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Paul

Please keep this thread solely to discussing the model output. The model banter thread is available for more loosely model related chat, ramps and moans.

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npsh500.png h850t850eu.png

Silly collection of lows out west aside, this is a decent effort from GFS. Perhaps optimistic in terms of how soon we get to this sort of point.

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5 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

234-778UK.GIF?08-12
Depends where you are, Darlington looks nippy

Where is this chart from, I can find the south of UK one on the GFS 0.25? Thanks

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1 minute ago, ICE COLD said:

This is what we want . Nothing marginal there Jeff 😂

BB844C51-A246-436D-B747-8787D906D6E5.png

192CFC25-E699-4159-90A6-63FB0C9E3786.png

Isn’t the high out West going to topple due to the lows near South Greenland?

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lows beginning to take that NW - SE track - a good starting point 👍

1500655961_tempresult_nsa9(1).thumb.gif.75bcd60a342b6b715c51de26ce28605c.gif

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3 minutes ago, Seasonality said:

This looks like a decent match to me. imageproxy.php?img=&key=d8af95ed7f22db9eimageproxy.php?img=&key=d8af95ed7f22db9e

gfs-0-384 (3).png

IMG_20190108_175735.jpg

A northerly from the artic to the equator 😂

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3 minutes ago, AppleUK 123 said:

Isn’t the high out West going to topple due to the lows near South Greenland?

Well we will never know because it won’t play out like that chart . All we’re looking at is trends that far out . At the min the trends are are friends. 

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11 minutes ago, frosty ground said:

234-778UK.GIF?08-12
Depends where you are, Darlington looks nippy

That chart is for 7 oclock in the morning though so bulk standard morning temps for January; in fact, positively balmy for down here.

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34 minutes ago, Ali1977 said:

This looks pretty cold, and FI is gonna be great I reckon

6EF60596-3158-45DB-BF6E-9D2B9CC9707D.png

This may sound daft but what would the wind direction and weather we’d get from that set up right there????

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-12 & -13 uppers on a straight northerly? One word sums that up for me which is 'unlikely'.

That said, the overall synoptics look perfectly feasible.

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2 minutes ago, Cuban Zebra said:

This may sound daft but what would the wind direction and weather we’d get from that set up right there????

It looks like a north westerly but could be wrong.

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1 minute ago, Cuban Zebra said:

This may sound daft but what would the wind direction and weather we’d get from that set up right there????

Initially rain to low levels, Wind starting from the W/NW then as the low slides accoss maybe winds from the North (ish) bringing in the proper cold air. 

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GFSp 12z has been censored to avoid mass hysteria (maybe 😋)

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Just now, Mucka said:

GFSp 12z has been censored to avoid mass hysteria (maybe 😋)

The GFS ens have a similar amount of v good charts by next weekend, similar on a cold scale to the 06z. Maybe more showing heights around Greenland.

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3 minutes ago, Jason M said:

-12 & -13 uppers on a straight northerly? One word sums that up for me which is 'unlikely'.

That said, the overall synoptics look perfectly feasible.

They have a bit of NE direction to them at first . 🙂

549A0A25-4163-4AFF-8E92-0A23D1698568.png

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