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Paul

Model output discussion - 7th January onwards

Paul

Please keep this thread solely to discussing the model output. The model banter thread is available for more loosely model related chat, ramps and moans.

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The spreads are fairly encouraging at 240

5A0B3FD9-0DAD-44D7-B889-AD29F8CBFA50.thumb.png.68a78a81ad0f1f5cec2837de51eaf694.png

Large spread only really in our vicinity.  

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Just now, karlos1983 said:

The spreads are fairly encouraging at 240

5A0B3FD9-0DAD-44D7-B889-AD29F8CBFA50.thumb.png.68a78a81ad0f1f5cec2837de51eaf694.png

Large spread only really in our vicinity.  

Yes we’re always in the spread of uncertainty lol . 

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6 hours ago, bluearmy said:

We needed that confirming Fred ?

Considering how grand and unique last year’s was....yes it was a very nice consolidation of yours and others thoughts.  To now have another that’s happened on 2nd Jan (very nicely early in winter)......the potential for #winterofdiscontent conditions to come to fruition is very tantalising.......I remember the superb Philip Eden saying in the late 80s/early 90s....as the days lengthen so the cold will strengthen.

 

BFTP

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Hello Icon!!!!!

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5 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Hello Icon!!!!!

More amplified and a bigger wedge north of iceland!

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ECM OP cold outliner? 

336394186_08_01.1912z.thumb.png.e9931ad3532b12346e0d295a6fabe333.png

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40 minutes ago, Frosty. said:

Just catching up..love 💘 what I'm seeing from the Ecm 12z..have a feeling there's going to be plenty of stonking output to come..(for coldies)!!😀😉❄️

216_mslp850.png

216_thickuk.png

216_mslp850uk.png

240_mslp850.png

240_thickuk.png

cashback.jpg

winteriscoming.jpg

Beastly Is On way Back.  Welcome Him with A Brutal Cold Heatt

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Extended eps can't be up to much, no mention at all.

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1 minute ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Extended eps can't be up to much, no mention at all.

Perhaps people taking a chance to catch breathe! Could be a long couple of weeks ahead Feb 👍

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Posted (edited)

GFS follows the ICON with more amplification. 

18z image.thumb.png.fb09655a736828e16b7f4268ca42a939.png 12z image.png

Northwest will like this!

 

Edited by Ice Day

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Cold uppers for early next week covering more of the UK

image.thumb.png.ce2bfa5cb7032070f92faf34ed25a3bc.png 00Z

image.thumb.png.d942cdc0a200d409188ae0d8e97f5335.png 18Z at the same time

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1 minute ago, Ice Day said:

GFS follows the ICON with more amplification. 

18z image.thumb.png.fb09655a736828e16b7f4268ca42a939.png 12z image.thumb.png.f25d0f61676e48b115e6908b5d5799c1.png

Northwest will like this!

 

image.png

I was just about to post that myself. Also a slightly stronger (1040mb) Arctic high on the 18Z compared to the 12z (1035mb).

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5 minutes ago, feb1991blizzard said:

Yes, they've just updated on the site i use and for my location, they are indeed an upgrade - the MEAN of 51 members is struggling to 1 or 2 daytime max temps for the last few days of the run - corker!!

Feb can you provide a link? I have this missing from my evening bookmarks! 

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Well this run looks likely it could take a bit longer, hope it’s not a party pooper!

66C4EEAD-87B6-46CF-A25C-E12C8C50E36C.png

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