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Cold hunt - models and chat

Paul

By Paul
in Spring Weather Discussion

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Paul
Message added by Paul

Please ensure that the majority of your posts in this thread are model related - a theme of model discussion needs to run throughout.
Some off topic chat and reactions are ok, but please use other, more relevant threads for entirely off-topic chat (such as snow reports, met office forecasts and general chat/moans about the weather or this winter).

For more no banter and just model discussion please head to the new focused model thread - this is also a great place to post (or cross post) your longer model summaries or thoughts around the models.

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bluearmy Maestro

bluearmy

Posted
  • Location: st albans
  • Location: st albans
Posted
1 minute ago, abbie123 said:

Southern England and the midlands buried in snow ..

sw England not great away from the moors and wales v good too …… buried may be a little OTT …… dp's are marginal more than i'd like them to be for widespread non thawing snowfall

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted
Just now, Man With Beard said:

Snow charts trickling out for tomorrow night on ECM, touch quicker, touch more marginal

It brings the front in several hours earlier than the other models and mostly just as rain or sleet, away from the south east.

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tinybill Seasoned

tinybill

Posted
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
  • Location: ipswich <east near the a14> east weather watch
Posted

 BBC are now getting  worried!,, could a lot for us  now ,Tuesday night

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swfc Veteran

swfc

Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield
Posted
1 minute ago, Stonethecrows said:

Come on mate it wasn't a penalty, var or no var.

No it wasn't lol.im sick of this over hyping a low moving across the UK.the other low was going to bury the se according to some?it's now whizzing its way to France!!.now it's Thursday low.its up and down like a fiddler's elbow on here.its nothing unusual for any winter tbh but it's analising to death ie snow depths.someone put the jackpot could be a massive three inch!!!

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jy Community Regular

jy

Posted
  • Location: Hampshire Snow Hoper
  • Location: Hampshire Snow Hoper
Posted

Only the UK eh....We might not know what Tuesdays weather is going to be on Tuesday,light rain..knew it...lunch time...is that sleet on the windscreen,late afternoon why wont the snow settle,midnight wheres the ruddy skis,it really is fun for all the family....good luck all.

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swfc Veteran

swfc

Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield
Posted
2 minutes ago, tinybill said:

 BBC are now getting  worried!,, could a lot for us  now ,Tuesday night

Who's us!!!☺️

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MATTWOLVES 3 Maestro

MATTWOLVES 3

Posted
  • Location: Sedgley 175metres above sea level
  • Weather Preferences: Any kind of extremes. But the more snow the better.
  • Location: Sedgley 175metres above sea level
Posted
1 minute ago, swfc said:

Who's us!!!☺️

Worried in the fact its getting towards the commute, so I would expect areas north of London, especially high ground could be in for 10cm

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MattStoke Maestro

MattStoke

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
Posted (edited)
4 minutes ago, swfc said:

No it wasn't lol.im sick of this over hyping a low moving across the UK.the other low was going to bury the se according to some?it's now whizzing its way to France!!.now it's Thursday low.its up and down like a fiddler's elbow on here.its nothing unusual for any winter tbh but it's analising to death ie snow depths.someone put the jackpot could be a massive three inch!!!

True. The UK, but particularly the south normally has plentiful snow, so we can just pass on this one.

It is ridiculous people discussing the model output for a low pressure system that may bring snow. Anyone would think this was a model and cold hunt thread.

Edited by MattStoke
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Purga Accomplished

Purga

Posted
  • Location: West Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme cold & snow
  • Location: West Sussex
  • Popular Post
Posted

Antone fancy a bit of snow on Friday?

image.thumb.png.b3ef2482d513eeaabafd8afb172d399b.png

Thank you GFS-P, don't mind if I do!

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P-M Seasoned

P-M

Posted
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Severe Thunderstorms, Heat (Summer) & Snow in Winter
  • Location: Boldon, South Tyneside (Tyne & Wear) 271ft ASL
Posted
4 minutes ago, swfc said:

No it wasn't lol.im sick of this over hyping a low moving across the UK.the other low was going to bury the se according to some?it's now whizzing its way to France!!.now it's Thursday low.its up and down like a fiddler's elbow on here.its nothing unusual for any winter tbh but it's analising to death ie snow depths.someone put the jackpot could be a massive three inch!!!

After the winter so far who wouldn't take 3 inches of the white stuff 

 

To be fair with the maximum depth I've seen posted on here "buried" is a little OTT but I can understand the enthusiasm.  If you're a cold-nut then even a few heavy showers is good to see.  This post did make me laugh through the frustration is getting to everyone.

