Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Cold hunt - models and chat


Paul
Message added by Paul

Please ensure that the majority of your posts in this thread are model related - a theme of model discussion needs to run throughout.
Some off topic chat and reactions are ok, but please use other, more relevant threads for entirely off-topic chat (such as snow reports, met office forecasts and general chat/moans about the weather or this winter).

For more no banter and just model discussion please head to the new focused model thread - this is also a great place to post (or cross post) your longer model summaries or thoughts around the models.

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
4 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Not all of the Midlands. Snow line stops just a few miles to my south. Makes me laugh how often that happens.

Stoke not that far north, been posted in NW thread, looks okay I thought?

see Wales thread for video about Thursday's snow

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: HILL OF TARA IRELAND
  • Weather Preferences: SNOW ICE
  • Location: HILL OF TARA IRELAND
2 minutes ago, swfc said:

This low could be 200-miles either way come thurs.stop it guys please!!!

You are correct 200miles is nothing at this stage. 

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
3 minutes ago, swfc said:

This low could be 200-miles either way come thurs.stop it guys please!!!

Nope - it won't track 200 miles further North i am afraid.

 

Edited by feb1991blizzard
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
2 minutes ago, swfc said:

This low could be 200-miles either way come thurs.stop it guys please!!!

Honestly I think its unlikely to be that much of a difference from here, the models all pretty much are within a 50 mile location by 48hrs out. There IS some differences in how the front is handled, but not by that much.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: South Yorkshire Barnsley 66m ASL
  • Location: South Yorkshire Barnsley 66m ASL

The mood in here just sums up how frustrating this winter has been! Fingers crossed for surprises tomorrow for Thursdays snow and February!

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.

Och well. As someone-else has already pointed-out: there's life in the cold hunt yet!

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: North East Hampshire
  • Location: North East Hampshire
13 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:

Finally, the Met Office contingency planners 3 month forecast issued today - see appropriate thread for detail - uses text to describe likely cold and higher precipitation signals in February in particular that could come from a textbook on likely long term response from a SSW.  Game's still on folks!

Which is the appropriate thread?

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Winter synoptics.Hot summers.
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
4 minutes ago, swfc said:

This low could be 200-miles either way come thurs.stop it guys please!!!

Yes and not one chart posted

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield
1 minute ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Nope - it won't track 200 miles further North i am afraid.

 

Haha but hopefully south yes!!!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, cold!
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon

Kind of like where the ICON 18z is going at T99:

image.thumb.jpg.7468cc01d1eb272af21eb45263c90539.jpg

Kind of reminds us we are in a cold setup now, not looking for one.

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield
Just now, winterof79 said:

Yes and not one chart posted

For what reason? there available on meteociel.if you don't follow the models I guess you wouldn't know!!it's not rocket science to look without posting 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
  • Weather Preferences: Winter synoptics.Hot summers.
  • Location: Kirkburton, Huddersfield - 162.5mtrs asl.
1 minute ago, swfc said:

For what reason? there available on meteociel.if you don't follow the models I guess you wouldn't know!!it's not rocket science to look without posting 

Wasn't aimed at you SWFC more the people quoting where ICON is positioning things

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.

Talking of where the Icon is positioning things, i like where it would end up positioning that Atlantic ridge if it went out further.

image.thumb.png.c1f6257c7c7b63afdc3f91cbf20ee6f7.png

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield
6 minutes ago, winterof79 said:

Wasn't aimed at you SWFC more the people quoting where ICON is positioning things

No worries

I'll be glad when this low has gone and normal service on mo can resume !!! Btw will it snow in Sheffield s35 Thurs lol

Edited by swfc
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Wath upon Dearne, Rotherham
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, severe frost, freezing fog and summer sunshine
  • Location: Wath upon Dearne, Rotherham
2 minutes ago, swfc said:

No worries

I'll be glad when this low has gone and normal service or mo can resum?!!! Btw will it snow in Sheffield s35 Thurs lol

Nope! I've ordered the whole lot to be dumped on S63

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Reading/New York/Chicago
  • Location: Reading/New York/Chicago
16 minutes ago, Mike Poole said:

Kind of like where the ICON 18z is going at T99:

image.thumb.jpg.7468cc01d1eb272af21eb45263c90539.jpg

Kind of reminds us we are in a cold setup now, not looking for one.

Seems to have been a running theme so far. Models keen to push systems through the UK taking us into a milder theme, but as we get closer to the time they start to show troughing down through the UK to the south. It's a bit of a stalemate situation, especially with the Siberian high now out to the east preventing any further inroads.

As we have seen, it's not a lot of good for us if it's prolonged snow you are looking for as the trough is just too far east leaving us in a cold, yet not cold enough, NNW to NW flow. The situation almost looks like a phase 6 MJO setup on our side.

If the Canadian vortex ever decides to take a hike west or towards Siberia then we could see some action; towards Siberia would be good as it would drive very cold air down the eastern side of the high pressure as the latter pushed west.

On the other hand, it may be a case of waiting for it to wane enough as it naturally weakens into February.

Finally, we could be left with the stalemate for a while yet. I thought it looked like the UKMO 166 charts showed some signs of disruption so perhaps the cold but not cold enough pattern could stick for a while yet.

We shall see.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level
  • Location: Bedworth, North Warwickshire 404ft above sea level
27 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

Och well. As someone-else has already pointed-out: there's life in the cold hunt yet!

Every time I hear someone say that, I think of Donald Trump, for some reason?  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
×
×
  • Create New...