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North West Regional Discussion 30 Jan 2019 onwards


damianslaw
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Posted
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines
  • Weather Preferences: Summer heat and winter cold, and a bit of snow when on offer
  • Location: Bacup Lancashire, 1000ft up in the South Pennines

    All we need now then is some fresh new snow for our thread.

    tomorrow and Friday are looking unlikely so it’s all eyes on Sunday which may or may not deliver

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    Posted
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winters, hot, sunny springs and summers.
  • Location: Runcorn, Cheshire

    Heavy snow past half an hour. Fresh covering ? 

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    Posted
  • Location: blackburn
  • Weather Preferences: heavy snow/ heatwaves
  • Location: blackburn

    What's crack with Sunday.. Is it showers or a proper front... Is It defiantly going through this region or another frustrating slider that will slide past us. 

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    Posted
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
  • Location: Windermere 120m asl
    2 minutes ago, chicken soup said:

    What's crack with Sunday.. Is it showers or a proper front... Is It defiantly going through this region or another frustrating slider that will slide past us. 

    Its not being fully shown on the models just yet, not even on the FAX but there is a definate signal for a trough/frontal feature to move in from the west at some stage. Suspect it will be picked up tomorrow, it could be marginal for places with less height - but one to watch, it is unlikely to disrupt or slide, as the flow will be broadly westerly.

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    Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral

    Absolutely fascinating example of how marginal it actually is on the coast and also how just 50 metres altitude made the difference between rain and snow. 

    Rain photo is lower Heswall at 25m ASL.. westerly breeze temperature circa 2C dewpoint just above 0C

    Snow photo about 75m ASL temperature 1C with dewpoint slightly below 0C.

    If that isn't marginal then I'm not sure what is!

     

    IMG_20190130_203734473.jpg

    IMG_20190130_202326957.jpg

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    Posted
  • Location: blackburn
  • Weather Preferences: heavy snow/ heatwaves
  • Location: blackburn
    31 minutes ago, damianslaw said:

    Its not being fully shown on the models just yet, not even on the FAX but there is a definate signal for a trough/frontal feature to move in from the west at some stage. Suspect it will be picked up tomorrow, it could be marginal for places with less height - but one to watch, it is unlikely to disrupt or slide, as the flow will be broadly westerly.

    Cheers for that.

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL
  • Location: Manchester City Centre, 31m ASL

    Sunday looks too mild for most of us I think. 

    Yes quite an active front is picked up on the GFS at least, but dewpoints go above freezing pretty quickly.

    Transitory snow possible for high ground but nothing more (unless things change nearer the time which they may do) 

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    Posted
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Cold, snow, thunderstorms, warm summers not too hot.
  • Location: Medlock Valley, Oldham, 103 metres/337 feet asl.
    46 minutes ago, SP1986 said:

    Absolutely fascinating example of how marginal it actually is on the coast and also how just 50 metres altitude made the difference between rain and snow. 

    Rain photo is lower Heswall at 25m ASL.. westerly breeze temperature circa 2C dewpoint just above 0C

    Snow photo about 75m ASL temperature 1C with dewpoint slightly below 0C.

    If that isn't marginal then I'm not sure what is!

     

    IMG_20190130_203734473.jpg

    IMG_20190130_202326957.jpg

    True, I've noticed it myself around here over the years - there's usually a noticeable difference in snow depth around 50m higher between places and a significant difference at 100m. But of course sometimes it depends on where bands of snow come together. Parts of south Manchester at only 30m had about 15cm of snow today but I only had about 5cm yet I'm over 60m higher because I wasn't under the heavier bands.

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    Posted
  • Location: South Manchester
  • Location: South Manchester

    Pretty bad out there already - snow that has had footfall and turned to slush is hard already and where it's compacted is very dangerous. Roads that are clear glistening with frost too.

    Going to be tricky in the morning.

     

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    Posted
  • Location: London (currently)
  • Location: London (currently)
    11 minutes ago, Joe Bloggs said:

    Sunday looks too mild for most of us I think. 

    Yes quite an active front is picked up on the GFS at least, but dewpoints go above freezing pretty quickly.

    Transitory snow possible for high ground but nothing more (unless things change nearer the time which they may do) 

    Some earlier model runs looked more promising such as the 0z ukmo and the morning gfs. However, the afternoon runs went flatter and milder.

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    Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
    25 minutes ago, Frost HoIIow said:

    True, I've noticed it myself around here over the years - there's usually a noticeable difference in snow depth around 50m higher between places and a significant difference at 100m. But of course sometimes it depends on where bands of snow come together. Parts of south Manchester at only 30m had about 15cm of snow today but I only had about 5cm yet I'm over 60m higher because I wasn't under the heavier bands.

    Yes it does vary a fair bit, The lower part of the town there has it's own unique microclimate of sorts.. indeed the lowest temperature on record down that way is -7C yet upper town is -10.8C. All quite fascinating when it comes to snow chances.

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    Posted
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, 53.36, -2.84, (29M ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Winter - snow, Irish sea convection. Summer - thunderstorms, hot sunny days
  • Location: Halewood, Merseyside, 53.36, -2.84, (29M ASL)

    Temp now -0.6°C and plummeting. 

    -1 now, Falling 1.2°C per hour. 

    Edited by Chris.R
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    Posted
  • Location: Wrexham,NE Wales - 89m
  • Weather Preferences: Hot and Sunny Summers/Cold Wintry Winters
  • Location: Wrexham,NE Wales - 89m

    Around -4c here at the moment going to be a rather cold one i think. 

    Edited by Summerstorm
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    Posted
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral
  • Weather Preferences: Summer: warm, humid, thundery. Winter: mild, stormy, some snow.
  • Location: Heswall, Wirral

    Far colder than I expected. Easily the coldest this year. -3.1C currently. That's within the range of normal expected absolute minima in winter.. still plenty of time to fall.. might make -4 by sunrise

     

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    Posted
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le
  • Weather Preferences: snowy winters,warm summers and Storms
  • Location: Northwich south cheshire 35m or 114ft above sea le

    Manchester Airport TAF Indicating Light snow Tonight notice the GFS has moved the front further North

    Currently -4c with freezing Fog

    C.S

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    Posted
  • Location: Walton, Liverpool. 38m asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy weather
  • Location: Walton, Liverpool. 38m asl.

    Whatever fell last night has frozen. Roads are going to be bad this am. 

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