ... ... ... ... 7.2 ... ... 6.5 ... ... .... 9.3 (1957) ... ... +1.2 (1785)
30 Mar ... 15.1 (2017) ..... ... 0.0 (1799) ... ... ... ... 7.6 ... ... 6.5 ... ... .... 9.2 (1957) ... ... +1.2 (1785)
__ ___ ^^ record was 13.4 in 1920
31 Mar ... 13.8 (1815) ... ... .-0.8 (1799) ... ... ... ... 8.0 ... ... 6.6 ... ... .... 9.2 (1957) ... ... +1.2 (1785)**

________________________________________________________________________

** 1674 had a mean CET of 1.0 so was colder here and possibly on earlier dates in the month too. 

 

Edited by Roger J Smith
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Summer Sun Maestro

Summer Sun

Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted (edited)

7.9 to the 1st

3.3c above the 61 to 90 average
2.9c above the 81 to 10 average

_________________________________________

 

Edited by Summer Sun
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Summer Sun Maestro

Summer Sun

Posted
  • Location: Darlington
  • Weather Preferences: Warm dry summers
  • Location: Darlington
Posted

8.7 to the 2nd

4.2c above the 61 to 90 average
3.8c above the 81 to 10 average

_________________________________________

Current high this month 8.7 to the 2nd

Current low this month 7.9 to the 1st

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