Cold hunt - models and chat

[feb1991blizzard]

Could be a good run coming up here.

[frosty ground]

6 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Could be a good run coming up here.

Another almost run

[igloo]

if these charts were for july we would be in heatwave still many places over the next fortnight could well see temperatures hitting 16-17c 

[frosty ground]

2 minutes ago, igloo said:

if these charts were for july we would be in heatwave still many places over the next fortnight could well see temperatures hitting 16-17c 

This might be our summer charts this year unfortunately 

[feb1991blizzard]

14 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

Another almost run

Yes, just a few grains of graupel for the South East in FI

[MATTWOLVES 3]

Is it gonna be a close but no cigar moment!

[Tim Bland]

Yep, close but no cigar, high soon topples leaving most of Europe wintry but us back under high pressure 

[Penicuikblizzard]

1 hour ago, Bristle boy said:

True, but also the 'form horse' to start with

and if one likes a flutter and a clever punter plays the probabilities then saying a UK winter will likely be mild and not cold is just being sensible.

The trouble with this place is that every Winter (and with increasing frequency imho) is that members' expectations are set way too high and people follow or believe the eternal optimists and almost ignore the down-to-earth realists.

Classic example is the ever-consistent theme of Chasing the Easterlies. Reality is that a sustained Winter Easterly/NE beyond, say, 4 days is a rare beast for the UK; maybe on average a once in every 5 year occurence? (Back of fag packet calc).

A very sensible comment there! 

[MATTWOLVES 3]

The para doesn't even get that cold pool as close as its older brother did!! Seriously disgusting output!! Always tomorrow I suspect

[snowfish1]

1 hour ago, Mattwolves said:

II thought icon was showing a bit of promise around day 6 with - 4 uppers into the SE, but the pattern seemed to quickly flatten again, just look at them cold uppers out east, surely our luck can change at some point. 

You wanna bet on that? Why would it when we've had crap luck so far every which way 

Edited February 13, 2019 by snowfish1

[MP-R]

56 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

This might be our summer charts this year unfortunately 

That chart is the definition of a mess - a very odd one at that - to have a low that 'strong' essentially in the middle of a broken high pressure system. One for the poubelle. 

[Summer Sun]

12z ens for London maintain the short-lived cooler snap at the start of next week maybe just getting below the 30-year average before milder air returns

The snow row is 0 through-out

Up in Scotland and it's a similar picture short-lived cooler snap at the start of next week before milder air returns

The snow row here gets to the dizzy heights of 1 on three days

Edited February 13, 2019 by Summer Sun

[alexisj9]

20 minutes ago, Summer Sun said:

12z ens for London maintain the short-lived cooler snap at the start of next week maybe just getting below the 3--year average before milder air returns

The snow row is 0 through-out

Up in Scotland and it's a similar picture short-lived cooler snap at the start of next week before milder air returns

The snow row here gets to the dizzy heights of 1 on three days

Looks like more of the assembles are rissing slightly slower here. In the London graph anyway. I'll be watching to see if that may continue. Not that they are in anyway cold mind.

Edited February 13, 2019 by alexisj9

[Frosty.]

Just had a peek at the models and all I can say is..dear winter, you are the weakest link..good riddance!!

[Don]

8 minutes ago, Frosty. said:

Just had a peek at the models and all I can say is..dear winter, you are the weakest link..good riddance!!

Like flogging a dead horse.....

[MATTWOLVES 3]

12 minutes ago, Frosty. said:

Just had a peek at the models and all I can say is..dear winter, you are the weakest link..good riddance!!

Until the 18s and we put ourselves through it again!:-o 

[lassie23]

A lot of 'winter is over' posts in here tonight, there is still a month for nothing wintry to happen

[Don]

24 minutes ago, Mattwolves said:

Until the 18s and we put ourselves through it again!:-o 

Think we’ve all had enough

[Methuselah]

26 minutes ago, Don said:

Like flogging a dead horse.....

Dead? It's not dead..it's merely resting!

[Don]

1 minute ago, Ed Stone said:

Dead? It's not dead..it's merely resting!

If it’s resting, it’s a lazy git and needs a good kick up the *rse!

[MATTWOLVES 3]

Another painful ECM, nothing seems to be moving at any decent pace. We really do need to shift this pattern, it's like mid December into Jan all over again!

[Leon1]

Just wondering, what does this all mean for the weather in the Alps, worried the snow will melt at this rate by the time I go (a week).

[igloo]

Just now, Don said:

Think we’ve all had enough

this slug just aint going to move knowing  our luck it wll still be there  at the end of march

[Don]

2 minutes ago, Mattwolves said:

Another painful ECM, nothing seems to be moving at any decent pace. We really do need to shift this pattern, it's like mid December into Jan all over again!

A zonal reset needed?

[snowangel32]

Well you can add my Virtual towell to the pile of broken dreams, hype and promises. What this Winter has taught us all is background signals and expert forecasts mean nothing. Nature is its own thing that dosent follow a script. So next year if it shows mild and a heatwave expect blizzards and the next Ice age lol. Hope you all have an amazing Spring, Summer, Autumn. That's all folks until next Winter and the journey starts again.