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Paul

Please keep this thread solely to discussing the model output. The model banter thread is available for more loosely model related chat, ramps and moans.

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27 minutes ago, BLAST FROM THE PAST said:

Greece, Lebanon, Turkey, Iran, and other associated countries plastered in bitter cold and heavy snow.  This HP has stuffed us this winter thus far. 

 

 BFTP

Agreed. A bit of a return to the early Noughties Winters.

UK no cold and snow; central & SE Europe bucket loads!

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8 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

 

Don't panic anyone! 

I do always look for your beard-pic, to read your steady and informed opinions when it gets hectic in here, you know! 

Keeps me from panicing 🙂

So... we have some frosty wintry weather starting up, which is likely to get a bit more frosty and wintry. It might get very frosty and very wintry, depending.

That about right? I'll learn to read these charts myself one of these days... 

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2 minutes ago, Man With Beard said:

ECM 12z ensembles summaries are in - London reaches close to minus 5 mean uppers by 17th and then pretty much flatlines around minus 5 all the way to the 25th. That's cold. 

https://weather.us/forecast/2643743-london/ensemble/euro/temperatur850

 

Excellent news thanks MIB- i am having a bit of a 'wobble' but thats a reassuring post..

EC hopefully a stonker..

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1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

Excellent news thanks MIB- i am having a bit of a 'wobble' but thats a reassuring post..

EC hopefully a stonker..

Is will Smith in the house 🤣

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1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

Is will Smith in the house 🤣

LOL!!

Sorry i meant MWB !!

GFS a little better at 108 - slightly better Atlantic profile..

Edited by northwestsnow

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1 minute ago, WINTRY WALES said:

You are having a wobble every day ....shall rename you Northwest GFS soon 🙂 

🤣

Thats me !!

Wear heart on sleeve 🙂

Fabulous news from GP just now... feeling glad again!!

Edited by northwestsnow

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2 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

 

LOL!!

Sorry i meant MWB !!

GFS a little better at 108 - slightly better Atlantic profile..

Yep better profile uptowards greenland  expect this run to get close to the others at 144

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7 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

Excellent news thanks MIB- i am having a bit of a 'wobble' but thats a reassuring post..

EC hopefully a stonker..

You really need to relax a bit lol

im sure it will all work out in the end, well I hope so

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2 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

595031F2-EB08-4EC7-9A52-898DEA44411F.thumb.png.d897cb54c8a57c73d0cb4bac4cd52f72.png

That is just madnesss!!!what a chart!!as good as it gets for cold!

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1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

STOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOONKER!!!

Woooooop!

OK, thats what we wanted to see, thanks Karlos.. ;)

Would be nice if these ever translated into an actual model run though🤪

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3 minutes ago, karlos1983 said:

D2631589-BFA0-4CBD-87AB-DB0B1B77F70B.thumb.png.b371123cb8580f7adba3bcae9d76c8f3.png595031F2-EB08-4EC7-9A52-898DEA44411F.thumb.png.d897cb54c8a57c73d0cb4bac4cd52f72.png51345755-C8F3-4F03-9659-FFAC77F2B07A.thumb.png.1748388f83e884f6dc374d00f5b5f3ab.png442951A9-5ADE-41CC-8AB3-B1005F6D12D9.thumb.png.304fdf1f4a39149ec5add4f5510c92c1.png

Week 3 again for the third week in a row.

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GFS 18z has corrected previous said unlikely behaviour of upper trough, let's see how it turns out

gfsnh-0-132.png?18

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Yeah it was week 3 last week, does seem to be getting pushed back

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1 minute ago, Snowy L said:

Week 3 again for the third week in a row.

to be fair week 2 aint to shabby

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2 minutes ago, Snowy L said:

Week 3 again for the third week in a row.

Really? This isn’t bad as a start point ..

EA6F8C64-B013-42F6-99DE-621A338E1D52.thumb.png.ebeea6e7da50a414ee505f3ed7523d63.png

Raging Atlantic that is not ☝️

Edited by karlos1983

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27201D30-16D3-4554-92C3-9DE695A0F0DF.thumb.png.273f7c1fdb9f5900c60664a9b3e9a5dd.png

GFS now sees the ridge 🧐

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Blimey guys, it's nae often the mood sinks during the day...But, hey, things will be worse: Adam From Westminster (AFW) will be screaming down the phone, to LBC, any minute now...

Hopefully, though, snow will be progged to fall at all levels from Day 8, come 9 a. m. tomorrow!😁

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