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Please ensure that the majority of your posts in this thread are model related - a theme of model discussion needs to run throughout.
Some off topic chat and reactions are ok, but please use other, more relevant threads for entirely off-topic chat (such as snow reports, met office forecasts and general chat/moans about the weather or this winter).

For more no banter and just model discussion please head to the new focused model thread - this is also a great place to post (or cross post) your longer model summaries or thoughts around the models.

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2 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Meanwhile, once folks have put down their handbags, Sunday may well see the start of some very interesting weather::drunk:

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True, we have -8 850`s north and -6 East/ SE by evening

 

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For those who think the SSW was a bust take a look at this at T+3   Then look at the NW/SE jet axis over us, then look at the fact that the downwelling has been delayed but is just und

Feel I have an apology to make.  If people are wondering why this thread vanished for almost an hour, basically I went ahead a locked the thread first. Then, went and hid it. Was feeling fed

Leaked express headline for tomorrow.   #sorrynotsorry

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UKMO T120, looking good I would suggest, ridge can perhaps link up with heights to the north, stuff heading our way is not a bowling ball, think this one has potential...

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To be clear, my interest in the UKMO is mainly from a medium term perspective.  

Edited by Mike Poole
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Too much westerly influence for the South on Ukmo at 120 chart I think. Never seen lying snow for long from that set up, better up North and on hills. 

Edited by SLEETY
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Just now, SLEETY said:

Yeah no good again, and where is the Northern blocking to bring this bitter weather from the East soon, should be at least signs of it now. 

If you referring to the metO 6-15 day forecast the hint is that’s a day 6 chart

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GFS 12z is colder than 06z.....t102 to t120....but don’t like what’s following, the LP is rounding up and will throw more milder air over the south.

T138 confirms that....but we won’t know which is right until that period it’s within t72

BFTP

 

 

Edited by BLAST FROM THE PAST
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1 minute ago, frosty ground said:

If you referring to the metO 6-15 day forecast the hint is that’s a day 6 chart

Actually it is their, if its correct. Would go on to show very cold air sinking South from the t144 chart I think. 

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