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North West Regional Discussion 30 Jan 2019 onwards


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Some pictures from new Brighton around high tide this afternoon

Up Malham Moor earlier today.

Buxton.

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Just a heads up to members south of Manchester a trough crosses north Midlands and north Wales Monday afternoon as shown on the fax charts most models are showing this as snow as it comes inland PPN charts show a few cm of snow so not mounting to much but @CreweCold may escape a snow less season 

C.S

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29 minutes ago, itsnowjoke said:

Wind definitely picked up 

Yup, picked up here as well. No rain yet though.

 

 

Latest 12Z GFS output.

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The centre of the storm is 945mb. Pretty impressive storm that.

Edited by East Lancs Rain
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33 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Just a heads up to members south of Manchester a trough crosses north Midlands and north Wales Monday afternoon as shown on the fax charts most models are showing this as snow as it comes inland PPN charts show a few cm of snow so not mounting to much but @CreweCold may escape a snow less season 

C.S

Looks to be too far S for us mate going by latest GFS. Cuts right across C Midlands

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3 minutes ago, Frost HoIIow said:

Getting gusty but not too bad yet. Looks like the real fun & games begin during the early hours onwards. ?

Yep, got the wind-up torch at the ready, in case l need the bathroom in the night, power outages can't be ruled out.

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1 hour ago, cheshire snow said:

Just a heads up to members south of Manchester a trough crosses north Midlands and north Wales Monday afternoon as shown on the fax charts most models are showing this as snow as it comes inland PPN charts show a few cm of snow so not mounting to much but @CreweCold may escape a snow less season 

C.S

? 

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3 minutes ago, Rush2112 said:

Been able to hear the wind for the last 10 mins or so. Just dipped into the Ireland thread, it seems the rain has  become more of a concern than the wind at the moment.

I think that the rain may be a bit of a concern for the high ground across our region and the other side of the Pennines if the forecast amounts come close to happening.

80 to 100mm isn’t looking good for anyone in prone areas given the wet weather of the last few months.

 

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1 hour ago, CreweCold said:

Looks to be too far S for us mate going by latest GFS. Cuts right across C Midlands

Ha ha Good old GFS have you seen the ridiculous snow amounts its showing for Manchester Monday and Tuesday 

C.S

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39 minutes ago, Frost HoIIow said:

Getting gusty but not too bad yet. Looks like the real fun & games begin during the early hours onwards. ?

Yup. Sustained wind speeds of 20-25 mph and wind gusts of 45-60 mph forecast for the region by the early hours of Sunday morning. 

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7 minutes ago, cheshire snow said:

Ha ha Good old GFS have you seen the ridiculous snow amounts its showing for Manchester Monday and Tuesday 

C.S

I think the Pennine upslopes may have a decent covering TBH.

Anywhere exposed to the wind has a decent shot a falling snow at least. I'm thinking maybe as far S as Wilmslow given the wind direction. 

It'll be dry, cold and gusty here.

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Pretty wet and wild out now.

We thought about going up the road to the local but after a couple of beers it’s time to open a bottle of red and sod going outside in this.

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ESTOFEX level 2 for us now, not seen that in a while.

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"A level 2 was issued for Ireland, southern UK, northern France, Benelux and Germany mainly for severe to extremely severe wind gusts and tornadoes."

"Given very strong background wind field, with 850 hPA windspeeds around 35 m/s, convective line may enhance the wind gusts near the surface, resulting in widespread severe and isolated extremely severe gusts."

Edited by alr1970
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14 minutes ago, itsnowjoke said:

Nothing really happening just windy and raining 

Wasn’t expecting much more than windy and raining tonight.

the worst blizzards for a gazillion years aren’t due until next week?

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