Jump to content
Cold?
Local
Radar
Snow?

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Dublin, ireland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow , thunderstorms and wind
  • Location: Dublin, ireland
    Just now, Cuban Zebra said:

    I promised myself I wouldn’t get sucked in to this again... what the hell??

    A7688CC0-25C0-4960-8FDC-385C132D0C16.png

    One of these days it will materialise...... Hopefully.... I would love it...but unless it is is 48+ i will not be happy... A long terms watcher and scpetic of long range synoptics.... but is it not nicer to be watching such synoptics rather than raging westerlies.

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Spotted a post you think may be an issue? Please help the team by reporting it.
    • Replies 12.2k
    • Created
    • Last Reply

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Top Posters In This Topic

    Popular Posts

    For those who think the SSW was a bust take a look at this at T+3   Then look at the NW/SE jet axis over us, then look at the fact that the downwelling has been delayed but is just und

    Feel I have an apology to make.  If people are wondering why this thread vanished for almost an hour, basically I went ahead a locked the thread first. Then, went and hid it. Was feeling fed

    Leaked express headline for tomorrow.   #sorrynotsorry

    Posted Images

    Posted
  • Location: Gourock, Scotland
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms, Severe Gales, Hot & Sunny or Cold & Sunny!
  • Location: Gourock, Scotland
    2 hours ago, BlackburnChris said:

    Heavy Snow and a pint here in Darwen .

    15481893844951817911906.jpg

    Have you been in there all day with the GFS 18z run? 

    I think it’s been doing cheeky shots of whisky while you were taking pictures of the snow...

    Now this is a STONKER!!!! 

     

    9EE3C124-3A14-4FF3-BD60-1C50B025D81A.png

    Edited by Mr Frost
    • Like 4
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
    1 minute ago, snowbob said:

    the big dogs are posting now and the thread is buzzing

     

    With Blue Army, Chiono, Catacol, Nick Sussex, Kold Weather et al posting, we only need Steve Murr to pop in and it'd be like Avengers Assemble.

    • Like 6
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
    3 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

    Mannnn we were so close to getting the -20 850s line in the high sunk just at the wrong time . But we will take that with open arms ?

    Ah well, just have to cope with the marginality that is -15C won't we!! ?

    Needless to say the 2nd is VERY cold, maxes on that run were -2/3C. Indeed most days are barely above 0C, several don't even make that.

    Edited by kold weather
    • Like 3
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW BABY
  • Location: Yate, Bristol
    6 minutes ago, Cuban Zebra said:

    I promised myself I wouldn’t get sucked in to this again... what the hell??

    A7688CC0-25C0-4960-8FDC-385C132D0C16.png


    Let's go again!

     

    giphy (2).gif

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester

    ?️ I've just heard we're going back in.

    Last time they told us it would be easy, that there would be little opposition to the advance West, but they had forces waiting for us.

    We took casualties, lost some good people, but now we are ready and their forces depleted.

    Strap in boys and girls, it s time for some payback. ?

     

     

    • Like 9
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.

    Already an improvement on the GEFS 18z with stronger ridges at 60.

    • Like 7
    Link to post
    Share on other sites

    In the almost unlikely chance the GFS 18z was to pull off, no one could complain about lack of snow for the following 10 winters.

    Amazing stuff. Simply amazing.

    Classic pub run, it really has been at the pub!

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Cornwall
  • Location: Cornwall
    Just now, prolongedSnowLover said:

    Let’s get some cross model agreement first before getting too excited tomorrow morning hopefully with ECM!

    As much as I love too to get hyped over a Easterly 2.0 that actually happens but before it happens we need to get cross model agreement/trend towards this 

    I don't think we would want a huge disappointment again won't we 

     

    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Addington
  • Weather Preferences: Love a bit of snow
  • Location: Addington
    3 minutes ago, Skullzrulerz said:

    As much as I love too to get hyped over a Easterly 2.0 that actually happens but before it happens we need to get cross model agreement/trend towards this 

    I don't think we would want a huge disappointment again won't we 

     

    It’s the same every year

    the thrill is in the chase to be honest

    Edited by snowbob
    • Like 7
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: South Croydon
  • Location: South Croydon
    31 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

    Possibly, but i don't overly get concerned with OP runs when they are big outliers, as long as the GEFS have reasonable support for the EPS in the 144-240 range, i will be happy.

