Model output discussion - 7th January onwards

[SLEETY]

1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

25% confidence could be raised 

Fantastic stuff

yeah which was 5 times more than normal,maybe upto 50% now 

[tight isobar]

mary mother of JESUS!!!

TXT BOOK !!!!!

[markw2680]

1 minute ago, karlos1983 said:

25% confidence could be raised 

Fantastic stuff

Now that’s what I call a beast from the east

[Scandinavian High.]

Big big changes we was looking at north westerlys a few days ago now easterlys but will it bring snow ...

[chris55]

EC 192 wettered.

synoptics great, those cold 850s incoming!

 

Edited January 15, 2019 by chris55

[That ECM]

T192 not t 300 ecm was the one to follow with the beast, let’s hope it’s the one to follow this time 

[Leo97t]

Just now, snowice said:

BEAST FROM THE EAST 2.

uppers aren't quite as cold but it's getting much closer. But given its much earlier in the season, surface temps would be similar

[Mair Snaw]

6 minutes ago, Weathizard said:

Well this will shut a few up

is that the mild easterly folk were moaning about earlier?

[tight isobar]

2 minutes ago, abbie123 said:

Big big changes we was looking at north westerlys a few days ago now easterlys but will it bring snow ...

Abbie..thats txt book in more ways than the 1 snap..that is a convective..snow machine in the very making !!!!

[Scandinavian High.]

Southern Britain buried in snow or am I getting a head of myself.

Edited January 15, 2019 by abbie123

[Mapantz]

I know it's exciting & all that, but simply posting 'beast from the east' with no other meat or bones is not acceptable. The post will go missing!

[Spah1]

1 minute ago, chris55 said:

EC 192 wettered.

synopics great, those cold 850s incoming!

 

Really want that high to sit over Greenland and pull in a stonking Northerly.

Don’t want a Scandi High and East winds, can’t bear watching everyone getting feet of snow. 

[I remember Atlantic 252]

get the forum buzzing

[chris55]

At 216 kind of similar to 1991 ........ nice little pool of -10s for the south of the uk

[karlos1983]

4 minutes ago, tight isobar said:

mary mother of JESUS!!!

TXT BOOK !!!!!

That is an immaculate conception!

talk about consistency! I was not expecting this at all must admit

[Tim Bland]

Lovely ECM ! old GFS Is not too dissimilar and ECM is being consistent now

[Leo97t]

I dont even really like easterlies but this still makes me excited. Would be heavy thundery showers in london by 220hrs

[feb1991blizzard]

1 minute ago, abbie123 said:

Southern Britain buried in snow or am I'm getting a head of myself.

No - you are in just about the best location possible, i would say minimum a good few inches of snow, maximum - upwards of 10 inches.

[southbank]

The ecm op is following what the EC 46 dayer being alluding too, but having been badly bitten a few years back and ECM weakness by amplifying too much until we see cross model agreement specially the beast killer METO it’s just nice FI candy

[snowray]

OMG more weather porn from the ECM!

 

The mild easterly is gone for good tonight!!!!

[chris55]

2 minutes ago, Spah1 said:

Really want that high to sit over Greenland and pull in a stonking Northerly.

Don’t want a Scandi High and East winds, can’t bear watching everyone getting feet of snow. 

Less Imbyism lol, though once the cold is established snowfall can crop up anywhere! 

[SMU]

Also a cut off Greenland High at 216-

Rare as hen Twins with teeth !

 

Edited January 15, 2019 by Steve Murr

[sorepaw1]

I'm just wondering if this projection of a easterly is a response to the 22nd of December SSW..

Just a thought. 

[tight isobar]

Pass us the shovel john

..i cant seem 2 find my car!!!!!

Edited January 15, 2019 by tight isobar

[I remember Atlantic 252]

1 minute ago, snowray said:

OMG more weather porn from the ECM!

 

The mild easterly is gone for good tonight!!!!

Aye, Steve to see feet of snow, best location possible