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Model output discussion - 7th January onwards


Paul
Message added by Paul

Please keep this thread solely to discussing the model output. The model banter thread is available for more loosely model related chat, ramps and moans.

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Posted
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield
  • Weather Preferences: Any Extreme
  • Location: Sheffield South Yorkshire 160M Powering the Sheffield Shield

T168 GFS and ECM not much different although ecm being more aggressive in sliding the low south eastward.

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Posted
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
  • Weather Preferences: Snow
  • Location: Clayton-le-Woods, Chorley, Lancs
9 minutes ago, Steve Murr said:

Boom shake the room

EAE23843-2F43-4967-9352-19933517A12D.thumb.png.58ab2bb02f82c9c38c8f17735a6e5b90.png

FA132C7A-ACF1-4D45-97D2-2273DEB1EF9B.thumb.png.0a734546708b944af57dfbdd7ec96dd7.png

What do you make of the uppers? 

Looks a colder chart than -3 / -4

Edited by Spah1
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Posted
  • Location: Bournemouth
  • Weather Preferences: Dry mild or snow winter. Hot and humid summer.
  • Location: Bournemouth
Just now, snowfish1 said:

Steve what chart is this from. Please 

 

T168 ecm 12z

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Posted
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl
  • Weather Preferences: the weather extremes in general but my favourites are snow & thunderstorms
  • Location: Frankley, Birmingham 250masl

 

anyway moving on I really like the look of this....

46F0A233-85B9-4606-9040-4F2C4BF1B20A.png

90BD54FF-400A-4E68-89AC-9BE2BD6EA009.png

Edited by Mapantz
Yes, moving along..
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Posted
  • Location: Swansea South West Wales
  • Weather Preferences: Cold and Snow in winter Warm Sunny Summer
  • Location: Swansea South West Wales

Snow moving from west to east on that front nothing marginal here -4 -5 uppers drawing a continental feed ahead of the front very nice indeed

90BD54FF-400A-4E68-89AC-9BE2BD6EA009.png

Edited by Pembroke Dangler
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Posted
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
  • Weather Preferences: Heavy disruptive snowfall.
  • Location: Manchester Deansgate.
Just now, Spah1 said:

FA132C7A-ACF1-4D45-97D2-2273DEB1EF9B.thumb.png.0a734546708b944af57dfbdd7ec96dd7.png

What do you make of the uppers? 

Looks a colder chart than -2 /-3. 

Thats enough for snow - look at the tilt on the trough.

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Posted
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast
  • Location: NR Worthing SE Coast

gfs been terrible,it had us in a zonal north westerly last few days  which was looking good for the ski industry after the weekend,now  it’s looking like we are going to get an easterly if ecm is correct,so it’s miles out.

Edited by SLEETY
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Posted
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire
  • Weather Preferences: Extreme!
  • Location: Stroud, Gloucestershire

Oh er missus!! 

EC 168 should raise some eyebrows :0

20FCEA48-EB3C-45D2-A1EF-C0C913881CE0.thumb.png.e1186880425a1f10c0071cd64a6c6125.png

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Posted
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL
  • Weather Preferences: Snowy Winters, Torrential Storm Summers
  • Location: Lytchett Matravers - 301 ft ASL

25% confidence could be raised 

Fantastic stuff

DCBECA66-5288-43DD-9EA5-28DD1511B7BD.thumb.png.8213642558357403408f0293d0734a51.png

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Posted
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex
  • Weather Preferences: Winter Snow, extreme weather, mainly sunny mild summers though.
  • Location: Bexhill-on-Sea, East Sussex

Lovely chart at T192, no mild easterly, heavy snow showers moving in from the North Sea.

Big big upgrade this and getting close to the reliable now.:oldgrin:

ECE1-192.png

ECE0-192-1.png

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