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Model banter returns


Paul

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Posted
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
  • Weather Preferences: SNAW
  • Location: Oyne Aberdeenshire 120m asl
1 minute ago, winterof79 said:

Hi Stuart

Did I read that the current forecast counselling didn't occur so far down last Feb?

Like you say this could lead to new issues for certain models

i think we all need counselling in here...

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Posted
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
  • Weather Preferences: Thunder, snow, heat, sunshine...
  • Location: Beccles, Suffolk.
4 minutes ago, Tom Jarvis said:

GFS supporters right now seeing that is backtracking towards the ECM

SimplisticDifferentBarbet-small.gif

Anyone would think that weather-watching was like cheering-on your local football team!

Though, if it were, Real Madrid might be as good a bet as any?

image.thumb.png.d4e8ee6b9244bdf55cc1cfef5ed30c93.png

Edited by Ed Stone
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Posted
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Thunderstorms in the summer, frost fog & snow in winter.
  • Location: Weston-Super-Mare, North Somerset

No no, the gfs can't possibly be moving over to the ecm, some (ok 1 or 2) in the mod thread were certain the gfs solution was the favoured outcome lol

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Posted
  • Location: Ashford Kent
  • Weather Preferences: 1. Clear skies 2. Cold 3. Snow 4. Hot
  • Location: Ashford Kent

image.thumb.png.121c544182929aae8c0af60bf2c80ee3.png

All i see is a foetus and a little piggy. 

image.png.e50398add52b22400c64e983f7a82603.pngimage.png.532c5bf68950fd1a9ddc2a91e3f4e29a.png

Edited by Big Dave
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Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

so the met do use the gfs then,it was shown on their video as one of the possible outcomes next week with a north westerly flow  ,hope the ecm outcome they showed verified,with chance of disruptive snow 

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Posted
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
  • Weather Preferences: obviously snow!
  • Location: Wildwood, Stafford 104m asl
6 hours ago, Smartie said:

No no, the gfs can't possibly be moving over to the ecm, some (ok 1 or 2) in the mod thread were certain the gfs solution was the favoured outcome lol

GFS is still pants for Friday, very wet day here, not really trended towards ukmo and EC yet, 

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Posted
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
  • Weather Preferences: Snow & Thunderstorms
  • Location: Wirral, Merseyside
35 minutes ago, Ed Stone said:

So far, a winter of countless 'BOOM' charts and zero 'BOOM' weather...?

haha, well boom is moob backwards as the weather generally always go t#ts up for us

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Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
8 minutes ago, Skyraker said:

I might put the tree back up.

Didn’t take the little one down in anticipation of these charts. 

7D59A017-A830-4FBD-83EE-1A8657835B84.thumb.jpeg.843c043cbe273613c3e00d554bc15dca.jpeg

 

 

 

Edited by Spah1
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Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
1 hour ago, I remember Atlantic 252 said:

GFS is still pants for Friday, very wet day here, not really trended towards ukmo and EC yet, 

Good for us though so bah humbug 

UKMO fax is rather duff though.

 

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Posted
  • Location: Orpington Kent
  • Weather Preferences: Snow freezing rain heat waves
  • Location: Orpington Kent

I really hope ecm is on the money with easterly winds next week it could go anyway BBC long range just said watch this space ecm or gfs..

Edited by abbie123
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Posted
  • Location: Wyck Nr Alton- Hants
  • Location: Wyck Nr Alton- Hants

 

13 hours ago, cobbett said:

Ooh 3 cm on the ecm mean - hope that’s more on the money than the op ! 

 

0B979AF2-04C9-4965-8163-5ABCE544D7C8.png

 

still looking meh even after these Stella ecm runs - luckily they are jff 

 

9FE02203-3F5E-43A7-A05A-F915C0079F44.png

 

D774E7D2-69FA-4988-9F4C-2C8435602D71.png

Edited by cobbett
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Posted
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
  • Weather Preferences: Hot Summers Snowy Winters Stormy Autumns
  • Location: Luncarty (4 miles north of Perth 19m ASL)
2 hours ago, Skyraker said:

I might put the tree back up.

cant believe this was moved out model thread.... its a model image and u have commented on it and made me laugh and it makes more sense than have the cr4p posted in there... keep up the good work 

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

I don't know why anyone would be surprised by this mornings charts, unless of course you're new to all this.

image.thumb.png.3ba8f0054462945f58317545fbddea59.png

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Posted
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
  • Location: Longton, Stoke-on-Trent.
19 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

144 the key timeframe - 16 mins time - 16 mins to save our winter.

 

 

Yes. If this ECM run for the next 10 day isn’t brilliant then the next 6 weeks of winter are over.

Jeez

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Posted
  • Location: sheffield
  • Weather Preferences: cold ,snow
  • Location: sheffield
2 minutes ago, MattStoke said:

Yes. If this ECM run for the next 10 day isn’t brilliant then the next 6 weeks of winter are over.

Jeez

Good point.thing is tho people have been talking about SSW,downdwellings ete for at least that long.ok it's mid January but soon be Feb!!

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Posted
  • Location: Wyck Nr Alton- Hants
  • Location: Wyck Nr Alton- Hants
13 hours ago, cobbett said:

Why do I get the feeling that the ECM will be so bad later that everyone will be looking to the GFS for salvation

Well I was one run out - oh well back to GFS FI chasing 

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Posted
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset
  • Weather Preferences: Hot sunny , cold and snowy, thunderstorms
  • Location: Weston-S-Mare North Somerset

I don't know about anyone else, but this model watching in Winter is getting boring. Same old crap year in year out. It's like self flagellation, looking at the charts every six hours and seeing the same fails each time, but we carry on regardless in the vain hope that some of the good charts actually happen.

 

Surely we will see something proper before Spring that will deliver for all, but I wish we were all talking about how much snow we are likely to get, or just how cold is it  going to be, rather than the usual dross we are having to put up with now.

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