Jump to content
Snow?
Local
Radar
Cold?
IGNORED

Cold hunt - models and chat


Paul
Message added by Paul

Please ensure that the majority of your posts in this thread are model related - a theme of model discussion needs to run throughout.
Some off topic chat and reactions are ok, but please use other, more relevant threads for entirely off-topic chat (such as snow reports, met office forecasts and general chat/moans about the weather or this winter).

For more no banter and just model discussion please head to the new focused model thread - this is also a great place to post (or cross post) your longer model summaries or thoughts around the models.

Recommended Posts

Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Dry mild or snow winter. Hot and humid summer.
  • Location: Bournemouth
3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

UKMO 96 very persistent with the signal for that atlantic low to maintain out west-

96 is lunch thurs & its nowhere near the UK

7870D2B4-E049-4838-9AFB-88D1FD24F381.thumb.png.283114fd5f1787e47181a004717bc979.png

T120 and it sits to our south bringing an easterly could/would be good for ❄️ for some

Edited by That ECM
  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: leicester
  • Location: leicester
2 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

UKMO 120

C4901A5E-FFC9-4ADD-BD6A-1521714ACD83.thumb.png.a0a6ea32ad997a8e8a51ebb029b84de2.png

Well that looks even better than yesterday 12z!!could be big snowfall for southern england regardless of milder 850s!!

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex

Sort of going backwards in time here the way the UKMO is running, but at 72 it would appear the low took a more northerly track?

image.thumb.png.091d02a0a9f46c89725f71e8e7a6f8a7.png

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
  • Location: Blackburn - 180m asl
Just now, Steve Murr said:

UKMO 72

Enhancing the trough over the UK closing it off now -

will be more snowfall than GFS

04C651F5-50AE-4CE8-A953-BF68C8678FF9.thumb.png.e00a01f04f706b06b45eb4713493ef47.png

Just to clarify that would be more snowfall than GFS for Southern England.

 

For the north west the GFS is much more snowfall. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: st albans
  • Location: st albans
2 minutes ago, shaky said:

Well that looks even better than yesterday 12z!!could be big snowfall for southern england regardless of milder 850s!!

The thicknesses caught my eye there - will await the 850’s but the raw numbers on thicknesses are mid thirties to low thirties across south uk .... hopefully not going to be disappointed by the uppers as dp’s Should be ok off the continent if any precip present 

  • Like 3
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Just to clarify the UKMO moves the channel low off SE into France whilst developing the trough over the UK closing it off in the SE

Overall colder less marginality- however weaker PPN soundings than that atlantic low..

  • Like 5
  • Thanks 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon
  • Weather Preferences: Hot, cold!
  • Location: Wantage, Oxon

UKMO T144:

image.thumb.jpg.bb212da14200c93a222fa88eca23fe00.jpg

Memory problems, wasn't there supposed to be an immovable bowling ball low over the whole UK at this point?  Must have imagined it!

Edited by Mike Poole
  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Dry mild or snow winter. Hot and humid summer.
  • Location: Bournemouth
1 minute ago, kold weather said:

Yeah UKMO holding very firm with its slightly more northerly low, probably would get the precip core from the LP on the UKMO over southern counties of the country.

Also that 120hrs UKMO...what is going on there guys!!

And t144

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex
  • Weather Preferences: Hurricanes, Thunderstorms and blizzards please!
  • Location: Nr Chelmsford, Essex

 Now this is interesting, the UKMO at 144 vs the ICON

UKMO image.thumb.png.270a785d2d47a5206640b5f1a27b19e5.png ICON image.thumb.png.328708282d4b338836507b5efcb96ddf.png

More than a few similarities there..... things are getting very interesting indeed.

  • Like 9
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
7 minutes ago, chionomaniac said:

Well if Thursdays low follows Tuesdays low trend and heads further south  the snow line may be the channel after all for Thursday. Interesting UKMO

So some of us could miss out on two snow events instead of one? Wahoo!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
  • Location: Brighton, East Sussex
Just now, Mike Poole said:

UKMO T144:

image.thumb.jpg.bb212da14200c93a222fa88eca23fe00.jpg

Memory problems, wasn't there supposed to be an immovable bowling ball low over the whole UK at is point?

Canadian vortex beginning to shows signs of weakness here as well?

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Posted
  • Location: Liphook
  • Location: Liphook
3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Just to clarify the UKMO moves the channel low off SE into France whilst developing the trough over the UK closing it off in the SE

Overall colder less marginality- however weaker PPN soundings than that atlantic low..

Looking at the charts I think both the ICON and the GFS wasn't far off from that solution. Certainly on the cards!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Guest
This topic is now closed to further replies.
×
×
  • Create New...