    I don't think you can ignore operating runs given they are high definition compared to the ensembles and controls low definition.

    The question is, especially on the ECM, what is the operational picking up on that the lower definition control isn't that causes the direction to be so different. 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Royston , Herts
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW
  • Location: Royston , Herts

    It’s not often you get runs showing such brutal cold over the uk . I know we do get cold runs in FI all the time but not like that 18z run . It’s a sign , something STONKING @feb1991blizzard  is around the corner ????

    • Like 5
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy winter, warm/hot summer with the odd storm thrown in
  • Location: Barton on Sea, Hampshire
    7 minutes ago, MidnightSnow said:


    Let's go again!

     

    giphy (2).gif

    Hopefully the rollercoasters more exciting than someone found it last time...

    giphy.gif

    Nice to have a bit of excitement again after missing out on any today. 

    Edited by matt111
    Fixed gif
    • Like 1
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
  • Weather Preferences: 30 Degrees of pure British Celsius
  • Location: Essex Riviera aka Burnham
    3 minutes ago, Mucka said:

    ?️ I've just heard we're going back in.

    Last time they told us it would be easy, that there would be little opposition to the advance West, but they had forces waiting for us.

    We took casualties, lost some good people, but now we are ready and their forces depleted.

    Strap in boys and girls, it s time for some payback. ?

     

     

    straight out of Hollywood that!...too late for the oscars this year, just. Let's terminate the Atlantic!

    • Like 2
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
    2 minutes ago, snowbob said:

    It’s the same every year

    tbe thrill is in the chase to be honest

    Yup. Far nicer to see the possibility of something wintry and awesome than endless charts of mild. I think the signs are were about to hit the jackpot from that GFS but I fully understand the skepticism of posters after last weeks dissapointment.

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, Thunderstorms
  • Location: Kirkcaldy, Fife, Scotland 20m ASL

    510 dam line anim_shq5.thumb.gif.a2d9d0d41d2c781f066d9a8b9f7c705f.gif  and just for fun a comparison with last years beast from the east anim_zei0.thumb.gif.93ceb70ecee08866331587e14704d711.gif archives-2018-2-28-12-2.thumb.png.dd92bfec312782fa5d0f7b6d9024b222.png Hard to remain calm when charts like these start appearing but lets wait and see where we head over the next few days, I did say that I thought the BOOM charts would increase as we headed toward the last week of Jan... 

    • Like 6
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex

    Well the GFSP and Control are almost identical to the pub run at 102

    GFSP image.thumb.png.3eb829d2b5d062a295196a5bb6175bec.png Control image.thumb.png.64dba258c49d77d1a332ae83a1fc687d.png GFS image.thumb.png.2282a36a38d0a59e93281a778722edca.png

    • Like 9
    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
    3 minutes ago, Trom said:

    I don't think you can ignore operating runs given they are high definition compared to the ensembles and controls low definition.

    The question is, especially on the ECM, what is the operational picking up on that the lower definition control isn't that causes the direction to be so different. 

    As long as the majority cluster signals cold you are ok, they are tweaked to show different outcomes because of their low DEFINITION, 

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Posted
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
  • Weather Preferences: wintry
  • Location: Coniston, Cumbria 90m ASL
    9 minutes ago, Ice Day said:

    With Blue Army, Chiono, Catacol, Nick Sussex, Kold Weather et al posting, we only need Steve Murr to pop in and it'd be like Avengers Assemble.

    Or the Anthill Mob

    Link to post
    Share on other sites
    Message added by Paul

    Please ensure that the majority of your posts in this thread are model related - a theme of model discussion needs to run throughout.
    Some off topic chat and reactions are ok, but please use other, more relevant threads for entirely off-topic chat (such as snow reports, met office forecasts and general chat/moans about the weather or this winter).

    For more no banter and just model discussion please head to the new focused model thread - this is also a great place to post (or cross post) your longer model summaries or thoughts around the models.

    Guest
    This topic is now closed to further replies.
    ×
    ×
    • Create New...