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Paul

Please ensure that the majority of your posts in this thread are model related - a theme of model discussion needs to run throughout.
Some off topic chat and reactions are ok, but please use other, more relevant threads for entirely off-topic chat (such as snow reports, met office forecasts and general chat/moans about the weather or this winter).

For more no banter and just model discussion please head to the new focused model thread - this is also a great place to post (or cross post) your longer model summaries or thoughts around the models.

Message added by Paul

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Just now, northwestsnow said:

Nope, not on the one i just watched, didn't mention end of the week 🙂

BBC week ahead - I laughed when he said milder at the end of the week? I was like? Show us a chart then.. He didn't.. LOL

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6 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

 

 

I wish i could use-different terminology..

 

In English would be fine 😀👍

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Just now, Updated_Weather said:

BBC week ahead - I laughed when he said milder at the end of the week? I was like? Show us a chart then.. He didn't.. LOL

Maybe the one i just watched was recorded but he for sure didn't swear (mention mild).

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40 minutes ago, snowray said:

Fax charts out....getting closer to the south that little low at T96, south of the M4 could get lucky!;)

fax96s.gif

fax120s.gif

At long blooming last!!

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It’s been mentioned already but the met mentioning the lows going down into the Bay of Biscay might of been one hell off a good call . It was kinda strange them mentioning that in there update . Let’s hope there bang on . 

The gfs 18z is cold from Sunday until at least the following Sunday. I’m in shock too . Wasn’t exspecting that at all . 🙂🤞🏻

Sunday to Sunday 850s below 😮

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Just now, northwestsnow said:

Maybe the one i just watched was recorded but he for sure didn't swear (mention mild).

Yep he said it - the low pressure looks to postion it's self to the NW and bring milder air undercitting it (then after, mentions snow may not be done with us) makes sense

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3 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Not a great 18z gfs IMO. No snow next week for most as lows go too far south and no snowy breakdown either. Would rather have snow next week than be chasing rainbows at day 10+ 

5164F16B-BF92-4902-9BA5-906FA0B57625.png

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It won't play out like the 18z though. To many variables chance is probably 1%. Having said that imo you want to edge on the colder side as snow events will show up at short range. If we're on the milder side it's game over. 

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V interesting link in the Media section on TWO about the SSW ( from the Beeb )

Edited by Banbury
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4 minutes ago, snowray said:

I'm staying up for the para til the end even if its running late as usual, wanted an early night but I just can't help myself, I bet its going to be a cracker, not too south, or north, just right...countrywide blizzards!

What time does that usually come out please?

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Wouldn't worry about anything past this low yet, models struggling with this yet alone the next one...wow I sound like someone who moaned at me earlier.

See I'm not always a Debby downer.

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20 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

The gain is there in front of you..

A snowy breakdown seems a dramatic conclusion..given our luck..

But 4 once...its a coneievable scenario..

As crazy as it may seem..

The wait for the toilet...will have ya weeing for fun!!!

I wish i could use-different terminology..

But except..its a forum on a scale...to which i cannot !!😉

Mate, I love your posts but Google translate hits the buffers. After more than 2 pints I wee for fun anyway, whatever the synoptic!

Edited by JeffC

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2 minutes ago, Bazray said:

What time does that usually come out please?

It's rolling out now, should be finished about 11:45pm

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2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

image.thumb.png.b9cce52b99803e09c069d093d0cdaef7.png

Looks ok but it’s still cold rain unfortunately 

3491797D-D223-433C-BE07-B2C6CF1B356D.png

94224382-D1CC-46ED-A725-DFF7858E9FBB.png

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3 minutes ago, Banbury said:

V interesting link in the Media section on TWO about the SSW ( from the Met )

Good or bad Marcus ? Hopefully better than the Arsenal result 🤣

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1 minute ago, Ice Day said:

It's rolling out now, should be finished about 11:45pm

Plenty of time for a fun wee then 

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A better run from the GFS tonight 🙂

Somewhat short time upgrades? 

Think that FI is 5 days

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3 minutes ago, ICE COLD said:

Good or bad Marcus ? Hopefully better than the Arsenal result 🤣

Says we have had positive  AO and will switch to negative AO which could mean we will see much colder weather towards the end of the season.

 

 

Edited by Bazray
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3 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

Looks ok but it’s still cold rain unfortunately 

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@ 288 hours? Really?

 

This thread sometimes. 🤦‍♂️

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1 minute ago, Tim Bland said:

Looks ok but it’s still cold rain unfortunately 

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Synoptics, though. Out at that range Siberian High is starting to backfill the colder uppers / and surface cold.

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3 minutes ago, Rocheydub said:

You don't understand, do you?

Not really, just hunting for a bit of snow.

I have edited it now. Got it the wrong way around.

Edited by Bazray
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19 minutes ago, bluearmy said:

Not for the first time , the gfs run at day 9 looks like the previous gfsp ......

oh, forgot to post earlier ........after the noon suites, I reckon that Leeds snowline (relating to the day 6 system, not the first half of next week) is probably adjusted south to Sheffield/n Derbyshire 

So does this stop on the Welsh border??? 🍺😂☀️

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I kno it’s at the end of the run but hopefully a growing theme in the future runs . 

F23A888A-DB8A-4264-87C2-4B3BCD0EE49F.png

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Seems to be a theme this winter that the 00Z models tend to be meh, whilst 18Z are the most interesting.  Or is that just me?!

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12 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Maybe the one i just watched was recorded but he for sure didn't swear (mention mild).

The BBC have to be super reserved with their weather forecast. It's okay for us with the insight. But the general public go into melt down. They will cancel appointments, flights, etc....

 

Tuesday is looking good for the South. Just hope their isn't too much warmer air around that low. As it could be a sleet mix for the South....

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