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PolarWarsaw Seasoned

PolarWarsaw

Posted
  • Location: South Staffordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: South Staffordshire
Posted
Just now, shaky said:

Am confused lol!!ecm is the best of the bunch in regards to snow thursday but apparently theres not much!!you could not make this up lol!!

Don’t fret, plenty of water to go under the bridge yet. Whatever today’s 12z say, the system could and maybe will still end up hundreds of miles different. Anyone snow maps at the minute are to be taken with a council lorry loads of salt.

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swfc Veteran

swfc

Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield
Posted
Just now, MattStoke said:

True. The UK, but particularly in the south normally has plentiful snow, so we can just pass on this one.

It is ridiculous people discussing the model output for a low pressure system that may bring snow. Anyone would think this was a model and cold hunt thread.

Cold hunt? enjoy your 3.25 centimetres lol

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Man With Beard Maestro

Man With Beard

Posted
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
  • Location: Drayton, Portsmouth
Posted
1 minute ago, Purga said:

Antone fancy a bit of snow on Friday?

image.thumb.png.b3ef2482d513eeaabafd8afb172d399b.png

Thank you GFS-P, don't mind if I do!

GFSP has had some successes at long range but its snow charts need to be censoring. They are RUBBISH!!!!

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PolarWarsaw Seasoned

PolarWarsaw

Posted
  • Location: South Staffordshire
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: South Staffordshire
Posted
1 minute ago, Paul Faulkner said:

Cold weather amber alert issued

https://www.metoffice.gov.uk/public/weather/cold-weather-alert/#?tab=coldWeatherAlert

I find the position of the amber to be very odd unless they are referencing ice and frost more than snow as a concern, either that or they are thinking showers could be of interest aside from main snow bands. 

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I remember Atlantic 252 Maestro

I remember Atlantic 252

Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
Posted
Just now, swfc said:

Cold hunt? enjoy your 3.25 centimetres lol

will settle for that! looks like trending south, expect gradual shifts south during day tomorrow

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Guest Delete Me

Guest Delete Me

Posted
Posted
Just now, PolarWarsaw said:

I find the position of the amber to be very odd unless they are referencing ice and frost more than snow as a concern, either that or they are thinking showers could be of interest aside from main snow bands. 

I think their chief forecaster has been looking at the GFS Para!!

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Mapantz Maestro

Mapantz

Posted
  • Location: Dorset
  • Weather Preferences: warehamwx.co.uk
  • Location: Dorset
Posted
1 minute ago, PolarWarsaw said:

I find the position of the amber to be very odd unless they are referencing ice and frost more than snow as a concern, either that or they are thinking showers could be of interest aside from main snow bands. 

That's a health warning PW, not a weather warning.

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swfc Veteran

swfc

Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield
Posted
1 minute ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

will settle for that! looks like trending south, expect gradual shifts south during day tomorrow

Yep be in channel Islands Thurs!!!

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Eskimo Accomplished

Eskimo

Posted
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms, Cold & Snowy
  • Location: Kings Norton, West Midlands
Posted
1 minute ago, PolarWarsaw said:

I find the position of the amber to be very odd unless they are referencing ice and frost more than snow as a concern, either that or they are thinking showers could be of interest aside from main snow bands. 

More likely that due to the system on Thursday/Friday, southern areas will be 'milder' compared to those further north where the air will be colder. 

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shaky Veteran

shaky

Posted
  • Location: leicester
  • Location: leicester
Posted
2 minutes ago, PerfectStorm said:

More likely that due to the system on Thursday/Friday, southern areas will be 'milder' compared to those further north where the air will be colder. 

In all seriousness after that ecm i would swap the amber around!!

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alexisj9 Maestro

alexisj9

Posted
  • Location: St rads Dover
  • Weather Preferences: Snow, T Storms.
  • Location: St rads Dover
Posted
2 hours ago, frosty ground said:

anim_apk2.gif

Is this modeling a Polar low going down Western Scotland? Looks like rotation

It certainly looks like a low, so maybe.

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Stonethecrows Enthusiast

Stonethecrows

Posted
Posted
6 minutes ago, swfc said:

No it wasn't lol.im sick of this over hyping a low moving across the UK.the other low was going to bury the se according to some?it's now whizzing its way to France!!.now it's Thursday low.its up and down like a fiddler's elbow on here.its nothing unusual for any winter tbh but it's analising to death ie snow depths.someone put the jackpot could be a massive three inch!!!

I do agree in the main, a burying is 18 inches plus, definitely not 3! At most it's going to be a village fete not tramlines. But is it just coz this winter has been a bust and people are desperate to see some snow, maybe a smidge of slack allowed?

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