Cold hunt - models and chat

[stewfox]

Heavy snow now in Henley, suggest people look outside the window

[feb1991blizzard]

At least the EC46 isn't showing a west based scenario anymore - all good on that front.

 

 

[Deep Snow please]

2 minutes ago, stewfox said:

Heavy snow now in Henley, suggest people look outside the window

We can still hunt for the next hit, can't we.

 

Does a plonky stop thinking about when he can have some vodka just because he's got a tinnie in his hand?

Edited January 22, 2019 by Deep Snow please

[matt111]

19 minutes ago, stewfox said:

Heavy snow now in Henley, suggest people look outside the window

I’m looking out the window and it’s raining.

I’ll continue to hunt. 

[Chris K]

22 minutes ago, stewfox said:

Heavy snow now in Henley, suggest people look outside the window

Haha. Some of us won't be seeing anything other than rain, perhaps hail/sleet. Continuing to pin my hopes on looking ahead unfortunately!

For those that are seeing snow and like it, enjoy.

Edited January 22, 2019 by Chris K

[FetchCB]

48 minutes ago, Timmytour said:

The push of the Russian high westwards seems quite dramatic also

I have seen over the years a number of times over the years where the russian high was modelled to migrate westwards....only for to retreat before impacting these isles

[Chris101]

While the 12z's come out sit back and relax with a movie and some music.

https://webcam.nl/zaanseschans/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WjPNO-A-Fqw&list=RDWjPNO-A-Fqw&start_radio=1

 

[fazzafarrand]

5 minutes ago, Chris101 said:

While the 12z's come out sit back and relax with a movie and some music.

https://webcam.nl/zaanseschans/

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WjPNO-A-Fqw&list=RDWjPNO-A-Fqw&start_radio=1

 

Ha Ha think you have been to the wrong parts of Amsterdam lol

[frosty ground]

Hmmm possible snow even for the south (from the Icon at least) (been showing for a while now) 

Slack wind heavy PPN and marginal uppers.... Marginal but possible?

 

[frosty ground]

Icon continues with its slider after the weekend, heights increasing over Greenland

[snowflakey]

I do think that a change to a much colder easterly set up is closer than we think, sorry this sounds a little vague, but it has been hinted at on the other model forum. 

[kold weather]

10 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

Hmmm possible snow even for the south (from the Icon at least) (been showing for a while now) 

Slack wind heavy PPN and marginal uppers.... Marginal but possible?

 

For most it still looks too marginal, but its a lot closer than it was on the 06z ICON for sure and I wouldn't rule out some very backedge stuff based on the parameters, especially for those on high ground.

[frosty ground]

Just now, kold weather said:

For most it still looks too marginal, but its a lot closer than it was on the 06z ICON for sure and I wouldn't rule out some very backedge stuff based on the parameters, especially for those on high ground.

I think its the way it hold up against the colder air from the north that generates the interest, filed under one to watch 

[Mark Neal.]

Impressed with the models, especially short range from even 4-5 days out they picked up a feature running through West to Central Southern England this afternoon, it was the GFS which was bullish for snow from it for here and it has delivered a few cm's.  So while we all search for snow, even at short range surprises can pop up! 

   

[Mizzle]

Totally unexpected but we have snow in Fleet (North Hampshire).  Radar just showing rain. So I guess nice surprises happen too.

Edited January 22, 2019 by Mizzle
Addition.

[bluearmy]

ICON is an interesting run ......smells of slowing zonal flow with the persistent diving trough ......

[shaky]

12 minutes ago, Mark Neal. said:

Impressed with the models, especially short range from even 4-5 days out they picked up a feature running through West to Central Southern England this afternoon, it was the GFS which was bullish for snow from it for here and it has delivered a few cm's.  So while we all search for snow, even at short range surprises can pop up! 

   

Are you kidding me!!thats not oxford is it

[frosty ground]

Changes early on from the GFS

[Mark Neal.]

7 minutes ago, shaky said:

Are you kidding me!!thats not oxford is it

Shaky! Its Oxford!!

[fromey]

2 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

Changes early on from the GFS

thats impressive considering its only 3 days away

[tight isobar]

Heavy wet 'large clump' snow here atm..

And as the deep cold gets polished off the models..the cold..and ever more snowy synops gain!!!

Edited January 22, 2019 by tight isobar

[frosty ground]

1 minute ago, fromey said:

thats impressive considering its only 3 days away

It was a noticeable change, side effect is a larger mild sector


Also a more developed wave running around the high

[Lampostwatcher]

snowing at 2.2c dew p 0.1c and settling on grass

 

[nick sussex]

The higher resolution GFS brings a little shortwave south at 36 hrs , this brings an area of rain, sleet and snow .

This has just popped up and wasn’t on earlier runs because the low to the nw disrupts a bit more .

Edited January 22, 2019 by nick sussex

[V for Very Cold]

well the thread now has 426 members reading it.... indication that a snowy spell may be incoming lol