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Yorkshire and E England regional thread 30 Jan 2019 onwards


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Minor flooding already here, and the radar looks very bad,

 

Looking at the radar its not really making it over the Pennines so far, but be warned if it does its not fun at all.

Edited by cowdog
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The Northern end of that band will not push much further Eastwards now but the Southern end will continue to swing up from the SW in a North Easterly direction meaning that the band will eventually be

Crookes, Sheffield  this morning 

Posted Images

Keep an eye out on Monday for the potential for frontal snowfall even for low levels, could be our first widespread snowfall of the winter. 

Up in the air at the minute.

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The GFS is starting to come in line with the higher res models with a slight shift south on the 12z, expect further corrections.

It'll be the only real snowfall of the winter for alot of us.

Edited by Cheese Rice
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Just sleet for us however when I looked last night the cold uppers are only a narrow band. If it's still the same tonight you're going to be depending on whether the precipitation ties in with the cold uppers or not. If it does it will be a blink and you missed it jobby if it doesn't just the normal cold wet rain.

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Well for Monday. Just had a look and it's a none starter for South Yorkshire and a case of further north you are the better. North Yorkshire should see a bit of the white stuff. Thursday we could see Rain proceeded by Snow on hills early in the morning.

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3 hours ago, Beverley Lass said:

Just back from my dog walk, my word the winds seem strong .. buffeting me off my stride.
It'll be interesting to see if its as bad as the recent named storms ?

BL  

Been really windy in Bempton again today, not quite as bad as last two weekends but still bad enough  that I can't get on with a couple of outside jobs which really need doing. Fed up with this winter, no proper cold and wet and windy, my least favourite type of winter.

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54 minutes ago, The PIT said:

Well for Monday. Just had a look and it's a none starter for South Yorkshire and a case of further north you are the better. North Yorkshire should see a bit of the white stuff. Thursday we could see Rain proceeded by Snow on hills early in the morning.

I disagree 

NMM

NMM.thumb.png.92bc87f67faddf0a022bf2bba2f132a1.png

EURO4

EURO4.thumb.png.c53c14fa787720213ea60699b83592fb.png

 

 

Edited by Cheese Rice
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3 hours ago, Beverley Lass said:

Just back from my dog walk, my word the winds seem strong .. buffeting me off my stride.
It'll be interesting to see if its as bad as the recent named storms ?

BL  

We had a gust of 55mph earlier along with a 10-minute sustained wind of 43mph. Its been up there with recent weekends, not quite as strong as Ciara, but higher than Dennis.

This has been one of the windiest months I can remember though, since the 8th all but three days have had gale force gusts (>39mph). We've had 14 days with gale force winds in total this month, equal highest with December 2002. I suspect that is going to be beaten easily in the remaining 7 days.

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I'm going for widespread accumulations of 1-3cm for low ground, 2-5cm for high ground. 

Potential for 5-10cm if we see further corrections south for high ground. 

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Had a look at Monday myself - it depends which model you look at in terms of forecasting snow. The chance is there and worth keeping an eye on IMO.

ARPEGE 12z for instance suggests a tricky morning commute...

arpegeuk-1-42-0.png?22-17

 

Is that the GFS 12z @The PIT? It showed precip moving through much quicker, turning to rain quickly away from the far north of England - seems to tie in with your chart.

Edited by Onding
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5 hours ago, Cheese Rice said:

I disagree 

NMM

NMM.thumb.png.92bc87f67faddf0a022bf2bba2f132a1.png

EURO4

EURO4.thumb.png.c53c14fa787720213ea60699b83592fb.png

 

 

Never mind the snow...look at the rain over the areas that don’t need or want it... people in those places will be tearing their hair out.

Edited by Carl46Wrexham
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3 hours ago, Cheese Rice said:

EURO4 going for 10-20cm for inland areas.

20022409_2_2218.thumb.gif.bc1bdb3b538d65dd69a8c004bf1a1a5b.gif

BANK! I'm surprised there are no warnings out for Monday morning, the fact there isn't any is dampening my enthusiasm somewhat! 

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