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Paul

Please keep this thread solely to discussing the model output. The model banter thread is available for more loosely model related chat, ramps and moans.

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6Z has great uppers to the east altho they slip south around the 200 hour mark(fi) granted.decent run tho

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5 minutes ago, Johnp said:

It'll either give us a dumping, or in more typical fashion, will blow up into a deep low and cut off the cold flow - we've seen that before!

Or it could give us this:

Feb 1991 Morning forecast Francis Wilson

 

Edited by Skyraker
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What not to like  cold/very cold  copious amounts of snow  and a easterly from a frozen Europe.  Brilliant.  

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   minus  20 approaching ......surely not,extreme,y cold air out east now,huge cold pool🤞

 

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1 minute ago, Ed Stone said:

That's some cold pool out east. There don't seem to be any of those pesky wee 'mild' bits, either:

image.thumb.png.699bab87ec4bb68c6e9919eeed2e0278.png

Nope. Deep midwinter cold with very little solar energy. An easterly has the potential to be very potent at this time of year! 

@s4lancia called it just about right with his probabilities earlier on I think. About 65% in favour of an easterly right now, but details to be defined. 

If easterly sets up a shown by Wednesday/Thursday as shown in GFS 6z then you would expect to see disturbances travelling East to West towards the UK. 

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6Z quite a lot colder than 00z for sure-

Plenty of snow and severe frost- yes please i will take 6z right now if offered..

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1 minute ago, northwestsnow said:

6Z quite a lot colder than 00z for sure-

Plenty of snow and severe frost- yes please i will take 6z right now if offered..

And the daily 12Z upgrade is already looking tasty!:cold::yahoo:

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All for fun  but looks like -16 hitting Kent  and a very cold Atlantic coming into play 

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Lol  Uk snowed in    again  one of the best runs i have seen in a while  the cold and snow just keeps on coming

image.thumb.png.ae00d41c399f9cc355a4acfe7f0e5d35.png

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1 minute ago, frosty ground said:

gfs-0-264.png?6

gfs-2-264.png?6

eeek

That would be an impressive event

Serious weather porn there mate 🙂

Huge dumplings of snow- we can dream!!

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3 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

💥🚀😲😲

Wheres the boom gif

CDBCEBBB-6415-4C65-810B-1B6764D12B8D.thumb.png.65956821b6b4da3ae396f116071d8190.pngC2A8A34B-C418-4860-BC60-E48A5FBDFBA8.thumb.png.7692f51e97b081385201330b14bb1914.png

That is some serious snowfall rates there!!!dangerous comes to mind but also amazing😈

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18 hours ago, seabreeze86 said:

06Z GFS delivers again.

3 day Snow event for Pennines and Central England.

uksnowrisk.thumb.png.d8d6168a812601fd23ec930670ff64b2.png

 

 

 

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The extended ens guidance is for another round of Canadian vortex splurge to head se.......this is prob an extreme version but it’s in the envelope 

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And when we have another PV segment displacement and NW/SE trough, (imo likely as Scandi to be influential directly, then indirectly then directly etc etc) the air is so cold that insignificant warming (if any) out occurs.  Massive nationwide snow event towards end of month to support previous snowfall.  

That is one seriously cold run .......the evolution is plausible too, the depth of cold....? It’s so good even just getting 60-70 % of its potency would still be very wintry!!!  So a great start continues

 

BFTP

Edited by BLAST FROM THE PAST
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4 minutes ago, northwestsnow said:

image.thumb.png.14770c3886d52bea3cb6ca8cd4e01053.png

Still frigid next sunday...

🙂

Frigid? Does that mean Feb91 won't be getting smashed with 4 inches? 😂

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