Jump to content
Will it snow? 7 day forecast Weather Radar Will it be cold?
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Cold hunt - models and chat

Paul

By Paul
in Spring Weather Discussion

 Share
Paul
Message added by Paul

Please ensure that the majority of your posts in this thread are model related - a theme of model discussion needs to run throughout.
Some off topic chat and reactions are ok, but please use other, more relevant threads for entirely off-topic chat (such as snow reports, met office forecasts and general chat/moans about the weather or this winter).

For more no banter and just model discussion please head to the new focused model thread - this is also a great place to post (or cross post) your longer model summaries or thoughts around the models.

Recommended Posts

feb1991blizzard Maestro

feb1991blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Posted (edited)
2 minutes ago, swfc said:

Gfs18z.the suspense is unbearable!!!will it or won't it?north or south!!!!

Looks like about the same to me so far.

Same as 12z GFS that is.

Edited by feb1991blizzard
Link to comment
Share on other sites
swfc Veteran

swfc

Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield
Posted
2 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Looks like about the same to me so far.

Same as 12z GFS that is.

Sorry your correct.it was a hint of sarcasm there sorry

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Severe Siberian icy blast Experienced

Severe Siberian icy blast

Posted
  • Location: Wellseborne, Warwickshire
  • Weather Preferences: Southerly tracking low pressure in winter. Hot and thundery in the summer
  • Location: Wellseborne, Warwickshire
Posted
On 28/01/2019 at 18:16, MattStoke said:

I think the joyous reaction in here tells us the Northern extent of the snow 

Just a hunch, but I'm strongly inclined to suggest possible height rises immediately to our north inside t144 in the next 24 hrs, been studying something and I honestly don't see how it's not been picked upon my models at the min, I stand to be told different, 

The vortex positioning along with low pressure through the heart of uk to our south through Europe is crying out pressure rises having a big influence on our weather, keeping it cold next week

  • Like 8
Link to comment
Share on other sites
island lad Apprentice

island lad

Posted
  • Location: Horringford, Isle of wight
  • Weather Preferences: snow/thunderstorms
  • Location: Horringford, Isle of wight
Posted
8 minutes ago, Tim Bland said:

South & Wales snow fans rubbing their hands together at the Icon! 

FA5DEF62-6F92-4732-9B7E-E0CE99B70B14.jpeg

Not for us on the pile of Wight M8. Same old, rain rain and more rain. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Mike Poole Maestro

Mike Poole

Posted
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, cold!
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
Posted

Models still struggling with this Thursday low at ridiculous timescales, here's ECM T48 and GFS 18z T42 for comparison 

image.thumb.jpg.fbf166f232dc553d1538804c9ec70621.jpgimage.thumb.jpg.580dc3c9b817701b6d197a27832df0a0.jpg

GFS doesn't want the trough disruption, I think it's wrong still, elongated low as per ECM is surely the most likely solution here.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
kold weather Maestro

kold weather

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
Posted (edited)

The look of the front is different on this run from the 18z GFs. The front is still a fair way further north than the model mean would suggest (admittedly from eyeballing it!), and in terms of absolute distance, its not that massive of a change, but the difference is HUGE for the SE in particular.

Its not a total capitulation but a fair step towards every other single model, especially for the south which now has decent snow spell compared to rain the GFS had earlier today.

 

Edited by kold weather
  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites
saintkip Rising Star

saintkip

Posted
  • Location: Basingstoke
  • Location: Basingstoke
Posted
1 minute ago, abbie123 said:

Looking good Thursday snow thats very heavy South East England and some parts of the midlands 

5C642E8D-D7A3-489E-BFFE-AF824BD8E593.jpeg

Looks like central south to me, perfect

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
island lad Apprentice

island lad

Posted
  • Location: Horringford, Isle of wight
  • Weather Preferences: snow/thunderstorms
  • Location: Horringford, Isle of wight
Posted
3 minutes ago, Isleofwightsnowgal74 said:

Nah surely even we’d see some from that?

 

Believe it when it's showing on the radar .

We only seem to do well from easterlies.

Link to comment
Share on other sites
Scandinavian High. Experienced

Scandinavian High.

Posted
  • Location: Orpington Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow freezing rain heat waves
  • Location: Orpington Kent
Posted (edited)
3 minutes ago, saintkip said:

Looks like central south to me, perfect

Yep looking very good southern England snow Thursday it might not even get no more then the midlands we’ll see..

Edited by abbie123
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
P-M Seasoned

P-M

Posted
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Thunderstorms, Heat (Summer) & Snow in Winter
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
Posted
7 minutes ago, abbie123 said:

Looking good Thursday snow thats very heavy South East England and some parts of the midlands 

5C642E8D-D7A3-489E-BFFE-AF824BD8E593.jpeg

And heavy snow for our Welsh friends too.

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Popular Post
Mike Poole Maestro

Mike Poole

Posted
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, cold!
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Popular Post
Posted

Was this in the script for Saturday?  Pub run T84:

image.thumb.jpg.669673cded37be9264b054b7e1a9506a.jpgimage.thumb.jpg.aada69153f3b3ffb52de88a7c19e2a89.jpg

Welcome to freezing February everyone ❄️

  • Like 13
  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Supacell Accomplished

Supacell

Posted
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms
  • Location: Belper, Derbyshire
Posted (edited)

Reminding me of December 10th last winter, where a front dumped around 15cm of snow over the Midlands before providing a cm of snow here.

Edited by Supacell
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
feb1991blizzard Maestro

feb1991blizzard

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Posted
4 minutes ago, Supacell said:

Reminding me of December 10th last winter, where a front dumped around 15cm of snow over the Midlands before providing a cm of snow here.

The pedant in me says Derbyshire is in the Midlands.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Had Worse Maestro

Had Worse

Posted
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
  • Weather Preferences: All
  • Location: 150m asl Hadfield, Glossop Peak District
Posted
Just now, feb1991blizzard said:

The pedant in me says Derbyshire is in the Midlands.

Yep but Derby is about 50 miles SSE of where I live.  As you know Glossop is nearly East of Manchester but from a meto view, is in the East Midlands where as I may as well be in the NW. being less than a mile from  the GTR Manc Border.

Yes it can get bl**dy confusing when the Midlands is mentioned as a sweetspot

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites
  • Popular Post
Dancerwithwings Maestro

Dancerwithwings

Posted
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow -20 would be nice :)
  • Location: Solihull, WestMidlands, 121m asl -20 :-)
  • Popular Post
Posted

Did someone mention sweet spot :whistling::oldgrin:

image.thumb.png.3e5382c06e77d1ebb1277d352c910f98.png

  • Like 11
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites
Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
 Share
Go to topic listing
×
×
  • Create New...