Cold hunt - models and chat

[snowfish1]

1 hour ago, Jackski4 said:

Glad to see someone else is still cold hunting at this late hour! 

 

ECM looks promising especially as we head out of next weekend.. Looks best for Northern or western areas, but we remain faithful down here in the SE. With all that cold I think it's just a matter of time before we get a big snow event.

 

Don't dismiss this Thursday either, with a little low clipping the north sea coasts!

Thanks Dude. It does make u jaded the constant waiting 

[Jackski4]

20 minutes ago, snowfish1 said:

Thanks Dude. It does make u jaded the constant waiting 

Has been frustrating but I feel like 28th onwards it's going to turn a lot colder and snow will never be too far away !

[lassie23]

32 minutes ago, Jackski4 said:

Stay positive☺!

Yes still plenty of time for some marginal sleet 

[Jackski4]

2 minutes ago, lassie23 said:

Yes still plenty of time for some marginal sleet 

HAHA you stay positive too! Everyone just stay positive, or I'll be back on the drink!

 

Next models start rolling out soon, starting with UKMO!

[offerman]

After the initial euphoria then the charts watered it right down  it now looks not too bad even at times through this week. Chances are there. 

[geordiekev]

Not model related but if your up and there's no clouds might be worth a look out the window. Look West

Edited January 21, 2019 by geordiekev
Added pic

[Mizzle]

8 minutes ago, geordiekev said:

Not model related but if your up and there's no clouds might be worth a look out the window. Look West

Too darned cloudy here.

[Jackski4]

Has UKMO rolled out yet?

[AWD]

Anyone waking up hoping to see some excitement on the 0z GFS & 0z UKMO, don't bother, go back to bed.

Chilly yes, but nothing more. 

[Jackski4]

25 minutes ago, AWD said:

Anyone waking up hoping to see some excitement on the 0z GFS & 0z UKMO, don't bother, go back to bed.

Chilly yes, but nothing more. 

ECM in 40 minutes. That's where I'm putting my money.

[Cheshire Freeze]

26 minutes ago, AWD said:

Anyone waking up hoping to see some excitement on the 0z GFS & 0z UKMO, don't bother, go back to bed.

Chilly yes, but nothing more. 

Looks pretty cold to me...though obviously nothing exceptional

[BlackburnChris]

10 minutes ago, CreweCold said:

Looks pretty cold to me...though obviously nothing exceptional

thats only day 6 and looks cold to me

[Chris.R]

 Wow. I love the GFS 0z. Would likely  give me a dumping imby. Just because it doesn’t show a beast. Give me marginal with lots of ppn rather than very cold and dry like last Feb/Mar everytime. 

[Jackski4]

13 minutes ago, BlackburnChris said:

thats only day 6 and looks cold to me

Right, I think we're more likely to experience the deep cold day 8 or 9 onwards.

[tinybill]

well in fw  180hr looking  interesting  ex if your in scotland  that looking to say the least

[BlackburnChris]

The difference between the 00z and 18z at this range shows we need to concentrate on day 5 and before . 

 

 

 

 

[Jackski4]

ECM should start rolling out now!

[swfc]

The theme of lows moving South East looks to be locked in with little in the way of hlb imo.good for high ground esp Scotland and the NW.not what we all want to see "if you want deep cold and really low 850s"but it's what it is.im personally a bit weary of this winter altho plenty of time left.a front crossing the UK followed by a few showers isn't going to float my boat but beggers can't be choosers I guess!!!

Edited January 21, 2019 by swfc

[SLEETY]

26 minutes ago, swfc said:

The theme of lows moving South East looks to be locked in with little in the way of hlb imo.good for high ground esp Scotland and the NW.not what we all want to see "if you want deep cold and really low 850s"but it's what it is.im personally a bit weary of this winter altho plenty of time left.a front crossing the UK followed by a few showers isn't going to float my boat but beggers can't be choosers I guess!!!

Exactly,a million miles away  from what was being shown a few days ago with the bitter easterlies arriving  etc.

Still cold though with chances of snow for everyone but less cold then what we were thinking was arriving next week.Of course the less cold option will verify 100%%..You can guarantee that

[Jackski4]

Has anyone viewed this mornings ecm yet? How's it looking ..?

[KTtom]

Keep positive...

SSW and other backround signals are in our favour....models are struggling, charts have loads of potential past day 10. I feel there will be a sudden flip to a very cold outlook any time soon.

Edit: cut and paste from December

 

Seriously tho, at least it does look like we're in for some wintry conditions starting next weekend but no deep freeze.

ECM loading up a potent northerly

Edited January 21, 2019 by KTtom

[That ECM]

2 minutes ago, Jackski4 said:

Has anyone viewed this mornings ecm yet? How's it looking ..?

Similar theme out to t192. Unsettled with everything coming from the nw to se. Snow possibly for favoured areas. This run has more opportunity for heights to build nw in later frames with less energy coming from US.

[BlackburnChris]

1 minute ago, KTtom said:

Keep positive...

SSW and other backround signals are in our favour....models are struggling, charts have loads of potential past day 10. I feel there will be a sudden flip to a very cold outlook any time soon.

Edit: cut and paste from December

 

Seriously tho, at least it does look like we're in for some wintry conditions starting next weekend but no deep freeze.

 

1 minute ago, KTtom said:

next couple of days there will be a flip, past day 5 every run is different

 

[SLEETY]

Ecm is good,cold throughput,just wish the uppers were a tad lower,but I think everyone has a chance of ️ 

[oliverek7]

The problem is is these deep areas of low pressure in the US unjecting energy into the jet stream and therefore pushing away a blocking high over Scandinavia which was originally going to be building by the middle of this week but because of that storm from the US it has complicated things a lot!