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Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level

    No idea what UKMO shows TBH..Looks an improvement on yesterday tho..

    image.thumb.png.2514ebe27ad2024a789914a4495d3342.png

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    For those who think the SSW was a bust take a look at this at T+3   Then look at the NW/SE jet axis over us, then look at the fact that the downwelling has been delayed but is just und

    Feel I have an apology to make.  If people are wondering why this thread vanished for almost an hour, basically I went ahead a locked the thread first. Then, went and hid it. Was feeling fed

    Leaked express headline for tomorrow.   #sorrynotsorry

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    Posted
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
  • Location: New Ash green 150M / 500 FT
    2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

    No idea what UKMO shows TBH..Looks an improvement on yesterday tho..

    image.thumb.png.2514ebe27ad2024a789914a4495d3342.png

    Yes much better- Not quite perfect but the low pressure is much weaker in terms of throwing milder air North -

    A growing threat of snow Tuesday into weds for the south --

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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
    1 minute ago, Steve Murr said:

    Yes much better- Not quite perfect but the low pressure is much weaker in terms of throwing milder air North -

    A growing threat of snow Tuesday into weds for the south --

    I like UKMO steve- look at the Atlantic , looks ready to disrupt at 144 to me..

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester

    No channel low on GFS but these features are going to be very hard to pick out let alone track correctly for the models.

    gfsnh-0-96.png

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester

    GFS pretty close with UKMO in general features, matching the slider at 120, just a bit faster.

    gfsnh-0-120.png

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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
    1 minute ago, StormyWeather28 said:

    Showers turning increasingly to snow from Monday evening across the North and West with an ongoing risk in the days ahead. Sliders could bring snow almost anywhere. Most if not all at risk of snow at times this week. Details very uncertain. 

    If i was an employer at the BBC the weather presenting job would be all yours.. ?

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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level

    Told the wife i will spend less time on here over the coming weeks, after viewing GFS/ICON/UKMO this morning, all i can say is..

    ValidBossyIrishredandwhitesetter-size_re

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    Posted
  • Location: Manchester
  • Weather Preferences: Sunny and warm in the Summer, cold and snowy in the winter, simples!
  • Location: Manchester
    1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

    Blimey GFS bringing very heavy snow later next week!!

    image.thumb.png.744a70c43c1af072ba13a2614f9fe8a5.png

    Yeah there may or may not be other events such as a channel low but the end of month low looks nailed down. Just the all important track to be determined and for us that will be the difference between snow/rain or even dry. 

    Thankfully should be some fun and games before then for the NW in showers and maybe S if any shortwaves develop as with UKMO.

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    Posted
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level
  • Location: County end Oldham 202 m Above sea level

    HAHAHAHA GFS gives me a 24 hours snow storm..

    naughty GFS!!

    All seriousness this mornings runs are BIG upgrades - there is going to be some happy campers in the next few hours!!

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea

    Guess it's time to stare at a wall until the ECM starts running...

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    Posted
  • Location: Jarrow,Tyne & Wear
  • Weather Preferences: All extreme weather especially cold and snow!
  • Location: Jarrow,Tyne & Wear
    41 minutes ago, Jackski4 said:

    Guess it's time to stare at a wall until the ECM starts running...

    Or maybe watch the para roll out?

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  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
    9 minutes ago, Jarrow Posh said:

    Or maybe watch the para roll out?

    It's already been! Very good run, thinks looking promising.

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook

    Some great morning runs. GFS doesn't do alot with the wave on Tuesday but increasing numbers are. Ukmo and the GFSP for example really start to deepen it. Icon also has a great frature running through, though timing could be better.

    As for Thursday, the models still broadly agree on a stronger low but there is still no clear obvious path yet.

    Edited by kold weather
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    Posted
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, more snow and even more snow..Oh and I love a good old Thunderstorm
  • Location: Thorpe Surrey (About 1 mile from Thorpe park)

    GFS also always always always to progressive with lows and watch how they get less deep on future runs and further west.. 

    ICON is mouth watering for most of us.. 

    Right at the end what is that a surface low or something?? 

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    Posted
  • Location: Jarrow,Tyne & Wear
  • Weather Preferences: All extreme weather especially cold and snow!
  • Location: Jarrow,Tyne & Wear
    8 minutes ago, Jackski4 said:

    It's already been! Very good run, thinks looking promising.

    Still rollng out for me on Meteociel,where can I view it earlier?

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
    2 minutes ago, Jarrow Posh said:

    Still rollng out for me on Meteociel,where can I view it earlier?

    Perhaps I'm looking at the earlier one. Didn't realise there was one right about now. Guess I should go look!?

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    Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
    7 minutes ago, Surrey said:

    GFS also always always always to progressive with lows and watch how they get less deep on future runs and further west.. 

    ICON is mouth watering for most of us.. 

    Right at the end what is that a surface low or something?? 

    The GFSP is pretty outrageous for the south, the front never clears through.

    Anyway most ensembles members of GFS at least have some form of surface low for Tuesday, some ate really starting to blow it is over N. France. 

    UKMO is eye-catching as it is usually the more conservative of the model s with such a feature.

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    Posted
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
  • Weather Preferences: SNOWWWWWWWW
  • Location: Southend-On-Sea
    2 minutes ago, kold weather said:

    The GFSP is pretty outrageous for the south, the front never clears through.

    Anyway most ensembles members of GFS at least have some form of surface low for Tuesday, some ate really starting to blow it is over N. France. 

    UKMO is eye-catching as it is usually the more conservative of the model s with such a feature.

    Guessing you mean outrageous in a good way??

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    Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch

    after yesterday gloom this place should be much happy if you go by the over night models  they are now saying we  might  might get the cold  and snow  if the gfs  is right even into fw

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    Message added by Paul

    Please ensure that the majority of your posts in this thread are model related - a theme of model discussion needs to run throughout.
    Some off topic chat and reactions are ok, but please use other, more relevant threads for entirely off-topic chat (such as snow reports, met office forecasts and general chat/moans about the weather or this winter).

    For more no banter and just model discussion please head to the new focused model thread - this is also a great place to post (or cross post) your longer model summaries or thoughts around the models.

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